The future of our hobby in all niches.

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WestKentucky

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Each niche of our hobby has a great storied past and an exciting trend. I wonder what people see as the future of these bits of the shooting, hunting, etc hobby is. Just to throw out some things to consider, both in near future(5years or less) or distant future (5+years), the future of

Competition
Psa
Cowboy
Idpa
Zoot shoot
Benchrest
Silhouette
Skeet
Etc

Gun development
Handguns
Pistols
Revolvers
Concealed carry guns
Hunting guns
Black guns
Shotguns
Etc

Cartridge design
Bottleneck handgun
Bigbore rifle
Caseless ammo
Bigbore handgun
Small bore development
Shotgun specialty ammo
Etc
Frangible ammo vs lead

Reloading
Nfa bits
 
I have posted repeatedly that I think small bottleneck handgun is the future of the pistol market, especially in the concealed market. Development in 22 to 32 caliber has taken off. I suspect it will continue and grow.

I also think that bigbore design aimed at 1911 platforms or glock pistols will continue. The 10mm is growing, but I suspect that calibers like 45gap will grow more popular, especially with the current explosion of population in the reloading world. I mention 1911 and glock because they seem to get a lot of the new stuff before others. Maybe FNH or Sig will join them.

Competition is a good thing and it seems to be growing, but land to put a range on is both expensive and scarce. I suspect competition to move towards indoor games in the future, which means subsonic or suppressed and pistol carbines if long guns are involved. This may push IDPA and pull away from 3 gun.

MSR development has stalled on the AR platform itself. All of the development seems to be in both big and tiny caliber. 17 and 20 cal on the small end and .452,.458,.50 on the top. Maybe the AR10 will grow more popular or another platform come on the market that we can build upon. Ps90 maybe? New military guns are trending towards more compact guns so maybe a bull pup semi to build...?

Lead has had its coffin nailed on for a while. It's run has nearly ended and we are facing vast increases in cost. I have no clue what our next material will be. Copper is too expensive, most metals too light to be effective. This concerns me.
 
Accessories, man, gotta have a whole other set of categories for accessories! :D

I think gun development is heating up once more after being fairly stagnant for the last decade(s) as far as what most people see and have access to (so not counting SCARs and M416's ;) ). We've got a some new bullpup designs (Tavor, RFB, KSG, the AUG is back, too), the piston-AR concept is getting more accessible and mainstream all the time (which is definitely an evolution, whether one happens to think it is an improvement), very diverse pistol designs are popping up (Boberg, R51, CCP) that are refuting the Browning tilt-barrel for the first time in a generation or two. I always say we are in the midst of a gunny's Renaissance; a golden age of development and plenty :)

I do think cartridge design is going to continue to favor small bore magnum pressure bottle-neck jobs for the time being. I do, however, think the short and stubby fad is fading (WSSM, we hardly knew ye) since it is inherently limiting in semi-auto applications. I do fully expect A) some means of safely getting chamber pressures past 70ksi in all ranges of cartridges (small to big bore), B) some means of getting 4000fps rounds through semi-autos without severely-limiting barrel life, C) super-long ogive bullets to become cheaper and more common in rifles

What I'd like and think there is potential for;
D) 7.62x25 Tokarev to have a resurgence outside of military surplus ammo
E) another platform in 5.7x28 to come online (and another couple ammo makers), maybe a single stack pocket gun
F) More development of the Pedersen hesitation lock action in pistols (R51 tuning, modification, and development by competitive shooters, namely)
G) mainstreaming of suppressors

TCB
 
Competition

It's my ardent hope that competitive shooting continues to grow. The biggest impediment to this currently is the limited supply and high cost of ammunition, especially .22. Regular competition will make you more competent and confident with whatever kind of gun you shoot, and it's something that most people should get out and do, at least a few times a year.

Psa

I assume you mean USPSA. If so, I hope the sport continues to grow. I also hope that they don't screw up Steel Challenge, as that's currently the best introduction to practical shooting for new shooters available.

Cowboy

Great sport, great folks. I hope it continues to grow in popularity. The introduction of the "Wild Bunch" division was a stroke of genius. The only problems with that sport that I see are ammo costs, and a fairly high barrier of entry with regard to the guns you need. If I ever overcome my self-perception that I would look stupid in a cowboy hat and boots, I'd definitely play.

