Yea, you're right. I don't hear my self
I only ran a commodity business when costs of raw materials declined and I ran the same business when raw materials increased dramatically. I was the guy who took the calls from customers who wanted to give me business at <insert unit price of choice> I was the guy who had to weigh current costs, standard costs, current raw costs, future raw costs, future raw costs possiblities, potential raw shortages during life of a contract, equipment loading, management support, sales ability to service contract, logistics ability to get product to destination at the cost agreed to, competitive responses to price levels, gamed out competitive response and customer substitution, and a whole host of other factors I have submerged in my memory. At the end of the day I had one response: yes, I'll take the business or no I won't.
Note: market price levels were presented to me and I got to choose to participate or decline. That's it. I did not set market prices. Market prices were handed to me and I got to decide to play or not. Know what? During raw material shortages our gross margin (first line profitability) rose to unheard of levels. At one time GM levels were 3 times historic levels. Why, because a scarcety of supply drives market prices up. Our strategic sourcing group had long term contracts from all over the world. A disruption in the US supply caused us to shift to european sources. Our costs went up but we had raws. Some of our competitors got use to continuously declining prices and failed to write long term contracts in favor of buying on the spot market. Good plan as long as costs decline; bad plan when slapped in the face with a raw shortage. They ran out of raws and had to exit the market. Reduced supply drove up the price. I didn't drive prices up. The market did. Know what else? Just as soon as raw material shortages resolved, market prices declined. I didn't drive prices down. The market drove prices down because supply increase.
In the face of natural shortages (hurricanes) and contrived shortages (environmental nazi stopping the building of refineries) the cost of gas is behaving just exactly as I'd expect; including its drop of a dollar a gallon in recent weeks. It will continue to drop until production catches up with demand at which point the decline will stop and stay relatively constant. I guess then we can debate how evil oil companies and their obscene profits collude to keep prices high. After all, prices were declining and the mysteriously stopped. Gotta be some evil oil pricing game being foisted on the dumb-as-a-stump customer.