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Ammo shortage

Discussion in 'General Gun Discussions' started by kkayser, Mar 25, 2013.

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  1. kkayser

    kkayser Member

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    There must be something more to the ammo shortage than hoarding. A clerk at one of the large chain ammo departments said that he had not seen any ammo shipments come in for for months. On one internet ammo selling site it said that some ammo might be in by November!!! So, if the companies are making ammo, Where is it going????
     
  2. HankR

    HankR Member

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    Hmm, to feed the troll or ...

    Panic buying, hoarding, lots of new guns sold the last few months, lots of new gun owners wanting to stock up, "bubble", etc.


    I was in Walmart on Friday night, getting some clay pigeons and shotgun shells. The load was a bit unwieldy, so I stopped at the gun counter to re-balance. The ammo shelves were pretty empty, and there were folks there staring at the empty shelves. A clerk came over, thinking I wanted to check out back there (I was heading for the registers in the front of the store) I asked him if they were still getting ammo in, and he said they were getting it same as always, just selling it much faster, even with the "three box" limit. He asked what I was wanting. I told him I'd pick up a couple of bricks of .22 lr next time they had any, and he mentioned that they had just gotten some in that wasn't stocked yet. It was Winchester (I normally get Federal), 1000 round boxes for $46. He brought me out 2-cartons, one of which he opened to show two of the 1000 round boxes. I was going to buy two (he offered all 4, seeming to forget about the three box limit), but when I asked him how much he had he replied just the 4 1000 round boxes he had brought out. I bought one and left three for the next guy, or hopefully the next three guys.

    I wonder if anti-gunners are stirring up frenzy on the internet, causing the panic? None of the OPs observations appear to be true, at least around here.
     
  3. M2 Carbine

    M2 Carbine Member

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    I hang out at the local gun store a lot. They haven't been able to get but a couple cases of ammo (no 9mm or 22) in months.

    And like guns, the distributors are also jacking up the price of ammo bad.

    The reason?
    IMO......the distrust of obama and the democrats, causing MANY people to buy guns who never before had any interest in owning a gun.

    I see a lot a lot of those people, old and young, come into the gun store saying, "I want a gun".
     
  4. nelsonal

    nelsonal Member

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    Generally it's essentially already spoken for as backorders. At MSRP, the quandity of ammo demanded exceeds production, only with prices many times MSRP can retaliers hold an inventory of ammunition.
     
  5. blakeci

    blakeci Member

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    here locally, a guy is selling most of his stash as he is moving out of state, 60,000 rounds of American Eagle 9mm:what:

    that's not even including the 10,000 rounds of AE .45 or the 120,000 rounds of .22lr that he is also selling.

    there is where some of it is...

    ...of course it would come up right as I'm broke and can't afford the $380 a 1000 round case of 9mm
     
  6. kkayser

    kkayser Member

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    Good to hear

    That is good to hear. The WalMarts around here (SE Wisconsin) limit purchases to one large box of .22 LR, three small (50) boxes, when they have it. Fleet-Farm, Cabela's, and Gander Mountain also limit to 10 small boxes. I forget how many large boxes. However, if they are only getting 4 large boxes per shipment, that will be sold within hours, perhaps minutes, even at 1 box per sale.

    Right now, there is plenty of .22 LR on Gun Broker. Cheap stuff brings about 3X normal prices, better stuff about 2X. Really expensive stuff like Eley, which normally sells for $.35 - .40/round, can still be bought at par. That brings up an interesting question: If I shoot ammo which cost $47.00/1000, but could be sold online for $150.00/1000. how much is my shooting costing me, $47.00/1000 or $150.00/1000?
     
    Last edited: Mar 25, 2013
  7. george d dennis

    george d dennis Member

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    ammo

    Im still wondering about the goverment.
    I know people are hoarding it but, I went to one site there wasnt
    even percussion caps. I remember in the 70s when we then were rationed
    gasoline. Odd and even cars on certain days, We were allowed 3.00
    back then while the tankers were waiting to come in and they wouldnt
    let them. The goverment said dont worry when the alaskan pipe line
    is finished we will be all set. Kind of reminds me of the now ammo
    and reloading supplies shortage. Once they got the price of gas up
    there was plenty.We shall see with the ammo. Seems like this and
    all the anti gun stuff started right after Newtown. A place i would
    pheasant hunt every year till the yuppies started to move in .
     