Idpa

IDPA is suffering from a serious lack of innovation. The sport was originally developed to be a "realistic" form of practical pistol competition. Unfortunately, the rules are currently mired in concepts that were en vogue during the mid-late 1990s, some of which have since been invalidated or overcome by developments in technology. For instance, lasers sights are a common thing to see on carry guns nowadays, but are prohibited in IDPA.

Zoot shoot

Fedoras, suits, Cadillacs, 1911s, and an excuse to buy an Auto Ordnance semi-auto Tommy Gun. What's not to like? I hope the sport is able to find a niche and self-sustain.

Benchrest

No idea.

Silhouette

No idea. Silhouette has been around for a long time, and as a sport it's pretty well solidified.

Skeet

Not going anywhere any time soon, however, I expect it to lose some of its appeal to Sporting Clays.

Etc

I hope 3 Gun, and the attendant media exposure it brings, continues to grow as a sport, not only because it's a metric ton of fun, but also because it helps to legitimize the ownership of the exact kinds of guns that give the anti crowd a major case of the vapors.

Gun development

Handguns

It's my hope that we'll continue to see development in the concealed carry market. Within the next 5-15 years, I would expect to see lasers become common place, along with self-deploying red dot sights, minuscule flashlights with ridiculous lumen outputs and the like.


Revolvers

Revolvers will become mostly the domain of hoary old men. They will continue to hold some niche appeal for concealed carry, big-bore hunting, and those who are interested in making a personal statement.

That said, revos are time tested, and aren't going away any time soon.

Concealed carry guns

See above statement regarding the development of smaller, better, more efficient electronic accessories like red dot sights, lasers, and flashlights.

Hunting guns

Pretty well set as they are, especially for 95% of the hunting rifle market. I would expect there to be some development at the high end towards the use of guns that incorporate computerized optics and sound suppressors, where legal.


Black guns

This is going to continue to be where a lot of things happen. I expect SBRs and suppressors to continue to be popular. I expect that the sale of EBRs will spike every time some idiot politician tries to make a statement about banning them, and I expect their popularity to continue to grow, causing the usual gaggle of idiot antis to continue to stamp their little feetsies in impotent rage.

The great thing about the AR15 is that it's the world's first truly open-source gun, and the endless opportunities for modification and personalization will continue to bolster its popularity.

For the future, I'd like to see a bullpup design that is also as equally open source as the AR15 has become. There have already been some hints in that direction with Giesselle releasing an after-market Tavor trigger, and people figuring out how to get better accuracy by floating the barrels. What's needed next is an entry-level bullpup that can be had for around $1000, that addresses most of the problems that come with the bullpup design, and which the average guy can modify in the same way a kid can build whatever he wants with a set of Legos.

I also expect to see 80% receivers continue to become more mainstream.

Shotguns

A number of designs have figured out how to shove more cartridges into a shotgun, but there's still a lot of room for improvement in the shotgun world:
• Continue to develop guns that are reliable with a wide array of different kinds of shotgun shells.
• Recoil management.
• Capacity of a Kel-Tec KSG in a semi-auto shotgun that is made by someone other than Kel-Tec.

What would I like to see?

A shotgun that thoroughly addresses how to easily execute things like a select-slug drill.

Cartridge design

Bottleneck handgun

These are mostly going to be a relic of the 1990s, unless there's another magazine ban.

Bigbore rifle

No idea.

Caseless ammo

Perpetually ten years in the future. I do hold out some hope for decent polymer rifle and pistol cases, as well as the cased, telescoping ammunition.

Bigbore handgun

No idea.

Small bore development

Would love to see more rimfire ammo on the market.

Shotgun specialty ammo

Probably going to stay as is for the most part, with some niche developments made that fall into both the useful (Federal Flite Control) and gimmicky (that stupid bolo round) categories.

Frangible ammo vs lead

Hate to say it, but I expect non-lead based ammunition to become mandatory, at least in some states, or for some activities like hunting.


Reloading

Might become more popular if commercial ammunition remains scarce.

Nfa bits

SBRs and suppressors are where it's at. Lots of people are going to continue to buy those, and I expect that state-level restrictions regarding NFA items will continue to be eased, at least in most states.



That about cover it?
 
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