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Will an assault weapon ban pass in 2009?

Discussion in 'Legal' started by atek3, Dec 4, 2008.

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  1. atek3

    atek3 Member

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    New Prediction Market Contract

    There's now a prediction market called intrade.net that has two contracts being traded. One is bill introduced, and one is law passes.

    It would be good if we could get some "wisdom of crowds" going.

    thanks,
    atek3
     
  2. Sinixstar

    Sinixstar member

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    intrade's been around for awhile... I view it with a bit of a grain of salt though.There were still people trading Hillary Clinton as President going into november of this year.
     
  3. atek3

    atek3 Member

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    Grain of salt yes, but the whole point of a futures market is to assign real probabilities to events. I mean Hilary.President was probably trading at half a cent on the dollar. Was there a greater than half a percent chance Obama dies, gets incapacitated, has a massive scandal? Maybe, Maybe not. Some people felt it was worth it.

    Prediction markets have constantly outperformed polls in terms of elections.
     
  4. expvideo

    expvideo Member

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    My magic eight-ball says "No".
     
  5. PTK

    PTK Member

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    Millions and millions and millions of "assault weapons" are in civilian hands.

    That. Is. Common. Use.


    Thanks, SCOTUS! :)
     
  6. everallm

    everallm Member

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    IMHO

    Bill introduced in 12 months...............99% probability
    Bill dies in committee........................95% probability
     
  7. Lone_Gunman

    Lone_Gunman Member

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    Maybe. But all that means is the can't ban assault weapons. They could still limit magazine capacity to 5 rounds, and band pistol grips, flash hiders, and bayonet lugs. The effect would be the same.

    Who wants a 5 shot AR with a thumbhole stock?

    They could also require federal registration of all guns, and require gun owners to get fingered printed, pay registration fees, attend mandatory safety courses, make storage requirements, etc.

    If you think the Heller decision is protecting you from anything other than an outrigh ban, you arent paying attention.
     
    Last edited: Dec 4, 2008
  8. ManBearPig

    ManBearPig member

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    Unfortunately, my only answer to that is......well at least I have mine already; before they make them painful to look at.
     
  9. Gunnerpalace

    Gunnerpalace Member

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    Common Use,

    3000 30rd mags sold in 2hrs at one place.
     
  10. Eightball

    Eightball Member

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    Yes. Yes it will.

    Next question.
     
  11. BUGUDY

    BUGUDY Member

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    I think the economy will keep them busy enough for the next couple of years.
     
  12. 22-rimfire

    22-rimfire Member

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    And that's a firearm. :)

    I expect to see initially a ban similar to the AWB of 1994. Many politicians were for that particular bit of legislation.

    After that, the "gunshow loophole" gets addressed. Another salable piece of legislation to the common urban citizen who does not understand firearms or how business is conducted.

    I'll fight for nothing to change, but I think it's unlikey to restrain the Democrat Congress with Obama as president.
     
  13. The_Shootist

    The_Shootist Member

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    Well

    Doesn't look like the Dems will have a filibuster proof Senate to pass that side. I'm just wondering with the economy tanking how eager Congress is to tackle something that generates alot of heat with minimal returns - either vote wise or crime wise.
     
  14. Art Eatman

    Art Eatman Administrator Staff Member

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    Enuf OT
     
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