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So how long....

Discussion in 'General Gun Discussions' started by CoyoteSix, Jan 11, 2013.

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  1. CoyoteSix

    CoyoteSix Well-Known Member

    ....will it take for the panic buying to stop and the outrageous shortages of ammo become a heavenly surplus on the shelves? :D:D:D
  2. Isaac-1

    Isaac-1 Well-Known Member

    Depends on how long the powers that be keep fanning the flames.
  3. coloradokevin

    coloradokevin Well-Known Member

    That depends. No one knows for sure, but here's my prediction (based upon past experiences):

    1) If the gun-grabbers succeed in banning certain items (ie: "assault" weapons and hi-cap magazines) then I suspect the panic buying will get worse, and remain bad for a while. In that scenario I predict that AR-15's and high-capacity magazines will continue to go up in price, and become more scarce, as one would expect. Also, I suspect ammo and components will become scarce (or more scarce) for quite a while.

    2) If the gun-grabbers fail to pass more laws on this subject, I imagine the fight will go on for a while. In that case I suspect it will be two years or so before things really start to normalize in the industry. In 2008 no laws were proposed, and Obama's election was enough to throw the industry on its head for nearly 18 months or so (I couldn't find primers locally for the better part of a year).
  4. CoyoteSix

    CoyoteSix Well-Known Member

    *Sigh, can't argue with the experience of elders. ^^

    Although I don't like it you're probably right.

    I just want the bulk .22lr to come back! :banghead:
  5. Halal Pork

    Halal Pork Well-Known Member

    My guess is...


  6. MachIVshooter

    MachIVshooter Well-Known Member

    Never. The days of large quantities of cheap ammo are over, have been for awhile.
  7. Carne Frio

    Carne Frio Well-Known Member

    We should know what the loonies in DC are
    going to be able to do within the next few
    weeks. It might then ease up over the spring
    or it go full retard and start a real panic buy.
  8. Skribs

    Skribs Well-Known Member

    I wonder if they are fanning the panic buying for the sake of 1) keeping ARs out of the hands of those who can't afford/don't want to pay for inflated prices and 2) by forcing people to spend $1500 for a $750 gun, they halve the amount of firearms you can purchase.

    Semi-tin-foil-hatty post on my part...

    FIVETWOSEVEN Well-Known Member

    What I don't understand is that why are people hoarding pistol ammo and clearing shelves? All the talk has been about is banning "assault weapons" largely rifles like the AR15. No talk about specific handguns or any about handguns.

    I also wish that I could find some 5.45x39. Some people have enough ammo to last them 20 years with shooting every weekend yet they keep buying it all up.

    I don't see this ban passing anymore. The White House has lost much support and I can't see the Senate passing it at this point and they see it too.

    If that's not us now, I wait in horror for the possibility.
  10. tarosean

    tarosean Well-Known Member

    It's not there yet? Shelves are depleted, World Wide Web is depleted, only place left are auctions sites filled with thousands flipping a buck...
  11. Fryerpower

    Fryerpower Well-Known Member

    5.45x39 is out there, but it is $200 a can now.

  12. HorseSoldier

    HorseSoldier Well-Known Member

    People hedging their bets, I'd assume -- particularly with Barry-O having made a reference pre-Newtown about cheap handguns being the bigger issue than assault weapons.
  13. Jim NE

    Jim NE Well-Known Member

    Something to ponder:

    If you were an oil company, and the government was talking about about banning cars that use only premium gas, would you be rushing to produce typical quantities of premium gas?

    Yes even average cars can run on premium gas, and yes, short term shortages would need to be filled, but I can't see a manufacturer being anxious to produce significantly until the smoke clears and they know what to expect.

    Thankfully, there are many bolt action and single shot .223's out there, so there will always be some ammo around, but I'd expect shortages until a ban is defeated. And not surpluses anytime soon. IMHO.
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2013
  14. mljdeckard

    mljdeckard Well-Known Member

    It's still not as bad as 2008-09. I can still buy ammo and reloading components.

    I'm putting money on Aprilish, when the house has finished the budget fight, and formally round-file any proposed new law.
  15. sleepyone

    sleepyone Well-Known Member

    April 1
  16. snuzzo29

    snuzzo29 Member

    This panic buying has really been a drag for people like me who cant afford to buy bulk amounts of ammo at a time. It seems like places are finally getting ammo restocked though.
  17. Robert

    Robert Moderator

    #3 is a pretty good guess. But it like any answer is nothing more than pure speculation, and we don't do that.
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