What's up with all of the SHTF threads?

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Malone: Here's a link straight to "Thoughts On Urban Survival" run by the guy who runs Frugals. You won't have to register.

http://www.buildanark.net/argentinean.html

You may be interested to know that the Argentine urban survivor comes to some conclusions you may agree with. Remember, his POV is that there is still a society functioning, even at a beat down level, so you can't just run around with an AR-15 over your back. He covers all of the gun choices in later sectinos. Here's an excerpt:

URBAN OR COUNTRY?
Someone once asked me how did those that live in the country fare. If they were better off than city dwellers. As always there are no simple answers. Wish I could say country good, city bad, but I can’t, because if I have to be completely honest, and I intend to be so, there are some issues that have to be analyzed, especially security. Of course those that live in the country and have some land and animals were better prepared food-wise. No need to have several acres full of crops. A few fruit trees, some animals, such as chickens, cows and rabbits, and a small orchard were enough to be light years ahead of those in the cities. Chickens, eggs and rabbits would provide the proteins, a cow or two for milk and cheese, some vegetables and fruit plants covered the vegetable diet, some eggs or a rabbit could be traded for flour to make bread and pasta or sugar and salt.

Of course that there are exceptions, for example, some provinces up north have a desert climate, and it almost never rains. It is almost impossible to live off the land, and animals require food and water you have to buy. Those guys had it bad; no wonder the northern provinces suffer the most in my country. Those that live in cities, well they have to manage as they can. Since food prices went up about 200%-300%. People would cut expenses wherever they could so they could buy food. Some ate whatever they could; they hunted birds or ate street dogs and cats, others starved. When it comes to food, cities suck in a crisis. It is usually the lack of food or the impossibility to acquire it that starts the rioting and looting when TSHTF.

When it comes to security things get even more complicated. Forget about shooting those that mean you harm from 300 yards away with your MBR [main battle rifle]. Leave that notion to armchair commandos and 12 year old kids that pretend to be grown ups on the internet.

Some facts:

1) Those that want to harm you/steal from you don’t come with a pirate flag waving over their heads.

2) Neither do they start shooting at you from 200 yards away.

3) They won’t come riding loud bikes or dressed with their orange, convict just escaped from prison jump suits, so that you can identify them the better. Nor do they all wear chains around their necks and leather jackets. If I had a dollar for each time a person that got robbed told me “They looked like NORMAL people, dressed better than we are”, honestly, I would have enough money for a nice gun. There are exceptions, but don’t expect them to dress like in the movies.

4) A man with a wife and two or three kids can’t set up a watch. I don’t care if you are SEAL, SWAT or John Freaking Rambo, no 6th sense is going to tell you that there is a guy pointing a gun at your back when you are trying to fix the water pump that just broke, or carrying a big heavy bag of dried beans you bought that morning.

The best alarm system anyone can have on a farm are dogs. But dogs can get killed and poisoned. A friend of mine had all four dogs poisoned on his farm one night, they all died. After all these years I learned that even though the person that lives out in the country is safer when it comes to small time robberies, that same person is more exposed to extremely violent home robberies. Criminals know that they are isolated and their feeling of invulnerability is boosted. When they assault a country home or farm, they will usually stay there for hours or days torturing the owners. I heard it all: women and children getting raped, people tied to the beds and tortured with electricity, beatings, burned with acetylene torches. Big cities aren’t much safer for the survivalist that decides to stay in the city. He will have to face express kidnappings, robberies, and pretty much risking getting shot for what’s in his pockets or even his clothes.

So, where to go? The concrete jungle is dangerous and so is living away from it all, on your own. The solution is to stay away from the cities but in groups, either by living in a small town-community or sub division, or if you have friends or family that think as you do, form your own small community. Some may think that having neighbors within “shouting” distance means losing your privacy and freedom, but it’s a price that you have to pay if you want to have someone to help you if you ever need it. To those that believe that they will never need help from anyone because they will always have their rifle at hand, checking the horizon with their scope every five minutes and a first aid kit on their back packs at all times…. Grow up.
 
Travis,

Yes, I read that part of the discussion over at Peak Oil. That is exactly what I'm talking about. The idea of moving to the country and surviving on a few acres at the end of a dirt road in either the hippie or rugged individualist fantasy just isn't realistic. That article did more to cement my thinking than anything I've read in a long time. I can't wait to read the rest. Thanks.

