S&W reports sales drop to pre-pandemic/riot/election levels

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westernrover

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Before I repost news I didn't generate, I try to look for an existing thread but didn't see one for this.

S&W reported a 69.3% drop in sales versus the same quarter last year. Their stock is down over 6% from yesterday on a day when the rest of the market rallied. What S&W themselves are saying about this is that it marks the end of the surge in demand seen in recent years.

I certainly haven't seen inventory levels on shelves or online returning to previous norms, and while I have seen some decline in prices from peaks, they generally remain well above 2019 levels.

Here's what Mark Smith had to say: "As expected, our first quarter results reflected a return to a normal demand pattern at the retail counter for firearms combined with temporary headwinds from inventory corrections within the channel,” “Despite a challenging quarter from a top-line perspective, the team delivered impressive profitability, which far exceeded the pre-pandemic comparable quarter in fiscal 2020"

The way I read that is, the sales boom has fizzled but they're still able to sell for high prices, the profit from which they've managed to pocket instead of passing it on to workers and suppliers. This is his attempt to tell investors some things they want to hear while having to break the news of something they don't want to hear.
 
If S&W's results are indicative of the general firearms market and demand has returned to normal, we should see supply and inventories returning to normal and downward pressure on prices (still have to account for general inflation and the overall loss of value in the dollar).

If firearms related things become generally available and prices wind down to something like 15% above 2019 levels, what's on your list? I've got to say that I don't have a lot of enthusiasm to buy anything even if it was available and reasonably priced. Everything else has been costing too much and my income hasn't increased since this started. I suspect a lot of other consumers are in a similar position where spending on firearms is taking a lower priority to other expenses that are consuming disposable income.
 
I take that data to indicate that, at least in part, the Covid helicopter money is drying up. Still a lot of it that has not been spent, but I'm seeing inventories rising on guns, some reloading supplies, off road vehicles, etc.
 
Bad news for them , but good news for the consumer . I would just like to see reloading supplies back at my LGS and at a reasonable price , so I can shoot again .
 
Well, if the Dems don’t take a bath in November, they will pick back up.

Or they will have to wait until another Republican, POTUS, Controlled House and possibly Senate does nothing and the Dems subsequent return to control, for things to pick back up…

Just like Obama, just like Clinton…
 
They could diversify and probably move some primers and powder…
 
I have on my list to buy a revolver, my grail gun would be a S&W 686-4 Plus with a 4” barrel. When I assembled “The List” to try to maintain focus, direction and priorities, the budget for that gun on Gunbroker or when they came up on another forum was $750. It’s still on my list, but lower priority because I don’t think the value is there for me at current prices. Probably will go with a new dash 6 when funds are in the bank and prices drop.
 
I bet Georgia Pacific and Boise Cascade all reported toilet paper pulp-wood sales are at pre-pandemic levels, too.

But that news don’t make the press.

My gun-related buying is holding fairly steady. :thumbup:

Stay safe.
 
Before I repost news I didn't generate, I try to look for an existing thread but didn't see one for this.

S&W reported a 69.3% drop in sales versus the same quarter last year. Their stock is down over 6% from yesterday on a day when the rest of the market rallied. What S&W themselves are saying about this is that it marks the end of the surge in demand seen in recent years.

I certainly haven't seen inventory levels on shelves or online returning to previous norms, and while I have seen some decline in prices from peaks, they generally remain well above 2019 levels.

Here's what Mark Smith had to say: "As expected, our first quarter results reflected a return to a normal demand pattern at the retail counter for firearms combined with temporary headwinds from inventory corrections within the channel,” “Despite a challenging quarter from a top-line perspective, the team delivered impressive profitability, which far exceeded the pre-pandemic comparable quarter in fiscal 2020"

The way I read that is, the sales boom has fizzled but they're still able to sell for high prices, the profit from which they've managed to pocket instead of passing it on to workers and suppliers. This is his attempt to tell investors some things they want to hear while having to break the news of something they don't want to hear.
Makes sense as things stabilize. I hope this means ammo continues to become more available and fall in price.
 
I am hoping that holster, training, and gunsmiths services increase revenue and keep that consistently, and at least proportional, to the increase in sales. And that those revenues, would not drop off when the sales stabilize.

As I noted in another post, we (the non-LE / non-MIL market segment) lack meaningful, self-regulating, industry-to-consumer bridge.
A bridge that would facilitate the industry participants to learn about consumer needs/preferences/ideas/etc, and, may be, purchasing power (at least in some segments).

Instead, the major manufactures frame their research and development (and marketing) in terms of 'agency qualification scores' or something like that.

I would also like to see a way for smaller manufacture to pool their resources conduct surveys/consumer-interest-groups testing, ideation-with-consumers framework. Pool-resources for testing labs (Including for reloading components), situational simulators (not video games), etc.

I would like to see training methodologies and frameworks with better standardization for various situations + people-skill + people-abilities combinations.

I would like to see text-books (with exercises at the end of each chapter) covering mathematics, physics and chemistry of the firearms and bullet components. Same for physical training aspects relating to self-defense with lethal and non-lethal tools. Same for legal theory development and application.

I would, to be honest, like to see some part of under-grad standardized curriculum developed around those books, and may be something that can be included as part of AA degrees.

We are not all LE officers, we need to respect and learn from the LE / MIL skills and experiences, but we should also work with the industry to embrace the way we apply and enjoy the gift of the 2nd amendment.
 
Good post. Your interpretation of his statement is similar to mine. I am definitely seeing more firearms and at more reasonable prices. I hope that the midterms prove favorable for firearms enthusiasts.
 
I don't think prices will fall much farther. Maybe a little, but with the way inflation has been going the bottom isn't going to be what it was in 2019. Common caliber ammunition has been readily available for a year now and prices aren't really falling anymore.
 
Maybe it’s time to reduce the margins a bit. I just checked, and a Model 29 with the 6.5” barrel is $1070 or so. Yikes.
 
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