Some guns are collectables and the boxes that come with them add to the collectability. Like my model 52.
Most guns are just guns and the box adds no value.
JMHO.
IMHO, this is a very easy trap to fall into.
We all talk about "collectables" and how that does add to the over all "value" of a given item. Really does not matter if it is a gun from 1960, or a toy from 1960, having the box is valuable to the collector. And really when you think about buying old guns, you may tell yourself no I did not buy that because it is collectable, I bout it because I wanted a _________.
I am not a good example, because I hate about everything new, but I really wanted to get a 243. And bought a nice rifle, old savage 99. Now there are buckets of that flavor on the market today that will likely out shoot the old savage....not what I wanted.
Fast forward a few decades, do you think that when the first guy bought that Savage 99 he was thinking....you know I need to hold onto that box because "one day" it will add to the value of the rifle. Heck no. That was just a tool to take deer.....it took a long time to become a "collectable"
We can also look at "collectable" firearms that seem to be in every gun rag (at least they are in there when I stopped reading them) Fast forward to today and they are just not "collectable"....you could go as far to say they are very UN-collectable. People don't want that lever rifle with John Wayne plastered on the stock and all that jazz. Or the WWII 1911 that is all gold....you guys likely all know the types of guns I am talking about. You can also lump something like Mitchells Mausers in here.
Point is things sold as "collectable" generally are not. And it is a fairly "new" thing....and by new I am talking 1980's.
This is already fairly wordy, but try to hang in there, it is a very good point in it all.
I did a lot of "work" in the collectable area in the 80's. Back then one of the very hot items was Porcelain Dolls. As well as a huge doll house craze. Porcelain dolls could reach into 5 figures in 1980's money, and in many cases selling for over a grand for "common" and "used" examples. It was really insane. 10 years later you could not give the things away.
Why.
In the 1980's the generation that grew up playing with the dolls started to near the end of the road. They wanted those things that reminded them of their childhood, and for many little girls it was these dolls. Grandmothers bought HUGE doll houses for grand daughters and the prices of these things got staggering. Making things for these houses became a good way to make money. (I helped make furniture and stair cases, about anything of wood) And over $100 for a set of chairs was the norm. If you have ever seen a "doll house" in a museum, think that quality.
After that generation dies off the things that they wanted to remind them of their youth are really not anything to the next gen, they may keep one doll to remind them of grandma, but the rest got sold for pennies on the dollar, there was zero demand for them.
Same today, kids of the 60's are looking to things like hot wheels, and every other toy of our youth and paying big money for that old SST just to hear that sound again. When we die off it will be the same thing.
Now we get to today, and people see these things bringing big money, they see it as a "collectable" and if we market a "future collectable" we can really charge out the nose for it. And people bought into this. Bennie babies, cabage patch dolls, hotwheels....everything. People are and did horde these things thinking it will be of value.....and guess what, I doubt it.
Now the heart of the matter. For something to be of value, the demand for the item must be greater then the supply. That is how it works. If you can find it everywhere why would you pay more for it, you are going to price shop. But if you just find one of the item.....oh I better grab that, chances of finding another are slim. Your right. The reason the Kenner star wars stuff is so expensive is because kids like me shot the with their BB guns. There are not many left.
Now do you see the issue with the guy that has 800 boxes of hot wheels cars in his basement, or the person that has a room of bennie babies, they are not the only ones doin it.
It is the things that got used that are actually what people down the road want.
Now what will happen with that new gun you buy....will it actually be worth more with the box, well the old guns with the box are of more value because it was "just a cardboard box", and there are not many of them around. If every old gun had the original box do you think the examples with boxes would command more money....nope. The value is added because it just is not around.