Oh, and I don't mind registering over at FS. They just make you jump through a few more hoops than most. And do I really need another whole bunch of reading that I really HAVE to do every day if I get registered and make a post or two? Katrina almost broke me of the habit.
 
krochus said:
I've a member of various other forums with thousands of posts and I cannot figure out whats up with all of the SHTF threads on THR I have never even seen the term before coming here. The only SHTF I'm seriously worried about is the kind that involves a gas station burrito a lack of TP coupled with a malfunctioning celing fan.:what:

Given what's going on in the world today, if you aren't imaginative enough to envision the need for such discussion you may well be on the wrong board. Perhaps a knitting board? Good luck with your afgan.
 
cz75bdneos22 said:
WHAT!! you mean you didn't see Red Dawn!!!:neener:
Wolverines!!!::p
Reminds me of the Grand Theft Auto game, in which you hear a commercial for Ammo-Nation where they have a "free screening of the documentary film Red Dawn...

I worked doing some Y2K compliance stuff back in the dark days at the end of the 20th century, and yeah, I took some SHTF precautions. I ended up not needing them, but hey, it helps to have a generator and a few spare blankets laying around. As far as the bottled water, non-perishables and ammo, I've used those anyway.

I wasn't afraid that all the computers were going to melt down, but we ALL expected some glitches here and there (and yeah, we were all pleasantly surprised). Most of the problems centered around power-switching apparati in power plants, in which the problematic code was embedded in firmware. We expected some sporadic power-outages, which wouldn't have been a problem, except this was *Y2K*, and everyone was expecting DOOM. Imagine it: New Year's Eve in Time's Square. The ball descends...5,4,3,2...blackout. Even if it's only for a few minutes, you can be sure the crowd will panic, and when the lights come on a few minutes later, pandemonium.

No natural force is so unpredictable and dangerous as a panicked, irrational mass of human beings. We sat on our hands as midnight swept over New Zealand, then China, then Eastern Europe, and then we breathed a sigh of relief when the world stubbornly refused to end.

I took what I thought to be reasonable precautions, for which a few neighbors chided me, but guess what? In the days leading up to it, these were the same people asking me for advice on how to prepare. I had a friend in Los Angeles who was ribbed and ridiculed as a "gun nut" until the Rodney King riots. Same probably goes for the few people who were prepared for Katrina.

So, are some of these threads just a bit fanciful and goofy? Sure, but that makes them fun. There's still a wealth of good information in them, and I've learned a few things. I'm fortunate not to live too close to the urban sprawl, and my house is built on high ground in an area not generally subject to geological or weather concerns, but still, it doesn't hurt to be ready for anything.

Those saucer-people are a-comin'...any day now.
 
Travis McGee said:
eoR: I believe that the owner of BuildanArk is the same as the guy who runs Frugal Squirrels, hence he can post, because he bought the copyright from FerFal.


Yep, just a heads up that he'd gotten it up on the Ark.
 
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Travis, you should post that Argentinean story on its own thread. Quite hair-raising.

On the firearms angle, I was interested about what he had to say re: pistols vs. revolvers. Imagine having to think about laying down suppressive fire on your way home from work. That story also made me think about folding stocks for rifles more seriously.
 
I wasn't afraid that all the computers were going to melt down, but we ALL expected some glitches here and there (and yeah, we were all pleasantly surprised). Most of the problems centered around power-switching apparati in power plants, in which the problematic code was embedded in firmware. We expected some sporadic power-outages, which wouldn't have been a problem, except this was *Y2K*, and everyone was expecting DOOM. Imagine it: New Year's Eve in Time's Square. The ball descends...5,4,3,2...blackout. Even if it's only for a few minutes, you can be sure the crowd will panic, and when the lights come on a few minutes later, pandemonium.
Just an aside--I had an acquaintance who was at his parents' house on New Year's Eve, 1999. The entire extended family was watching the Times Square countdown on TV. Y2K was on everyone's minds...

A few seconds before midnight, the dad sneaked down to the basement, and on the stroke of midnight, pulled the main breaker for the house. Much screaming and panic ensued... :D
 
NineseveN said:
To all you gun owners that like to make fun of those of us that engage in discussions about preparations for the worst and store small quantities of ammunition and arms:

When you see us talking about defending our lives from marauders or attackers in a case of civil unrest, disaster or societal collapse, who do you think we're talking about?

Well, asside from terrorists/invaders, zombies, giant bugs, aliens and the government, we're talking about YOU.

Yes, there are far too many people with a closet full of AR-15s with all
the bling-bling attachments and about a week of food in the cupboard.
Too bad they didn't buy about three years supply of dehy food in #10
cans instead of their ump-teenth rifle.

