.45 Hardball
natedog
November 20, 2003, 01:14 AM
What do .45 ACP FMJ terminal ballistics look like? Any ballistic gelatin tests?
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Nightcrawler
November 20, 2003, 02:38 AM
Basically, it'll drill a 0.45" hole clean through a person. On the plus side, though, inadequate penetration isn't a problem.
Remember, JHP ammo is fine, but it doesn't make up for a poor shot or an underpowered cartridge. A .25ACP hollow point is still just a .25ACP.
sjtalon
November 20, 2003, 09:26 AM
http://firearmstactical.com/images/Wound%20Profiles/45ACP%20230gr%20FMJ.jpg
http://firearmstactical.com/images/Wound%20Profiles/45%20ACP%20WW%20STHP.jpg
Sorce:
http://firearmstactical.com/wound.htm
Dave T
November 20, 2003, 10:17 AM
...it'll drill a 0.45" hole clean through a person.
Back in the 1980s, my department issued Ball for 45 ACP. That was because our issue Government Models and privately owned 1911s were not all 100% reliable with the hollow points then available.
None of the shootings we had resulted in a "hole clean through" the body cavity. This over penetration of Ball is a widely held misconception, not supported by the facts.
Soap
November 20, 2003, 10:57 AM
Dave- I rather like hardball so I'm interested in the profile of the wound channel and the penetration depth.
Missouri Mule
November 20, 2003, 10:21 PM
I too am a fan of "Hardball"!
I use it exclusively in two of my older unthroated 1911's that hicup now and again with some hp's.
AC
November 20, 2003, 11:30 PM
Dave T, I wish you would write a bit more on the .45 ball performance. Those gelatin profiles seem logical, but supporting what you're saying I've read repeatedly that .45 ball exits a human torso only a minority of the time. There are also xrays I've seen with hardball still in the torso. What this leads me to believe is that hardball, at least in 230 gr. .45 persuasion, yaws very easily, limiting its penetration. But why doesn't it yaw in gelatin?
Another factor may be penetration resistance of skin. Perhaps it slows bullets like an animals hide does. Maybe a surgeon can offer some insight on that. If this were true, 20" of gelatin penetration might be reduced to something like 10" in a human.
444
November 20, 2003, 11:34 PM
I can offer one piece of real world data.
I ran a call on a guy 20 years ago, that had been shot in the thigh from point blank range with a .45 ACP Hardball bullet. It didn't exit. And as far as I know it didn't hit the femur. He initally refused transport to the hospital and was basically unphased by the whole thing other than disbelief.
Slow
November 21, 2003, 02:44 AM
I have worked several years in trauma surgery in a level I trauma center and most of the gunshot wounds that make it to surgery are of smaller caliber . Once I saw a 45acp round in an arm near the elbow (or what was the elbow). The guy (had just been minding his business, sitting on his front porch reading his Bible when some dudes just shot him;) ) The bullet broke his arm and dropped him to the ground while the 9mm slug passed thru his upper torso and out (missing all vital organs, aorta and spine) Folks, that's amazing! Once again it is generally about bullet placement... either bullet could have killed him... BTW the young man was about 140#
Mil Novecientos Once
November 21, 2003, 05:45 AM
None of the shootings we had resulted in a "hole clean through" the body cavity. This over penetration of Ball is a widely held misconception, not supported by the facts.
That's what I think too. Hardball has been used for many, many years in countless gunfights with great succes. Last month a guy here in Puerto Rico was shot 4 times in the torso and arms with UMC ball, none of the bullets exit the body. Shooting distance was about 4-5 yds. BTW, witness said that he dropped after the second shot and he died on the spot.
Sometimes I carry modern JHP and sometimes I carry Hardball. Accuracy is final, there is no magic bullet.
Dave T
November 21, 2003, 09:38 AM
Dave T, I wish you would write a bit more on the .45 ball performance.
During the six years I was the chief firearms instructor we only had one shooting that didn't result in the suspect's death. That one involved a shot to the upper leg. He too was stopped. None of the shootings resulted in through and through penetration of the body cavety. I can't report on "one shot stops" as most times two or three shots were fired in rapid succession and no one could tell which shot "stopped" the assailant.
But why doesn't it yaw in gelatin?
Probably because gelatin is uniform in consistancy, while the body varries in density and structure (muscle is quite different than organs).
Another factor may be penetration resistance of skin.
