I’m pretty sure a third party is doomed. Not that I don’t have fantasies about it. But it really is doomed from the get go. It’s like starting a marathon when all the other contenders are within a mile of the finish line. It’s a fool’s errand.
It would be much easier to take over one of the parties in existence.
The Republicans are in disarray and a massive grass roots push from Conservatives could take it over. But sadly, I believe that will take at least 4 years. It’s just not enough time to stave off a liberal Republican Pres. or a VERY liberal Dem. Pres. The desire to keep Hillary out of office will most likely drive Conservatives to hold their nose and vote for McRomNiani. Putting another stinky RINO in the White House (and in charge of the party) will only make things worse (read: keep conservatism on life support for another 6 to 10 years).
The Dems have a fully vested and ordained Liberal leadership. They are not weak in any way and could not be ousted now. A win in the ’08 Presidential election will ensure a hard line Liberal leadership of the Dems for years to come. However, if they lose the White House and a part or the legislature, then there is a glimmer of hope. They could be taken over by the “New Conservatives” in the party, or at least become more conservative than the Republicans (not hard). It’s a long shot not even the most inveterate race track junkie would bet on.
So taking over a party depends on a few things. Will Conservatives be willing to wait and put in the time needed to take over a party? Do Conservatives have the stones to get up and fight for the Republican Party since it’s the best option right now? Will Republicans kill McRomNiani and risk the ’08 election for long term gains? Or if we see pigs developing wings, Can Conservatives, like myself, who have been life long Republicans switch parties if (big if) the Liberal Leadership in the Dem party is thrown out on its rear after an ’08 loss? And then, after switching, begin the process of taking over a party all over again?
Seeing how hard it will be to take over an existing party should give everyone who dreams about a viable third party (which is MUCH harder to make happen) great pause.
There is no magic bullet. We can dream of a new shiny spotless party full of virtue and honor all we want. It makes a great novel. But in the real world, it ain’t gonna happen. A long, hard, and bloody (metaphorical, I hope) battle for the Republican Party is the best hope. The Party won’t be beyond reproach. It will still have some squirmy little RINO’s in it longing for the “good old days”. But it will have the one thing a third party will never have. IT will have the political infrastructure to actually make a difference.
However, if you are driven by principles to the point where you can not stand to work with other’s who do not have the exact opinion you have, then by all means, form or join a third party. But don’t ever expect it to have much affect on the American political stage.