EricBu
Member
- Joined
- Apr 2, 2021
- Messages
- 1,433
Seems to be another panic brewing over this, and some firearms publications are claiming that it will be the end of the world for gun owners. My thoughts are thus:
It will cause another bump in panic buying, albeit temporary. Very temporary. Guns and Ammo claims that Russia provides 40% of the US Ammo market, I think that's a little high, but it is significant, especially among the low cost 9/5.56/7.62 market. I think the panic is unwarranted though. Russians are masters of "war dogging". And business rarely cares what government policy is. All the Russian ammo manufacturers have huge factories outside of Russia. I fully expect them to continue producing ammo inside Russia, and shipping it to other regions that aren't impacted by the ban and repacking it. A Russian and Ukrainian company will happily work together regardless of government policy if they both stand to make a profit. There are thousands of ammo plants throughout E. Europe that will gladly work with Russia and repackage their ammo for a fee. I predict that ultimately, just as much eastern european ammo will make it into the US as pre-ban amounts but under non-Russian labels and the ban will have little impact other than slightly raising the price of steel case ammo, . Same with primers. In the near term, panic buying will kill our fledgling surplus, and we're going to be right back where we were 6 months ago.
It will cause another bump in panic buying, albeit temporary. Very temporary. Guns and Ammo claims that Russia provides 40% of the US Ammo market, I think that's a little high, but it is significant, especially among the low cost 9/5.56/7.62 market. I think the panic is unwarranted though. Russians are masters of "war dogging". And business rarely cares what government policy is. All the Russian ammo manufacturers have huge factories outside of Russia. I fully expect them to continue producing ammo inside Russia, and shipping it to other regions that aren't impacted by the ban and repacking it. A Russian and Ukrainian company will happily work together regardless of government policy if they both stand to make a profit. There are thousands of ammo plants throughout E. Europe that will gladly work with Russia and repackage their ammo for a fee. I predict that ultimately, just as much eastern european ammo will make it into the US as pre-ban amounts but under non-Russian labels and the ban will have little impact other than slightly raising the price of steel case ammo, . Same with primers. In the near term, panic buying will kill our fledgling surplus, and we're going to be right back where we were 6 months ago.
