2006 Gun-Related Predictions

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A few thoughts:

Glock will be sued under a products liability theory by someone who suffers injury as a result of an accidental discharge. There is a growing camp of people who blame the design of the Glock for these incidents, and I predict problems for Glock along this line.

Smith and Wesson may capitalize on the difficulties the military is having with the Beretta, the animosity towards the Glock, and the favorable reviews of the M&P by securing a contract with the military to replace the Berettas with the M&P. The big twist will be that the M&P will be provided in .40 caliber. The 9mm was adopted in large part due to NATO vs. Warsaw Pact issues, which are dead in the current environment. The .40 will be adopted as a move towards better stopping power in ball ammunition. Glock may attempt to underbid Smith for this contract, but "Buy American" sentiments will help Smith capture the deal. To further seal the deal, and to heighten the desirability of the M&P line, Smith wil release a compact version for the concealment market.

The revolver will continue its painful slide into history as Smith and other companies will continue to offer fewer and fewer revolvers in their product lines, turning attention to more and more autoloaders. Only the J-frame sized revolvers will continue to sell well, and then only so long as the CCW laws remain in effect or even spread.

I expect gun shows to become a thing of the past, as they will continue to be blamed for criminals obtaining firearms. I also expect the NICS checks to become more formidable, possibly requiring fingerprints, in the name of "Anti-terrorism" legislation.

I forsee the start of a swing back from the restrictions on liberties under the Patriot Act and such towards the center again, as judges and politicians see how Bush and Co. have taken abuse due to the NSA domestic spying, etc., and also because 9/11 fades into the history books. If, however, there is another major terrorist incident on American soil, liberties will be further restricted, and some will claim that Bush played some part in the incident as a means of justifying his previous acts.

A friend thinks we will start seeing the groundwork for an effort to allow Bush to run for a third term, a la FDR during WWII. You know, you don't want to change leadership in the middle of a war.

As for me, I predict that, as motivation to lose weight, get in shape, and improve my overall health, I will put a picture of a Sig 232 by my work out equipment and begin saving money, so that if I can achieve the weight and fitness goals by October 8 (my 38th birthday), I will purchase it. I've always lusted after that gun, for some reason.

Have a happy and healthy 2006.
 
Beretta/Benelli will not bring the RX4 to the US.

Kimber's DAO polymer pistol will be a tremendous flop.

THere will be at least a half dozen new rounds released in '06. Most being named after the firearm manufacturer that had the brain storm to begin with.

Glock will not introduce a 1911.

More defunct company names will surface as brands of bigger companies.

Saiga rifles and shotguns will be sold in the US again but at $400 as opposed to the $229 they sold for durring the first intro.
 
predict

I will cut down on the number of guns I have and spend more time shooting more with fewer guns.
Use the money I receive from the guns and buy more ammo
 
I predict that a lot of people will go around talking about the glories of the "ought-six".

I predict that SA will come out with a commemorative rifle of some sort, either that 1903 (?) bolt action or a M1 Garand.

I predict that I will get a Smith model 629 with a 4" barrel to complement my Redhawk.

I predict that I will probably get a .45acp revolver of some sort.

I predict that I will probably get a .30-06 rifle of some sort.:D

I predict that if the S does not HTF, at least some fecal mist will ooze from somewhere...:scrutiny:

I predict that we will have another terrorist incident, and Bush will be blamed for it. It will be coupled with dubious claims that if we were all just subjects of king George, none of this would have happened.
 
FBMG will proceed with Phase I of it's plan for total GLOBAL DOMINATION!

BWA HA HA HA!
 
For 2006, I predict lots of Garand sales and hoopla over the 30-06. I plan to buy a Danish less wood from CMP and put a Nigerian PG stock on it.

More 1911-clones will come out, but already owning a series 70, I will sin and buy a DAO SIG P226r or P229r for my wife and I to share as the HD pistol.

Cali will add more AR style receivers to its AWB list thus allowing the few fortunate folks who bought CTR02s, STAGs, Fulton FAR-15s and DSA receivers to register them and make them into real AR-15s. Sadly I will most likely not be one of these few fortunate Californians.

Other than that I see mroe firearms and ammo and rangetime for me next year.

Kodiaz said:
...and also I predict I will find some way of mounting a bayonet to every firearm I own (especially the pistols) so that I may offend liberals.