On those shootings where the subject was hit from the front in the chest cavity, the bullet usually stopped just under the skin on the back. One of the County's medical examiners I spoke with said the skin was tough enough to stop the bullet after it had lost most of its velocity passing through the body cavity.
PS: Our issue ammo was Federal Match 230g Ball. It was very consistant and reliable but not the hottest ball out there. Average velocities always came in at just over 800 fps from 5" barreled Government Model's.
J Miller
November 21, 2003, 11:14 AM
This is all very interesting to me.
I've never been in a gun fight, frome either end, thankfully.
I have however shot many rounds of .45 ACP ball, and .45 Colt 255gr lead.
History of military successes with these rounds, and the insistance of using JHP's by their supporters seems confusing to me.
Hearing these real world reports of hard balls use just reinforces the lessons of history.
Mil Novecientos Once
November 21, 2003, 03:02 PM
This issue has been discussed extensevily on the 1911 forum. This is a linlk to previous discussions on the subject.
http://www.1911forum.com/forums/search.php?s=&action=showresults&searchid=541221&sortby=&sortorder=
http://www.1911forum.com/forums/search.php?s=&action=showresults&searchid=541307&sortby=&sortorder=
RecoilRob
November 21, 2003, 03:12 PM
It is refreshing to read actual cases of .45 ball NOT over-penetrating as has been widely reported in the gun rags. My opinion is that "over-penetration" is largely a myth that is kept alive by people wishing to use it as a defense when they miss a BG and hit an innocent. I have asked on other forums for an example of a SINGLE round fired, COM that actually overpenetrated and hurt a bystander. So far, no takers.
The examples much written about by gun hacks seem to always involve multiple rounds fired. But, of course, the "round that hit the old woman was the one that hit the BG, not one of my six clean misses!"
Sure, if you just nick someone, the slug will keep going. But I never believed that a COM hit on a man would unduly endanger the entire populace behind them. Rob
clubsoda22
November 21, 2003, 03:37 PM
hardball doesn't overpenetrate because bodies tend to be more dense than gelatin, in fact, if hardball enters the chest cavity it tends to yaw and bounce around the ribcage doing a lot of damage...the thing is, so do .45 hollowpoints, they just do a lot more damage.
Lone_Gunman
November 21, 2003, 04:47 PM
bounce around the ribcage doing a lot of damage
LOL
papaone
March 15, 2004, 12:28 PM
Charlie Fraser was called back, in 1990 I believe it was, to give input in the development of the SOCOM .45. He told me that the trauma surgeons all gave testimony that when a person was hit in the chest area with .45 230gr ball, it was hard to save their life because of the damage it did. This is not from shooting theory but surgeons who worked on people who had been shot. According to these testimonies, a .45 230gr bullet going at around 830 fps does massive damage when it hits the human torso.:) :)
Vern Humphrey
March 15, 2004, 01:34 PM
All of this shows why I consider the "One Shot Stop" to be the wrong criteria to use.
All training programs I know of teach firing multiple shots -- and who with any sense would stop shooting while the opposition was still standing and trying to kill him?
Then there are other problems -- what is a "torso hit?" Would a bullet that passed along the ribs count? Is a hit in the heart or spine to be equated with one that doesn't touch a vital organ?
Do we discount head shots?
And so on.
I think the only VALID measure is stops/encounters.
This rolls up all the judgement questions and makes for a simple, objective evaluation. And the results are useful -- because it answers the critical question, "What gun/ammunition gives the best chance of WINNING?"
It allows us to discriminate between those guns which have great terminal effect, but are hard to shoot, and those that may have less oomph, but are controlable and allow multiple hits.
Sanow once asked me, "If we follow your criteria, and it turns out the .25 automatic is tops, would you say the .25 automatic is the best gun to carry?"
I said, "Yes." :what:
MrAcheson
March 15, 2004, 02:08 PM
I think the only VALID measure is stops/encounters.
If you are going to measure the relative stopping power of different ammunition, you have to try to mitigate the effect of all the other variables in the system. This is at least part of the reason why M&S only uses torso shots and such. You need to establish your control variables procedurally or the data means nothing or can be skewed by things you didn't measure.
If I was going to try to establish shot statistics for firearms effectiveness, I would have 2. The first is percentage of stops/encounter involving bullet impact. (This would rule out "the idea of gun" stops and the warning shot stops.) The second is the number of shots until stop. I think those numbers would be much more meaningful than the percentage of one shot stops.