  8. Arkansas Paul

    Arkansas Paul Member

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    He was full of BS.
    Wall World gets shipments often, as do other retailers. Even my local pawn/gun shop gets weekly shipments of ammunition. It may not be all they want, and it doesn't last very long, but they're still getting it in.
     
  9. kkayser

    kkayser Member

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    Hasty

    It may be a little hasty to say that "He is full of BS." He said that he had not seen any come in. I could be that the shelves are stocked on a different shift, and by the beginning of his shift, all ammo has been sold. It looks like hoarding is the reason for the shortage. People who have not shot in years are buying all they can get, simply because it is in short supply. I'm sure clerks in gun departments buy all they can get and notify their friends whenever it is on the shelves.

    I got a call from a friend whose "Buddy" told him that Cabella's was getting 1,000,000 rounds in "tomorrow". I asked him to call me if any .22 LR was available. No call. No ammo at Cabella's.
     
  10. Oklacoyotekiller

    Oklacoyotekiller Member

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    Guy on gunbroker has 25,000 of eley 22lr. Buy it now 999 for 5,000. Wal mart in chandler,ok ha about 6 bxs of wwb 45.
     
  11. Killian

    Killian Member

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    I saw some .22 Magnum Winchester at Walmart in Tupelo Mississippi about 2 days ago. A few boxes of .45ACP and some .40. I'm sure it's gone by now.

    Where is the ammo going? Right now the majority of it is going to people who ordered a couple of cases back in December. You get 1 million people ordering 1000 rounds (1 case), which, if you are in panic mode really isn't all that much then it works out to over a billion rounds. That's if 1 million people buy 1 case. Bump it to 5 million people? Does that seem unrealistic? Maybe. Let's assume they bought 2 or 3 cases instead. 1 million people buying 3 cases of ammo. 3 billion rounds. Now lets get REALLLLY crazy. Let's assume 5 million people ordered 3 cases. 15 billion rounds on back order. Already bought, already paid for, just waiting on delivery.

    That's my opinion about what is happening with ammo right now.
     
  12. frankenstein406

    frankenstein406 Member

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    Seems like ammo only lasts for a day so you have to be on top of it.
     
  13. Killian

    Killian Member

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    I arrived at Walmart at around 8:30AM and the clerk was still opening cases to put on the shelf at Tupelo Walmart. I'm sure that by 11 or 12 noon all of the boxes of .40 caliber and .45 caliber he had were gone. The .22 magnum, he had a lot of. 3 cases at least. At 3 boxes per customer, it would take about 20 people to empty it again. So it might have lasted til the end of the day. Maybe.
     
  14. jim243

    jim243 Member

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    Interesting, if Home Land Security purchases 103,000,000 rounds a year, I wonder how many Walmart orders per year??? With 8,970 stores in the U.S. if each bought 50,000 rounds a year (4,167 per month) that would come to 448,500,000 rounds or just under a half a billion rounds. And that's just for Walmart.

    Jim
     
  15. justice06rr

    justice06rr Member

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    It seems a lot of these ammo shortage threads keep getting locked, so I'm "in before the lock" as they say. (lets hope not and lets try to keep this one civil and on track)

    I'm sure there are multiple factors that continually feed the shortage. From people who have bought thousands of rounds (what some call 'hoarding'), to people camping out for hours for ammo to be stocked on the shelves, etc.

    The most common cause? its probably panic buying. I don't think people who buy all these ammo shoot that much to begin with, although some do shoot thousands of rounds per month. If you were a shooter that competes or just shoots thousands of rounds per month, one would think you'd buy in bulk online instead or reload your own.

    So IMHO the same people buy up most of the ammo that gets shipped to Walmart/Dick's etc. I will put myself as an example; I normally only buy maybe 2 or 3 boxes a month of ammo regardless of the posted limit or if I have extra money. Now if another individual buys thousands of rounds a month, then multiply that a hundred-fold, there is one of your causes for a shortage.

    What I don't understand is how 22lr has still been out of stock although I've already seen .223 and 7.62x39 ammo in stock locally.
     
    Last edited: Mar 27, 2013
  16. nathan

    nathan Member

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    THe majority who fall in line are the ones who want to make some money . Umemployment is still at an all time high.
     