HankB said:
I predict someone will come up with a bayonet which can be attached to a pistol via the flashlight accessory rail.
Y'all mean like this?
http://www.czub.cz/index.php?p=32&idp=1&ids=3&idz=171&lang=en
get_img.php


Oh, and Kodiaz, it won't be anyone who is liberal who is offended by your Bayos.
 
There won't be any gun related bad legislation in '06 - it's midterm election and our public servants dearly want to keep their snouts firmly planted in the feed bag.
 
The RX4 will be at the 2006 SHOT show.

The 92FS will be redesigned, including a beefed-up slide, polymer frame, and redesigned grip shape.

Glock will introduce a 1911.

I will acquire an autoloading .243, for no apparent reason. For free. :)

Remington will go out of business.

And, coming 2007, Beretta will introduce... a 1911.

I refuse to say where I learned of this; I will say, however, that it will happen.
 
I predict that in 2006 ...

- at least one law enforcement officer will "lose" his or her gun in a public place, i.e., a restroom or it will be stolen from a police vehicle ... and five different THR members will post the same article on this incident in both the Gen Gun and L&P forums the very next morning ...

- at least one law enforcement officer will have a negligent discharge in a public place ...and five different THR members will post the same article on this incident in both the Gen Gun and L&P forums the very next morning ...

- on the cop negligent discharge thread, ten posters will immediately surmise that the firearm in question must have been a Glock ...

- THR will have at least 400 more "Help me make up my mind," "Help me choose between X and Y," and "What gun should I buy for my GF/wife?" threads ...

- If the pistol ever reaches production status, Jan Libourel will review the Taurus PT-1911 in Gun World and his article will, as all his Taurus pieces do, narrate the entire history of Taurus handguns ...

- There will be at least 5 THR threads during the year taking issue with one of Massad Ayoob's columns, articles or books ...

- DoD will place an order with Beretta-USA for an additional 150,000 M-9s to replace aging stock, thereby putting to rest for at least three weeks all the silly rumors about the military going with HKs or S&Ws as the new general issue service pistol ...
 
It will be the same old same old, the Republicraps will see the rich get richer and the bill of rights gets raped, the Demorats will take more bribes and see the rich get richer and rape the bill of rights more.
So what else is new?:mad:
 
Waitone said:
Near term prediction is gun control will disappear from the public discourse for the 2006 election.
.

Additional Details:

Pre-election:
Hillary Clinton appears in a photo-op at Camp Perry blazing away with an AR-based service rifle. She declares her lifelong devotion to the Second Ammendment. When questioned about gun control, she replies "What's that? Huh? Never heard of any such."

Post-election:
The Democrat-controlled Congress passes "Assault Weapons Ban Mark Two," which defines "assault weapon" as "any object, real or imagined, which bears any resemblance to a firearm in appearance, form, materials, design, construction, or function, or which can be used to inflict real or imagined harm on a life-form." Only Hollywood-based liberal activists and their bodyguards will be allowed to own, possess, touch, discuss, or think about "assault weapons."
 
Cali will add more AR style receivers to its AWB list thus allowing the few fortunate folks who bought CTR02s, STAGs, Fulton FAR-15s and DSA receivers to register them and make them into real AR-15s.

I predict the opposite. Seeing how useless an AR-15 is with a 10 round fixed magazine, which must be loaded from the top after partially disassembling the gun, as well as an opportunities to further complicate California's firearms regulations, the CA DOJ will not add any new makes and models of AR-15 receivers to the assault weapons list. Late in the year, the market in the free United States will be flooded with lightly used second hand AR-15 receivers, as Californian's give up hope that the stripped AR-15 receivers they purchased will be classified as assault weapons, and begin to sell them off.
 
National CCW Reciprocity

I sadly predict that not enough of us will actually contact our Congressional Representatives regarding the topic of National CCW Reciprocity, and that after it fails to become law, there will be a lot of whining by people who didn't choose to get involved and help it pass.
 
I predict that Nebraska will finally get CCW.

Wisconsin's legislature will pass CCW...

I predict that Illinois will become the last state in the union with no provision at all for CCW.

Furthermore, since we're dynamiting fish in a barrel, I predict a Chicago area RINO will run for Illinois governor, and either lose, or be indistinguishable from a Chicago area Devilcrat governor.
 