It's poor planning. I see all these pictures on websites of people's dozen+
rifle collections. How many of those things are they going to carry and use?
Have they actually ever carried a couple rifles a couple pistols and a full pack
for a few miles? Don't make me laugh.

I've been around a lot of gun owners and "survivalists" over the years
and the great majority who chirp "SHTF preparedness" would be lucky
to scrape up more than a week of food, one working flashlight, a gallon
of gasoline, and a box of bandages.

Yes, these can be the very people who become the MZBs (just like anyone
else out for their own "survival") if a SHTF scenario stretches past the two
week point where there is absolutely no assistance from the outside.

Week #1: "I have a gun, a lot of ammo, and some food. I'll be OK."
Week #2: "I have a gun, a little less ammo and no food. I think I
need to get some food...."
Week #3: "I have a gun, some ammo, I'm starving and I know how to get
some food."

Scarcity of resources makes people do crazy things.....
 
Travis McGee said:
Malone: Here's a link straight to "Thoughts On Urban Survival" run by the guy who runs Frugals. You won't have to register.

http://www.buildanark.net/argentinean.html

You may be interested to know that the Argentine urban survivor comes to some conclusions you may agree with. Remember, his POV is that there is still a society functioning, even at a beat down level, so you can't just run around with an AR-15 over your back. He covers all of the gun choices in later sectinos.

This quote was also worth noting:

If you can build a well, do so, set it as your top of the list priority as a survivalist. Water comes before firearms, medicines and even food.

I've been to Iraq. It doesn't take much to knock out a municipal water
supply. You learn about water, electricity and waste disposal in a hurry
the hard way when you can't turn a knob, flick a switch or push a lever
to have something taken care of for you. And, what happens to rural
wells if there's no electricity to run the pump or gasoline for generators is
scarce?

I'm not suggesting everyone keep a personal pallet of bottled water (although
you'd be surprised how much you'd use in a week if it was your ONLY source
of water), but a logical starting point is "how much water do I have?"

These are all important things to consider -more important than the kind of
firearm your possess.
 
Thin Black Line said:
I see all these pictures on websites of people's dozen+
rifle collections. How many of those things are they going to carry and use?
Have they actually ever carried a couple rifles a couple pistols and a full pack
for a few miles?
There's the key paragraph. Too much of anything is a bad thing.

Gimme an 870, my K9 (or the 642, but if the SHTF resulting in TEOTWAWKI, I'd rather have the K9), a few dozen rnds for each (cached in a base camp or two), a good knife (my SOG Seal Pup will do);

a few pounds of rice, polenta, beans; a few cans of tomatoes; some sugar; some salt; some oil; matches; hopefully a can or two of sardines; maybe a few onions & a few bunches of garlic.

a basic 'mess kit', preferably a backpacking or even a two burner propane stove (but at least matches); water filter & canteens;

rain gear, 3 layers of fleece, hat, gloves, a good pair of boots;

a shelter would be nice (even if it's my 4 lb mountaineering tent but i can make do with 3 mil plastic sheeting);

a first aid kit (optional)

at least an expedition backpack (multiple trips are ok) or a cyclocross bike and a BOB trailer...

i'm good for a month or so.

add a hot woman with a warm gun, & i'll stretch that month into an eternity.

:evil:

Nem
 
Yes, these can be the very people who become the MZBs (just like anyone else out for their own "survival") if a SHTF scenario stretches past the two week point where there is absolutely no assistance from the outside.
Speaking of -- Does anyone else remember a few years ago, someone on one of the forums (TFL, 1911? maybe the Usenet?) was writing crackup stories about some mall-ninja survivalist named Mambo or Mubo or something like that? We need to dig those up! :D
 
Roscoe: Speaking of folding stock rifles: a terrific SHTF / modern civil war movie is "Savior" with Dennis Quaid in an unusually dark role. He's an American who has wound up fighting for the Serbs in the middle of Bosnia...long story how that came about. Anyway, he often has to wear civilian clothes, and cross enemy lines, or not even know what "enemy lines" are where, or which side he is on.

At the same time, he needs the range and firepower of a scoped high powered rifle. But...he needs to hide it under a coat to move about in the open. A scoped folding stock rifle seems like a natural choice for this type of crazy mixed up modern civil war battlefield.

Great movie anyway. Recommended.
 
ThinBlackLine: I'm looking around for a couple of plastic barrels to use for water storage. The Argentine's recommendation of 2 gallons per day per person for 2 weeks as a minimum means more than 100 gallons for my family of four. Sometimes I think about a California earthquake breaking the aquaducts which bring the water from the distant mountains. SoCal would get ugly fast with ten million thirsty folks looking for drinking water.
 
