All's Quiet on the Potomac - Except the Gunfire

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My latest article. Sources for all stats available.

All’s Quiet on the Potomac – Except for the Gunfire

Each summer about this time, bright-eyed bushy tailed college graduates descend upon Washington, D.C. to start their careers by working in the marbled halls of Congress and in the plush offices of powerful lobbyists and attorneys with Important Hair. They are young, single, and idealistic.

They take up residence in the hip parts of the city - Dupont Circle, Adams Morgan, Capitol Hill. They rub elbows with Important People, soak up the city's rich night life and revel in the hustle and bustle of an Important City in the flower of their youth. After a few years, most of them fall in love and marry (or co-habit, then marry).

When the time comes to raise their families, however, most of them turn tail and run for the suburbs of nearby Maryland and Virginia like a bat out of hell. The District is fine for making a living and for looking at marble statues, but when the sun sets, those of above-average intelligence head across the river. This mass exodus is real and persistent, year after year. Washington, D.C. has lost about 250,000 residents since the mid-70s, many of them upper middle class professionals. Why?

Particularly since the advent of home rule in 1973, the city has been transformed into a high crime mini-welfare state. Under convicted crackhead Mayor Marion Berry (elected 4 times, which solidified D.C.’s national laughingstock status), the D.C. government expanded to a mind blowing 48,000 employees between 1982 and 1990. Impressive - almost 1 bureaucrat for every 10 residents. Most families looking to settle down avoid D.C. like the black death, unless they are rich elites like Hillary Clinton who can afford the super-expensive, super safe parts of the city, or the working poor who lack the resources (or knowledge) to pick up and move.

The biggest reason many don't want to raise little Alfonso in The District is that D.C. is an exquisitely safe community - for criminals. The city suffers from an unfortunate tendency for innocent people to be stabbed or shot on a daily basis. Young parents find this a less-than-ideal area to raise their children (it's hard for Alfonso to learn to read when he's taking bullets in the head). More than 300 people were killed in D.C. in 2002, about a 1 per day average. Police Chief Charles Ramsey has admitted that the department has a less than 50% solve rate on murders, with some detectives solving none at all. In typical D.C. fashion, Ramsey didn't offer his resignation for this travesty. In fact, there is talk of Ramsey even getting a $25,000 pay raise. In D.C., nothing pays like catastrophic incompetence.

A look at D.C. crime rates bears this out. Shield your kids’ eyes, this ain’t pretty:

1999 Statistics (Per 1,000 residents)

DC - 81
Prince George's County MD - 53
Alexandria City VA - 47
Arlington City VA – 33
Montgomery County MD - 31
Prince William Country VA - 29
Loudoun County VA - 24
Fairfax County VA - 24



And in 2000, D.C. was among the nation’s leading cities, in the murder rate per 100,000 residents (view source here). What sentient human would raise a child in an environment where guns are banned from the hands of the law-abiding and blood runs in the streets?

Given that such a dangerous place has much safer environs just a few miles away across the Potomac, it’s easy to see why young families move away from the District. Nearby Maryland and Northern Virginia have significantly lower crime rates, with Northern Virginia ranking the lowest. A big reason for this is gun control, but not in the way many think.

A typical person who gets news from the mainstream press might think that the more difficult it is to buy a gun, the less crime for the area. Wrong. In D.C., the wise city fathers virtually banned legal ownership of firearms in the city in 1976. The result was a skyrocketing crime rate. For example, in 1976, there were 702,000 citizens living in D.C. and 188 murders. In 1996, there were 543,000 in D.C. and 397 murders. The average criminal doesn't obey the law in any case, so gun laws mean nothing to them. Restrictive gun laws are usually obeyed only by the law-abiding, which leaves them defenseless to criminals. In D.C., they have a high crime rate and virtually no gun ownership by law-abiding citizens. This is a recipe for disaster that is borne out by the statistics.

In Virginia, it is much easier to purchase a gun, and quite easy to obtain a concealed-carry permit. This terrifies gun control folks, but think about it: If a criminal has a choice to conduct business between a region where some average citizens carry guns (Virginia) and one where no one does (D.C.) where will most criminals go to do their dirty work? Look at the crime statistics for proof - guns in the hands of private citizens lowers crime. In Maryland, it is more difficult to buy guns and very difficult to obtain a permit to carry. The crime rates there are naturally higher.

Another reason for the high crime rate in D.C. is the lack of a death penalty. D.C. citizens like to treat their murderous felons with compassion, and the horrid crime rates show it. Maryland is a bit better, where 3 people have been executed since 1976. But Virginia is decidedly criminal-unfriendly, with 81 executions since 1976, the second highest in the nation behind Texas. Criminals understand - if you want to kill someone, stay out of Virginia. Maryland, and especially D.C., are much safer for the criminal element.

There is some hope for those in D.C. who obey the law. A group of D.C. residents are preparing to file a law suit against the city for denying them their 2nd Amendment rights. Perhaps in the future, citizens will have the right to defend themselves again in the District and young families will consider taking up residence in the city again. For now, however, the criminals rule D.C. and the law-abiding vote with their feet by taking their families and tax dollars to safer suburbs in Virginia and Maryland.
 
Good article. I have relatives who live there; not surprisingly, they're government-worshipping liberal Democrats. They also seem to have the "can't happen to me" attitude toward crime: because most people who get shot are engaged in higher-risk behavior or in bad parts of the city, their personal risk is not higher than it should be. They're so complacent they don't even normally lock their car doors.
 
Great article.

It's interesting to see that the City of Alexandria, where I live, has some of the most restrictive gun laws in Virginia, and the highest murder rate in the northern Virginia area.

I don't have the statistics, but I have a feeling that the cities of Virginia Beach, Hampton, and Norfolk which also have more restrictive gun laws than other Virginia jurisdictions, would also show much higher murder rates than their surrounding counties.

Time to move to Prince William County. As of last month's elections the Alexandria City Council is now solidly liberal dimocrat (hard-left socialist). Crime is sure to now skyrocket.
 
Nice article. The 6/5/03 Washington Post Metro section had an article titled "District Makes a Pitch for Hip New Residents". On the same front page was an article titled "Williams Pushes for Aid - City's fiscal future in jeopardy mayor tells house panel".

Of course, it's doubtful the Post would print your article.
 
Of course, DC will continue to blame all violence committed with firearms on Virginia's "lax gun laws".
The real truth of course, is probably that so many of DC's residents are felons or related to those who are felons, that they don't WANT to see increased penalties, or guns in the hands of law abiding citizens. Too many of their relatives would die during their crimes.
 
Excellent article .......... how I wish those that should .... would read, digest ... and see things for what they really are ...... a travesty of rights .... all further encouraging the continuance of one very dangerous place.

Amazing how many sheeple and power dons see things with lack of logic or common sense. Of course .. as ever ..... not about guns per se ... much more about control.
 
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