Penetration
The basis for the switch is the FBI ordering up a 180 grain bullet at 980 fps, that penetrates 17.9", and, even though it was a 10mm load, that's what they went with.
The 40 is capable of producing that load, at reasonable pressure. Double Tap ammo is a good place to start, since only their XTP loads penetrate the desired 18" after Platt and company.
By slowing the bullet down, they reduced expansion from around .96" to .6-.7 inches. However, everyone can shoot it, and, it fits in lots of guns.
It's not a bad compromise. 9mm, except for the 147 grain bullets can't penetrate that well, or, is inconsistent in expansion. Also, velocity isn't very good with that heavy a bullet.
.40 with Longshot or Universal powder, can move the 180 grain bullet at the target speed with a minimum pressure of 25k. This means very mild recoil, if loaded with a those good powders. Also, the bigger bullets mean more consistent expansion, and, greater bone breaking ability. It was a wise choice by Urey Patrick . In the 10mm it was even better, because the larger case meant pressure could be about the same as the 45 ACP.
The FBI argument was that the 45ACP was proven, and therefore not exciting.
They also had specs for a gun that no one had built at the time, and, they ordered something like 10k guns from S&W. It often looks like politics influence the choices as much as ballistics. The 45 ACP had just been canned by the military, I think this was 89, and that was an unpopular choice with Congress.
good powder.
The 10MM notes,
http://www.firearmstactical.com/pdf/fbi_10mm_notes.pdf
Give a wonderful look at the history, and examination of the three calibers, and, how the choice was made. The FBI has been a leader for LEO, and, through LEO, for CCW, thanks to our legal system.
Please read page 5
Reasons for Adoption of 10MM
, and, you'll have an answer to this question. It's in PDF, and, with Acrobat Reader I can't copy and paste it. The 45 worked as well, or better then the 10mm, really 40 S&W load they tested, but, on page 6 they go into why they picked the 10MM, with a load that was a minimum pressure load for a 40 S&W, much less for the 10MM.
In short, the FBI did a really good job of creating the 10MM platform in a way that would allow all the Political concerns to be addressed. It's a great read.
They gun, the M1076, cost them about 246 dollars each, and they ordered 9500 of them. At 35 oz, loaded, with the FBI load, the guns recoil at Recoil Energy of 5 foot pounds, and Recoil Velocity of 12 fps.
The 147 grain load for the 9mm would recoil at
Recoil Energy of 3 foot pounds, and Recoil Velocity of 10 fps.. And, the 45 ACP 185 grain load would be Recoil Energy of 4 foot pounds, and Recoil Velocity of 11 fps..
9 was out, lack of bullet weight, penetration, and it was too old.
45 was out due to politics, and, that the bullet performance wasn't as consistent as the 40, or 10mm, excuse me.
When I look at the whole thing, considering the climate at the time, they did an excellent job of coming up with a gun everyone could shoot, increasing penetration, and, at very little difference in recoil, 1 ft lb.
Moving from the 10mm, after looking at the stats on recoil, I can only conclude that either a lot of folks in the FBI can tell a pea under their mattresses, that is, to complain about the increase in recoil is pretty absurd, or, the ammunition makers used a cheap, high recoiling powder, trying to make money on the contract, that actually DID make the 10mm run at higher pressure, and more recoil, then was necessary to reach the ballistic goal of the FBI.
S esq.