  17. frankenstein406

    frankenstein406 Member

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    i wonder if the ammo companys had stock on hand or were just filling orders as needed?
     
  18. Queen_of_Thunder

    Queen_of_Thunder member

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    Thats true in my area. In fact I'm up an d getting ready to head out to my local Academy to stand in line with the hope I'm first in line which gives me first refusal on whatever ammo they get in. I will say after nearly 3 months of doing this it s becoming old. Of course I've made many new friends waiting for Academy to open and that includes Academy staff too. So there has been something more important than ammo to come out of this waiting in line.
     
  19. Queen_of_Thunder

    Queen_of_Thunder member

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    With regards to your 22lr question I would guess the following:

    1. Price
    2. New shooters bought 22lr guns as their first guns.
    3. Those that didn't have a 22lr firearm have added one and thus need ammo for it?
    4. Seeing the shortages develop 22lr shooters added to their inventory of ammo causing a worseing of supply.
    5. Of course with the above 4 reasons some saw a way to make money and began to buy up what they
    could.
    6. The resulting shortage has turned 22lr into a commodity that can be used for barter. Person A has 22lr but needs 9mm while Person B has 9mm but needs 22lr. The trade is made.
    7. People become scared and after 3 months of shortages they worry and shift into hording mode which BTW is a natural response. Also the hording will continue to spread to others as the ammo shortage continues. I fully expect that homes will be broken into to secure an item that has become the equivalent of cash and as impossble to track as cash is.

    So please secure your ammo.
     
  20. 22-rimfire

    22-rimfire Member

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    22LR is in short supply because it is the most popular caliber and consumers that shoot have noticed that there is little to none available. The gunshops who have some and are charging a premium also feed into this to sell their higher priced ammo. So, when consumes do in fact find some 22LR available at normal pricing, shooters buy all they can afford or is available and that can be many rounds of 2LR. Hence, the continued shortage in that caliber.

    One of the local Walmarts say they get ammunition in every week (but not as much), but it is sold very quickly.

    I wonder if this shortage will in fact cause even casual or infrequent 22LR shooters into stockpiling.
     
  21. Sauer Grapes

    Sauer Grapes Member

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    I spoke with a young fella behind the counter yesterday at WM. He said they put orders in every week. Sometimes they get some, sometimes they don't.
     
  22. mrvco

    mrvco Member

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    The LGS's around here that have ammo priced to account for market conditions are able to maintain inventory. Sure it's expensive, but you only buy what you need since it doesn't make sense to hoard it or resell it at gun shows at those prices.

    The hoarders and ammo-oligarchs are finding ways around Walmart's 3-box limit and they just keep sucking up the supply at Walmart's artificially low prices.

    Pricing needs to be set at the intersection of the supply AND demand curves for the market to work efficiently. Not at some historically comfortable price that causes demand to constantly outstrip supply.
     
    Last edited: Mar 27, 2013
  23. Batty67

    Batty67 Member

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    So, is 22LR the most in demand/hard to obtain ammunition these days?

    I have about 7k so perhaps I'll trade 1-2k for some 45ACP.

    This too shall pass, but probably not for another few months at this rate. I think mini-hoarding is the blame. Everybody (myself included) seems to be bending over backwards to snap up any reasonably priced ammo on the (probably correct) presumption that the price will only go up...
     
  24. Queen_of_Thunder

    Queen_of_Thunder member

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    Yes prices will go up as the base demand has increased due to new shooters. I fear if we dont see some serious increase in supply prices will skyocket and hording will be every shooters response.
     
  25. silicosys4

    silicosys4 Member

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    Just picked up a case of 7.62x39 for $230 today. It's around but marked up a bit from where it was, we will see if it stays there. I really don't think the increase in demand will be permanent. It will last until people have their stockpile then everyone will chill and demand will be at or slightly increased from where it was 6 months ago.

    What I'm seeing as the longest term shortage is once fired brass for us reloaders in non-LE calibers. People aren't going to the ranges to shoot their 44 magnums, so those ranges aren't picking up and reselling brass online, so I'm having a hard time finding it. I don't see that changing until well after the ammo supply and demand stabilizes.
     
    Last edited: Mar 27, 2013
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