Nighthawk
March 15, 2004, 02:21 PM
.45 hardball is big and blunt. It's also heavy. It should maintain momentum while causing a massive entry wound. As with any other round, its effectiveness dimenishes with distance. Other variables, such as barrel length and even cartridge manufacturer should be taken into account as well.
I agree with everyone who has stated that the overpentetration of .45 hardball is a myth. I think part of the reason for this myth is that a .45 hardball will keep going and going through walls and such, but I have no real facts to back that up. I generally beleive that a chunk of lead going at 800 fps when it leaves the muzzle will tend to flatten out upon impact assuming the impact is close enough that the round has sufficient velocity. As the round flattens, it will expand. Another thing, the bigger the round, the more stuff it will hit when it enters a body.
I wouldn't hesitate to carry hardball if there's any question at all about the feedability of hollowpoints through the weapon in question.
I go by the rule of thumb, shoot the biggest caliber you feel comfortable with and can wield accurately.
I do believe that there are better rounds and better guns than the .45/1911, but for self defence, I'd feel more comfortable with a high-quality firearm of battle-proven design than I do with some of these high-tech polimer guns chambered in whatever the latest fad is.
Vern Humphrey
March 15, 2004, 02:36 PM
Quote:
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If you are going to measure the relative stopping power of different ammunition, you have to try to mitigate the effect of all the other variables in the system.
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But we don't shoot just ammunition. We shoot the whole system, gun and ammunition. And the question should be, "What do winners use?"
Concepts like "torso hit" are simply too difficult to apply -- they require too much in the way of a judgement call. Similoarly, "one shot stop" rules out all shootings with multiple hits -- and we KNOW multiple hits are more effective.
On the other hand, stops/encounters gives us objective standards -- we don't have to agonize over where the hits were, how many shots were fired, and so on. It leads us directly to the answer we want in the real world -- "What do winners use?"
MrAcheson
March 15, 2004, 03:28 PM
We shoot the whole system, gun and ammunition. And the question should be, "What do winners use?"
Since the "system" includes the individual you can't ever get statistical data on this. Even if you just look at gun and ammunition you still aren't going to get the necessary data for any kind of comparison in most cases. If the data isn't out there it isn't out there.
Concepts like "torso hit" are simply too difficult to apply -- they require too much in the way of a judgement call.
If it hits the torso you include it, if not then not. Not hard. You have to screen for hit location as its effect is much much stronger than bullet size/weight/etc so it will definitely skew your data.
Similarly, "one shot stop" rules out all shootings with multiple hits -- and we KNOW multiple hits are more effective.
Yup. I agree. Technically you can "power up" one stop numbers to get multiple hit estimates, but its not a good way to do it. The OSS concept is flawed.
On the other hand, stops/encounters gives us objective standards
No it doesn't. Your lumping a lots of variables into one ratio and calling it good. You can't aggregate that much and get anything meaningful. You neglect hit placement and tactics and a whole bunch of things and call it the "gun ammo combo effectiveness". If you are going to examine end effects, you have to examine end effects using procedures which screen them from others as much as possible.
MrAcheson
March 15, 2004, 03:31 PM
I agree with everyone who has stated that the overpenetration of .45 hardball is a myth.
I agree with this, but it may not be a myth for other calibers. .45 is a slow fat bullet. A skinny, fast bullet like 9mm hardball may over-penetrate a lot more. Generalizing here may be foolhardy.
greyhound
March 15, 2004, 06:56 PM
What about something like Cor-Bon Pow-R-Ball, which claims to have the feedability(?) of FMJ with the expansion of JHP?
165 gr at 1250/fps and I have never had any problem with it feeding in my P97; obviously have no real world experience as to penetration/expansion...
happyguy
March 15, 2004, 08:36 PM
Somehow I can't help but feel we're making this much more complicated than it really is.
Regards,
Happyguy:D
papaone
March 15, 2004, 11:23 PM
You are right. Some people will debate any and every thing. I knew what a "torso" hit was in jr high. Maybe this will help: A torso hit is when a bullet hits the "torso." If this is too difficult to understand, then...???:rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:
Vern Humphrey
March 15, 2004, 11:56 PM
Quote:
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If you are going to examine end effects, you have to examine end effects using procedures which screen them from others as much as possible.