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The price of 1,000 rounds of Wolf 7.62x39 FMJ ammo will reach $145 average street price. Maybe even $150 by end of year.

Keep in mind a couple years ago it was more like $65-$70, so this cartridge will have more than doubled its street price in just three years.

I predict that this increase in cost, and spotty availability of what was once one of the cheapest centerfire cartridges around, will increase interest and awareness of reloading skills within our community.
 
Unfortunately, I predict more people on this board asking whether flashbangs and machine guns are good for home defense. And the sad thing is, they're not trolls, but serious.
 
VorpalSpork said:
I predict the opposite. Seeing how useless an AR-15 is with a 10 round fixed magazine, which must be loaded from the top after partially disassembling the gun, as well as an opportunities to further complicate California's firearms regulations, the CA DOJ will not add any new makes and models of AR-15 receivers to the assault weapons list. Late in the year, the market in the free United States will be flooded with lightly used second hand AR-15 receivers, as Californian's give up hope that the stripped AR-15 receivers they purchased will be classified as assault weapons, and begin to sell them off.
The DOJ is making noises about mid January. The DOJ has stated the CTR02, STAG, and Fulton lowers are going on the list, but I suspect the Mega Gator that I really want may not end up on the list. But I don't care if they don't add them because I am eventually leaving the state. I will have an AR eventually, so what do I care if I have a lower chillin in the safe for a couple years? I don't have the funds to build it up right now anyway. I really need to concentrate on getting other stuff anyway, (Like ammo, reloading stuff, stuff that IS still legal here, etc, etc, etc.)
 
Walmart predictions moot

spooney said:
Cosmoline said:
Originally Posted by Cosmoline
I'm interested to hear what predictions people have regarding firearms and gun laws in the new year.

Personally, I predict that Wal-Mart, in its continuing drive to court the urban and blue state market, will cut back but probably not totally eliminate firearm and ammunition sales. I base this on Wal-Mart's known marketing moves and goals, along with rumors of a big cut in the works. The big losers, as Tom Gresham recently pointed out, will be those gun companies that have gotten most deeply in bed with Wal-Mart. If this happens, expect the company to swear up and down it has to do with sales, not politics.
I feel that this won't happen this year but we will definatly see moves towards that. We have been restricted so much on which guns we can carry, and how many of them we can have in the store at a time it is incredible.
Sorry gentlemen - your predictions are too late. Walmart has already removed firearms sales in some stores in MA on a case-by-case basis.

See Hadley and Northampton stores (that I know of) for details.

Peet
 
ARperson said:
Based on the rash of shootings with "evil" firearms lately (tec9 and ak), I predict a rare assault on gun restrictions. If not statewide, at least focused very intensely on Indianapolis city area.

Ugh! And I was just posting last week about how decent Indiana/Indianapolis was towards CCW and firearms ownership. :(

You know, you tried to be a pessimist and yet your slip in wording shows your optimism.

I'm taking this one step forward and promoting the stealth passing of the 'Assault ON Weapons Control Act of 2006'
 
HighVelocity said:
I predict that Glock will introduce a Carbine and a 1911. :neener:

Can't do a 1911. A 1911 has to actually have lines and aesthetics that make it look like a 1911. Glock can't do anything that's not blocks. :D

Same reason they can't do a revolver. Can't do a square cylinder!
 
CAS700850 said:
I expect gun shows to become a thing of the past, as they will continue to be blamed for criminals obtaining firearms. I also expect the NICS checks to become more formidable, possibly requiring fingerprints, in the name of "Anti-terrorism" legislation.

I expect gun shows to keep dropping in number not for that reason, but because the vendors at most INSIST on overcharging for what they offer. True, there's some deals, but I more often see things $100-$200 or more than what I can get them for online.

For a lot of people I know, going to a show is just a way to try something out in your hand, then go home and order it online.

I have a PocketPC with internet access from anywhere, and I have gunsamerica and gunslist on it. Hence, at a show, I can pick up something on the table, look at the price, bring up one of the auction sites...and show the vendor what I can get it for online, if they'll match. I think that's fair.

I've not yet had one match a price. So for THAT reason I can see the shows becoming dinosaurs, simple economics...but not for any other reason.
 
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