Discussion in 'Strategies, Tactics, and Training' started by jim49, Apr 25, 2020.
By the way, this is called tolling if one wants to do the research.
How do you know what he was doing? Can't go by what he said back in the 90's I was attending a class in Austin Texas for work in our county DWI diversion program. At the end of the day I went to a Denny's to eat on my way out I caught someone walking fast toward me out of the corner of my eye i drop to one knee and pulled my snub nose out of my boot, he looked shock and back off saying I though you was the manager and i wanted to know if you was hiring. I showed him my badge and told him to show me his hands at that time i heard something hit the ground and looked it was a large knife.
Death by Assault by firearm 13,958 deaths in 2018 ; 1 year odds 1:23,439; Lifetime odds, 1:298
Death by Motor Vehicle Accident 39,404 deaths in 2018; 1 year odds 1:39,404 Lifetime odds, 1:106
Death by Lightning 23 deaths in 2018; 1 year odds 1:1,422,467; Lifetime odds 1:180,746
More morbid probabilities found at:
Old study from 1987 using the NCVS data,
Here is the table regarding lifetime risk of crime based on data from 1975-84. Caveat is that crime declined quite a bit during the 1990's until it stabilized around the 2014-2020.
An innovative approach uses Geographic Information Systems to figure risk by location. http://www.rutgerscps.org/uploads/2/7/3/7/27370595/riskterrainmodelingcompendium_caplankennedy2011.pdf
This covers NJ only.
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