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No, you can more efficiently work it the other way around -- in other words, when you start seeing particular combinations popping up, THEN you have warrant to disassemble the combinations to find the key elements to lead to success.
If, for example, you find people with .22 automatics are more likely to win than people with .454 Casuls, that, in itself, is important.
You can then start developing hypotheses and querying the data to test them.
A good example of this is hunting dangerous game -- people learned big calibers are better pretty quickly. Things like double or single barrel, hunter skill, and so on didn't mask that fact.
MrAcheson
March 16, 2004, 09:36 AM
No, you can more efficiently work it the other way around -- in other words, when you start seeing particular combinations popping up, THEN you have warrant to disassemble the combinations to find the key elements to lead to success.
Yes but you aren't looking at end effects at that point. M&S data is targeted to specific munition effectiveness. Your technique will show interesting trends, but its a higher order analysis. Its correlation without causation. Its not enough to know that a gun "wins" because you need to know why and whether that reason is still applicable to you. Perhaps that gun wins because it is used by a highly skilled subset of the population for instance. That will take a lot more work and much closer examination of tactics, weapons, munitions, etc. I think you realise this.
The reason M&S screen their data so much is to mitigate these other variables as much as possible so their data is more broadly applicable. M&S data is equally valid (or invalid depending on what you think of it) for all shooters. Brand X JHP is more effective than Brand Y, all other things being equal. Your data will just be an examination of general trends that is not sufficient for making personal choices without more rigorous examinations of the causes of those trends.
Vern Humphrey
March 16, 2004, 10:41 AM
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Yes but you aren't looking at end effects at that point. M&S data is targeted to specific munition effectiveness. Your technique will show interesting trends, but its a higher order analysis. Its correlation without causation.
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Exactly!
But it DOES answer the critical question -- "What do the winners use?"
The Marshall and Sanow data does NOT answer that question -- when we're told the .357, 125-grain load produces "95% one shot stops" we don't KNOW if people with .357s have a good chance of winning. We only know IF they get a "torso hit" the bad guy will be stopped. It's possible that MOST people armed with .357s don't get any hits at all.
More likely, there might be some systems with lower "one shot stops" that get a significantly higher percentage of hits, and are therefore more effective.
Now, when I find the winning and losing combinations, it would be helpful to do more in-depth analysis to find out WHY one system is so successful, and another fails. But to do that analysis WITHOUT knowing which is which is pointless.
MrAcheson
March 16, 2004, 02:10 PM
But it DOES answer the critical question -- "What do the winners use?"
Sort of, but it doesn't tell you why they won. It is also doesn't tell you how to win with a given weapon. Its a very reactionary approach because it only tells you what people do now not the best thing to do.
we don't KNOW if people with .357s have a good chance of winning. We only know IF they get a "torso hit" the bad guy will be stopped.
But the torso is the typical handgun aimpoint and what people train for so screening out everything but that is sensible. Furthermore the goal of a shooting is the cessation of hostilities (a stop), so an OSS number will give you that. Stopping is winning for all intents and purposes.
But to do that analysis WITHOUT knowing which is which is pointless.
No you can go the other way too. If you know bullet performance you can use that to drive tactics and weapons choice. You can use that as a building block to model up to the next level of fidelity.
Anyway we've really gone down a rabbit trail since this has nothing to do with .45 hardball.
Shawn Dodson
March 16, 2004, 02:55 PM
...it'll drill a 0.45" hole... If it's FMJ-RN it won't. IIRC, diameter of the permanent cavity, presuming the bullet maintains point forward orientation as it penetrates, averages approximately 69% of its diameter -- about .310 inches.*
If it's FMJ-TC or FMJ-FP, the maximum diameter of the permanent cavity will be approximately the same diameter as the flat nose meplat. A flat nose bullet, presuming it maintains point forward orientation as it penetrates, will penetrate deeper than an FMJ-RN bullet of the same caliber. The reason? The flat nose propels soft tissues radially away from the bullet, whereas soft tissues "flow" around the more streamlined contours of a round nose bullet. Hence the round nose bullet encounters greater resistance to penetration than the flat nose bullet because the round nose bullet has greater direct contact with soft tissues.
*Edited to correct misinformation (69% instead of 60%, and .310" instead of .270").
Vern Humphrey
March 16, 2004, 03:01 PM
Quote:
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But the torso is the typical handgun aimpoint and what people train for so screening out everything but that is sensible.
