BrokenPaw
November 14, 2003, 09:18 AM
As the September sunset of the 1994 (so-called) Assault Weapons Ban approaches, and crunch time approaches for those who would let it die and those would would make it immortal, some of the more paranoid neurons have crept out of the back of my mind and spoken to me.
There is no political capital for the Democrats in extending the current ban, methinks, because, for most voters, it's been largely a non-issue in the past few years. It hasn't stopped crime, it probably hasn't encouraged a whole lot of crime either, and we all know why: the guns that it banned (a) are not used in crimes all that often anyway, and (b) were immediately replaced by functionally-identical guns which differed only in cosmetic features. So renewing the ban may be a political non-starter, because "assault weapons" are not what Soccer Moms are thinking about.
Even here, in the Washington DC area, where the "Beltway Snipers" killed several people with a Bushmaster XM-15, the soccer moms have forgotten, and gone back into a latte-induced complacency.
So here's the part where you need the tinfoil hat:
Perhaps the antis are intentionally letting the AWB die. Perhaps they're even encouraging its death, behind the scenes, while making the appropriate overt bellyaching noises to keep us from guessing. Because right now, renewing it would cost their allies in Congress too much political capital, and because it's not a big enough issue, because it's not in the public eye.
There have always been rumours of things like Antis going to gun shows and secretly chambering a round in a gun on a dealer table, hoping to cause a "Tragic Gun Show Death" to use for political gain. Why haven't they been pulling stuff like that, with "assault weapons", to make sure that the ban is renewed? Because that would be counter-productive: even the soccer moms would figure out that, if the ban didn't prevent these crimes, the ban is useless. It would go away from sheer apathy.
So the Antis wail and gnash their teeth, for the sake of appearances, while allowing (or encouraging) the ban to die. Then, soon after it's gone, they launch a campaign of random killings around the country. All carefully using only weapons that the ban had prohibited, which are once again "flooding the streets" because of the sunset. Suddenly the soccer moms all feel like maybe that ban was a Good Thing after all, and get on the phone with their representatives and senators, and a totally new, sunset-free ban of pretty much every gun out there is introduced in the very next session of Congress. And, when it passes, gosh and golly, suddenly all of the killings stop...
Implausible? Perhaps. But it's what I would do, if I were one of them, and had no moral compuctions about killing a few innocents "for the good of the children"...
Any thoughts?
-BP
There is no political capital for the Democrats in extending the current ban, methinks, because, for most voters, it's been largely a non-issue in the past few years. It hasn't stopped crime, it probably hasn't encouraged a whole lot of crime either, and we all know why: the guns that it banned (a) are not used in crimes all that often anyway, and (b) were immediately replaced by functionally-identical guns which differed only in cosmetic features. So renewing the ban may be a political non-starter, because "assault weapons" are not what Soccer Moms are thinking about.
Even here, in the Washington DC area, where the "Beltway Snipers" killed several people with a Bushmaster XM-15, the soccer moms have forgotten, and gone back into a latte-induced complacency.
So here's the part where you need the tinfoil hat:
Perhaps the antis are intentionally letting the AWB die. Perhaps they're even encouraging its death, behind the scenes, while making the appropriate overt bellyaching noises to keep us from guessing. Because right now, renewing it would cost their allies in Congress too much political capital, and because it's not a big enough issue, because it's not in the public eye.
There have always been rumours of things like Antis going to gun shows and secretly chambering a round in a gun on a dealer table, hoping to cause a "Tragic Gun Show Death" to use for political gain. Why haven't they been pulling stuff like that, with "assault weapons", to make sure that the ban is renewed? Because that would be counter-productive: even the soccer moms would figure out that, if the ban didn't prevent these crimes, the ban is useless. It would go away from sheer apathy.
So the Antis wail and gnash their teeth, for the sake of appearances, while allowing (or encouraging) the ban to die. Then, soon after it's gone, they launch a campaign of random killings around the country. All carefully using only weapons that the ban had prohibited, which are once again "flooding the streets" because of the sunset. Suddenly the soccer moms all feel like maybe that ban was a Good Thing after all, and get on the phone with their representatives and senators, and a totally new, sunset-free ban of pretty much every gun out there is introduced in the very next session of Congress. And, when it passes, gosh and golly, suddenly all of the killings stop...
Implausible? Perhaps. But it's what I would do, if I were one of them, and had no moral compuctions about killing a few innocents "for the good of the children"...
Any thoughts?
-BP