Travis McGee said:
A scoped folding stock rifle seems like a natural choice for this type of crazy mixed up modern civil war battlefield.
Hey, Travis. Since you mentioned those, which one(s) would you (and others) recommend? I seem to have a 'hankering' for some kind of rifle bigger than my CZ 452 (on the way), but haven't decided what yet.

Yeah, those AR/AK's appeal, but seem a little too ... high tech for my taste. And being a backpacker type, I like the idea of making it smaller, more compact.

Nem
 
Stats update

Of 5 pages of "new posts",
this thread still is in the lead
in terms of # reading it with
3,470 views.

Close second,
coming up fast:
What a woman!

Gee, I wonder why? :rolleyes:

Bump.

Nem
 
Nematocyst: I've just got a folding SS mini-14, mainly as a boat gun. Side folders will be shorter folded than a collapsing stock in the shortest position, in terms of hiding it under a coat. Basically I'd go with your favorite rifle, and see if there is a folding stock option. The Argentine guy has an FAL folder, I think it's called a Para as in paratroop. I'm a little vague on Russian folding stock options. But the point is a good one that you just can't plan to open carry a long arm in crazy mixed up situations. You may need to shoot it one hour, and another hour, you may need to conceal it. A folder gives you a lot of flexibility, for sure. You are certainly not going to hide an M-1A, Garand or full length AR-15 under your jacket.
 
Travis, thanks for the recommendation - it is now at the top of my Netflix queue. On the folding stocks - I am now thinking of selling my .223 Saiga (thought I love it) and getting a SU16 for its light weight and foldability.

I have also heard a rumor (on the internet - shocking, I know) that Winchester is going to start coming out with takedown lever rifles next year. If that is true, I plan on getting a Trapper-sized takedown lever gun in .357 - such a rifle would be pretty durn compact. I know, I could order a Marlin from Wild West Guns, but they aren't exactly giving them away.
 
Roscoe: some folks consider lever guns to be a darn nice "PC" almost assault rifle. Looks nice and friendly, hunter-like, but you can put out plenty of rounds. A .357 or .44 mag rifle/revolver combo makes sense to me.
 
I'm looking around for a couple of plastic barrels to use for water storage.

You can get plastic trash cans pretty cheap at Home Depot-type places or business supply houses. I've got several from my business, but they're in Miss and no lids, and you probably wouldn't want one that was actually used for trash anyway. I've also seen some good blue barrels, about 50 gals that were used for olive oil or something.

See http://www.pep-c.org/waterbarrels1/ for an idea.

I'm planning on putting a couple under downspouts around my house.

I'd think you'd also want several cases of bottled water in 1-gal to 1-liter sizes. The bulk water would mostly be for non-drinking uses, but would make your bottled water stretch a lot further.

I have a well on the house I just bought that has not been operated for several years. Apparently a screen didn't work and it was sucking sand. I need to get it fixed soon. I was thinking of rigging up a trickle pump to a solar cell and a tank I could put maybe 10 feet off the ground. My ground is very flat and that should be enough head to be able to irrigate the acre.
 
Thin Black Line said:
Week #3: "I have a gun, some ammo, I'm starving and I know how to get some food."
What, you mean gunpowder isn't edible?!? :eek:

Good point, though. Martial preparedness is only part of the picture.
 
It's funny to watch this thread evolve from "why are SHTF threads so popular" to a SHTF thread of it's on. Are we hardcore, or what? :D

In terms of water, I'm planning to invest in a stock of about 10 of something like these. These are the bottles used in office water dispensers or "bubblers" as they're often called.

There's a cute trick that one can do with one that doesn't require an official dispenser. Just turn one upside down into a standard water cooler like you'd find at a construction site or a picnic, top off of course. It seals against the rim, then fills up as the cooler is drained.

These can be used for drinking water only (and brushing teeth, etc), with rainwater used for bathing, etc.

Bottled water could be used for cooking, but my sense is, if you've got to boil water anyway to cook, that will sterilize it, so use rainwater for cooking, too.

Nem
 
BenW said:
Speaking of -- Does anyone else remember a few years ago, someone on one of the forums (TFL, 1911? maybe the Usenet?) was writing crackup stories about some mall-ninja survivalist named Mambo or Mubo or something like that? We need to dig those up! :D
Jeffrey Schwartz started "Mabuvian Prose" on misc.survivalism. He had a "Mabuvian Prose Archive" page, but it is offline. Archive.org found this. Most of the links work, but you will need to click again on the links that are under "Robots.txt Retrieval Exclusion" or open them in another window.
 
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