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The problem is, we KNOW some systems are harder to control and hit with than others, so what people TRAIN for is no grounds for ASSSUMING they accomplish it.
Look at it this way, suppose there were only two guns -- the 155mm howitzer and the .25 automatic. Let's suppose half the police departments or CCW carriers choose one, and half the other. And suppose we have a thousand encounters with each.
The people with the .25 automatics WIN 50% of the encounters, but NEVER get a "one shot stop."
The people with the 155 howitzers lose almost all of their encounters, but in ONE case someone manages to get his howitzer unlimbered and get off a shot -- and gets a "one shot stop."
If we follow the Marshall and Sanow approach, we'd all be towing 155 mm howitzers!
dandean316
March 16, 2004, 03:27 PM
This may be changing the subject a bit, but what about MISSES?
Here's a scenario: I'm out walking and a dog starts running at me to attack. I pull out my .45 and shoot down, aiming at the dog, but miss and hit the blacktop street.
Wouldn't a 230 gr roundnose have a better chance of ricocheting than a 185 gr (or whatever) hollowpoint? I would assume the hollowpoints once they hit the blacktop would breakup and expand more with fewer ricochets and in that case safer for misses.
Anyone have real world experience with this? Is there anyway to test this safely?
papaone
March 16, 2004, 03:28 PM
It is obvious that many of you really know good info in this discussion. My assumption is that you keep up to date in this area. So my question to you is, "Is the data given by Marshall and Sanow valid or invalid?
Thanks for your helpful responses.
Demal :) :)
MrAcheson
March 16, 2004, 03:43 PM
"Is the data given by Marshall and Sanow valid or invalid?"
I don't think OSS numbers are particularly meaningful for the reason Vern illustrates above. So what if its a two shot stopper, if you have the two shots and the time to make them? And M&S only look at shootings where one shot was fired. This artificially inflates the numbers because if the guy doesn't stop, wouldn't you keep shooting? On the other hand many of the procedures to build their data set aren't really that bad.
As for validity, its very debateable. People have tried to replicate M&S numbers and failed. People have made cross comparisons between M&S literature and found numbers hard to explain. A particular .380 is awful in one book and good in the next with not enough new data to create the shift in stopping power.
I don't think its useful as a measure of a particular rounds effectiveness. I would put my trust in gelatin data first even though its not perfect either.
Vern Humphrey
March 16, 2004, 04:31 PM
And at least one detailed analysis of MS indicates (and quite accrurately -- I duplicated it using MS published figures) there are some MINUS shootings -- that is, for current data to be valid, earlier shootings had to NOT have happened, or been magicked away.
And, of course, the whole MS database has never been released to other researchers -- which is a requirement in scientific fields, since it is essential for peer review.
MrAcheson
March 16, 2004, 04:48 PM
And, of course, the whole MS database has never been released to other researchers -- which is a requirement in scientific fields, since it is essential for peer review.
I knew this would come up, but it is total BS. No professional researcher ever releases his raw data for free if he can help it. Sometimes whomever paid for the study contractually requires you to release it, but in general you hold on to it like it was made of gold. This is because it is made of gold, since you spent good money to collect that data. You release your methodology for free and if the other guy has the money he can recreate your database. This is how it works in the real world. Anyone who says different is kidding you about his research credentials.
Vern Humphrey
March 16, 2004, 04:54 PM
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I knew this would come up, but it is total BS. No professional researcher ever releases his raw data for free if he can help it.
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That is NOT true. The standard for science is peer review, and it is routine for editorial committees and other agencies to request copies of the data base before publishing a scientific article in any quality science journal.
Al Thompson
March 17, 2004, 07:45 AM
Gold? IIRC, M&S didn't pay anyone for the data. The math errors alone makes the study very suspect.
Swamprabbit
March 17, 2004, 08:38 AM
Frankly, I have doubts about the M&S stuff. Real world encounters don't always give the shooter a clean shot. The M&S study weeded out shots through obstructions or anything other than a clean/clear shot to the torso. I would think that any ammo/gun would have to be judged by how it worked in ALL situations.
Take hunting for example, there have been several times where I had to take a less than ideal shot. There will always be a weed, some grass, or maybe even a small tree branches (maybe you don't even see it) covering part of the target's kill zone. It does little good to use the cartridge with the best "one-shot-stop" record when it won't penetrate these obstacles without deflection or premature fragmentation.
