My friend that is almost entirely hyperbole.
What it almost is, or almost isn't, doesn't matter. What it actually is, does. What it is, unfortunately appears to be reality.
Do you have any idea how many tens of millions of rounds of ammunition have been soaked up?
Yes, actually I have a very good idea of how much ammunition has been soaked up because I spend a good deal of my time studying such things.
...when is the last time you saw a Walmart stock anything but Winchester floor ammo, and the obligatory boxes of twenty of the premium stuff?
In my area, they usually stock a number of brands in the practice ammo. The Federal and WWB 100 packs are the two staples, but I also see Remington 100 packs, Tula, RWS, Winchester and other practice ammunition brands for sale in 9mm.
Walmart's portion of the ammo market, is miniscule comparatively speaking...
I would be quite interested in seeing some evidence to support this claim.
We have an ammo crunch solely due to the nefarious anti-gun machinations of the president of the US...
I see you missed (or ignored) part of my earlier reply. Here it is again.
You are correct for the most part as to the original & primary cause of the current shortage but your statement misses the primary point which is that once the shortage is in effect, it can be maintained, and is being maintained by a relatively small number of people.
We all understand why and how this started, but not many people understand how easy it is to keep it going once it's in full swing and the ammunition supply chain has been essentially emptied of popular calibers.
200 boxes, which I used as an example...
Actually, you said "200 cases" initially and then later in that post said 100s of boxes or 10 cases. Doesn't matter, it's all an exaggeration over what I'm seeing in this area and what I'm reading that others are seeing in their area.
What's happening here is that the local Wal-Marts are, at best, getting in a case or two of 9mm ammunition every couple of weeks or so. In the case of the ubiquitous 100 packs, that amounts to 10-20 boxes every 14 days.
... it is not unheard of for them to leave the ammo sitting there for half a day or longer.
Sure, I can see someone not getting ammo out for half a day or so, especially if it comes in during a rush period, but that's not even remotely similar to the impression that a claim like the one you originally posted is intended to convey. Here is what you said:
"They say that they don't have time to put it out. So there may be 200 cases of ammo in the back in the gun room. They don't just leave it out.
...
...they end up with not enough time to put ammo out. "
At the Wal-Mart nearest my house, they freely tell the customers what time the restocking truck deliveries arrive, and the ammo shelves, within an hour or so of the predicted time, are stocked with whatever the list said was going to arrive. That's part of how it came about that there is a small but dedicated group of folks camping out for 3 hrs or more waiting for the truck to come in and for the shelves to be stocked.
What I do think is false though is the idea that a small group is coming every day to Walmart and purchasing the ammo.
You might want to reread the thread.
First of all, to be perfectly accurate, I didn't say they were doing it every day, I said that they were camping out "waiting for each ammunition shipment that comes in." The shipments don't come in every day, so they don't camp out every day.
Second, other members have said that in their area, people are camping out on a regular basis, and we have one member who claims to have camped out daily at a local store for ammo purchases since January.
It certainly appears that there are adequate second and first person reports to strongly support the claim that the shortage is being maintained by a relatively small number of buyers.
The truth is that other "average Joes" are coming in to buy their three boxes of ammo and by the time 15 or 20 of them come thru--then 3 cases of ammo is gone.
Well, yes, of course the normal demand is still there on top of the panic buyers, but the normal demand isn't what is the problem. It obviously isn't enough to cause the shortage, and while it will slow the recovery, it also clearly doesn't make sense to posit that normal demand will keep the shortage from ending.
Really...there's no big mystery here and no conspiracy of ammo flippers.
Again, I think you need to read what I've actually said. I didn't claim that these were ammo flippers in my initial post, and in my second post on this thread, I made this comment.
"I think it's very likely that at least some of them are buying to resell, but I don't think it's a given that all of them are. "
It really doesn't matter, from a practical perspective, what they're doing with the ammunition, the bottom line is that they're keeping the Wal-Mart shelves bare and that's keeping the shortage alive in the minds of the millions of people in the U.S. who use Wal-Mart as their primary retailer.
There isn't a shortage of ammo. There is a shortage of *cheap* ammo.
Well, that was true a month or so ago, but now it's progressed further than that. It's hard to find anything in 9mm, and when you can, even if you want to purchase expensive stuff, you're likely have to take what's available. That often means only one loading in one brand, rather than being able to select options like bullet weight and manufacturer as would normally be the case.
How could the ammo manufacturers not know this was coming?
Same thing happened when Obama got elected. DUH do you suppose there would be another run on guns and ammo with his reelection?
It;s beyond me how ammo manufacturere could "play so dumb" amd then just make a killing on our wallets.
Whether they know or not, they don't have the option of expanding ammunition to completely meet large short term demand spikes. That would involve expansion and the purchase of additional machinery. Then when the demand spike was over, they would end up with unused floor space and millions of dollars of machinery sitting unused. It would bankrupt them.
They can only ramp up production by a limited amount unless it's clear that the demand increase is going to be permanent. Even then, expansion will be limited to meeting only as much as is warranted by the permanent increase. They will always be unable to fully respond to temporary large spikes in demand.
Just to put that in perspective, DHS claims to have 100,000 people to buy ammo for. That works out to 16,000 rounds of ammo for each, so they can fire 43 rounds a day, for 365 days.
That is incorrect.
1. There are more like 150,000 federal LEOs who would be the recipients of this ammunition in the form of training and issue ammunition.
2. The contract is not a single year contract, it is a 4-5 year contract.
3. The contract is not an actual order, it is an option contract. That is, it gives the DHS to right to purchase UP TO the stated amount over 4-5 years.
Even if you assume the full 1.6Billion is purchased (even though that's only the top limit amount), it still only works out to about 2100 rounds per federal agent per year. It's not at all an unreasonable amount given their requirements.
The current situation has nothing to do with government agencies procurement of ammo.
That's not correct. It's not the primary reason, nor is the procurement evidence of conspiracy, but clearly the government, both military and LE use a lot of ammunition. That usage contributes to the overall demand level, and clearly plays a part in the current situation.