Just my $0.02
MrAcheson
March 17, 2004, 09:14 AM
That is NOT true. The standard for science is peer review, and it is routine for editorial committees and other agencies to request copies of the data base before publishing a scientific article in any quality science journal.
Do you do professional research? I have. I'm published in several peer reviewed works. What you are suggesting is not routine. Someone's claims have to pretty out there for you to demand their raw data. Most peer review is a face validity check of their methodology and results. Typically if you want to see someone's raw data set, you need to pay them money for it because they spent money to build it. Editorial committees are made up of your peers, but your competing peers. That makes turning over your raw data to them unappealling because they can turn around and mine your data for their research. You don't want to give your competitors a leg up like that.
Gold? IIRC, M&S didn't pay anyone for the data. The math errors alone makes the study very suspect.
You think they work for free? They collected it (or say they did) from lots of different sources like police records, etc. Most of these records are public, but they aren't necessarily free (processing fees etc). After that, someone has to look through all those forms and build a data set from it. This is their job, they did not do it for free like an enthusiast might.
I agree about the math errors. Unless they started throwing out old data, it is pretty hard to justify.
jc2
March 17, 2004, 09:15 AM
Gold? IIRC, M&S didn't pay anyone for the data.
They have admitted a great deal (probably most) of their "data" is illegally (criminally) obtained. It's been my experience that criminals are untrustworthy. The fact that a large portion of their "data" was stolen is one of their justifications for not allowing a peer review like any repsonsible professional would (at least if they expected to have any professional--much less "definitive"--standing). So, even if S&M obtained their "data" in good faith (which is doubtful), it must remain suspect (regardless of the faulty analysis and math errors).
Vern Humphrey
March 17, 2004, 10:54 AM
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Do you do professional research? I have. I'm published in several peer reviewed works. What you are suggesting is not routine
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Yes. In fact, I developed the computer-based training system used by IRS researchers.
In some cases, where the data is publicly available, a cite may be sufficient -- since anyone can get the data. But I have found that routinely -- especially in cases where the research is unique, reputable publishers want to see the data.
Quote:
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The M&S study weeded out shots through obstructions or anything other than a clean/clear shot to the torso. I would think that any ammo/gun would have to be judged by how it worked in ALL situations.
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Absolutely. And the measure of how an ammo/gun system works in ALL situations is stops/encounters.
happyguy
March 17, 2004, 08:01 PM
In an attempt to get this thread back to the original subject I offer the following for your general consumption.
There used to be a ballistic gelatin test on Shawn Dodson's web site that I thought was a pretty good argument in favor of .45 acp FMJ (that's probably why it isn't there anymore:D ).
He fired a .45 acp Federal Hydrashock through some pork ribs and into some ballistic gelatin. The intent was to demonstrate the effect of having a bullet pass through an intermediate barrier such as a forearm before striking the torso. As I recall the Hydrashock only got eight or nine inches of penetration in the gelatin after going through the ribs.
True this simulates a less than ideal scenario, but it is by no means a worst case scenario.
The problem is that FMJ, like glocks and standard 1911's, are just plain and boring. JHP's on the other hand are hot and sexy, even if they aren't all they're cracked up to be.
As far as stops/encounters, that is another way of looking at the data, and I have to say that it has some appeal. And if we keep looking at it from different perspectives for long enough perhaps we'll eventually be able to draw some meaningful conclusions.
Regards,
Happyguy:D
cratz2
March 18, 2004, 10:40 AM
I learned everything I needed to know in kindergarten. :p
Three rounds of 45ACP out of a 4" to 5" barrel landing in the center of mass is very often going to have desirable results whether the projectiles penetrate completely through or not, whether the projectiles are expanding HPs or not and whether you chose the 'awsome always deadly Rangers' or the 'lowly, rarely expanding HydraShoks' as HPs.
Someone made a reference to what the gun rags say about ball ammo... gun rag writers are probably more inundated with the alleged pros and cons to various HPs that the rest of us... How boring is it to recommend 'ball is best' over the latest greatest HP that has been shown to expand up to twice the diameter in this one special kind of gelatin?
Regardless of how they manipulate the data, one shot stops don't make sense from a purely logical point of view simply because across the country, most officers aren't trained to shot once into the center of mass then immediately reholster their weapon and never draw it again. If someone is doing something which prompts a LEO to use his weapon, it would stand to reason that very often, they are going to shoot at least once more than is probably absolutely, positively neccessary. And that is a good thing. In Marshalls defense, this makes it difficult, if not impossible to report anything resembling comparable numbers. I still say that the numbers are 13.781% more effective than nothing at all, but can still lead to largely misleading percentages.
A few words of advice: If you want to be as prepared as possible, try spending half as much time drawing and shooting on a range as you do arguing over if Marshall's number crunching is better than Facklers predictions and learn to place the bullet as accurately as possible. And if the need arises, three shots in the upper half of the torso are much more likely to stop the bad guy very quickly than ANY one shot from ANY handgun.
Just my two cents. :rolleyes:
Shawn Dodson
March 18, 2004, 02:01 PM
There used to be a ballistic gelatin test on Shawn Dodson's web site that I thought was a pretty good argument in favor of .45 acp FMJ (that's probably why it isn't there anymore ). It's still there. It's the 'Magsafe Inadequate' article. ...better than Facklers predictions... I don't know where you got this idea. Fackler has all along claimed that gelatin testing provides "a reasonable indication" of terminal performance and wounding potential. I'm unaware he's ever claimed that gelatin tests can "predict" in-service performance.
YammyMonkey
March 18, 2004, 06:18 PM
This is just RE an earlier point that wasn't addressed:
The reason you find a lot of bullets "just under" the exit layer of skin (back if the bullet entered from the front, for example) is that human skin is incredibly elastic. We generally don't see it because it's directly over muscle and bone and hard to get a grip on a small area and pull with enough force to simulate a bullet. If you'd like a visual of how elastic our skin is try looking for some of those ya-hoos that put hooks through their backs and hang themselves off them:uhoh: You'll see a LOT of stretch.
Now, the reason a round penetrates the entry layer of skin so easily is because it has a rather solid backing. Try taking a balloon or rubber glove, place it on a hard surface and take a knife and see how much pressure is required to puncture it with the tip. Now take another piece, have someone hold it out without a backing and do the same. Takes more pressure and you see the stretch. Now imagine that instead of using a sharp knife point we're talking about a rather blunt object such as a bullet and then you'll undertand why so many rounds are found "just under" that last layer of skin.
Chuck Jennings
March 18, 2004, 09:37 PM
Regardless of how they manipulate the data, one shot stops don't make sense from a purely logical point of view simply because across the country, most officers aren't trained to shot once into the center of mass then immediately reholster their weapon and never draw it again. If someone is doing something which prompts a LEO to use his weapon, it would stand to reason that very often, they are going to shoot at least once more than is probably absolutely, positively neccessary.
Absolutely. Anyone worth shooting, is worth shooting a few times.
Vern Humphrey
March 18, 2004, 09:41 PM
Quote:
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And if the need arises, three shots in the upper half of the torso are much more likely to stop the bad guy very quickly than ANY one shot from ANY handgun.
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Amen.
Now, if we only had a study that gave us a clue WHICH gun and cartrige combination was most likely to let you get off three fast, effective shots.;)
p35
March 19, 2004, 10:05 AM
So, if your weapon shoots it reliably, why not use a 230 grain HP? I figure it's the same size chunk of lead, and if it expands that's a bonus.
cxm
March 19, 2004, 01:45 PM
I have had several books published that contain collected data... and I can agree in a general way about not releasing data.
HOWEVER, when independent statistical analysis of your data indicated claims there may be serious problems with the data, your methods or your conclusions scientific method demands you provide sufficient data so other researchers can duplicate and confirm your research and conclusions.
We should recognize, that while the M&S study isn't perfect for a number of reasons...it remains potentially one of the best we have had in quite a few yars.
In the case of shootings, I surely understand why Mr. Marshall would not release all his data. I am disappointed however he will not release the data to support some... say two calibres for example. Such release would allow those who believe he is correct in his study and analysis to put the contraversy to bed once and for all. Until that happens, the data will be questioned.
Until there is independent duplication of at least a part of the M&S study, there will be serious disagreement about the information. For one I'd like to see the study confirmed and the arguement ended.
FWIW
Chuck
I knew this would come up, but it is total BS. No professional researcher ever releases his raw data for free if he can help it. Sometimes whomever paid for the study contractually requires you to release it, but in general you hold on to it like it was made of gold. This is because it is made of gold, since you spent good money to collect that data. You release your methodology for free and if the other guy has the money he can recreate your database. This is how it works in the real world. Anyone who says different is kidding you about his research credentials.
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