people are arguing that if someone walks up on you while you are sitting in your car and pulls a gun you have an 80% cance of survival if you pull yours and shoot back.
Since a person with a typical handgun wound has a better than 80% chance of surviving, that sounds credible. Even if you get shot in the process of pulling your gun and shooting, the 80% survival number is definitely within the realm of reality. If anything, it's low.
Here's why.
You pull your gun and shoot but get shot with a handgun in the process--better than 80% chance of survival.
You pull your gun and shoot but don't get shot in the process--100% chance of survival.
Clearly, overall, your chances of surviving are actually quite a bit better than 80%.
that guy was not armed so he was probably not intending to confront anyone
No, this is not correct. As pointed out, the legal system provides a significant incentive against criminals arming themselves. I have read interviews with criminals indicating that they intentionally committed confrontational crimes and yet they also intentionally entered the crime scene unarmed. Furthermore, crime is not always a rational process--criminals don't always sit down and think things out ahead of time and even when they do, they're not generally the brightest members of society.
An unarmed criminal MAY intend to avoid confrontation, or he may be hoping for a lighter penalty if caught or he may simply not have thought that clearly or that far ahead.
Determining a person's motive from his actions requires that you have either a similar frame of reference, or that you have access to pertinent information on the topic. Don't take this wrong, but as has been pointed out repeatedly on this thread, you clearly have neither. Therefore it's not likely you are going to get the right answers no matter how logically you go about analyzing the situation.
cz75bdneos22,
Nearly everything you said is incorrect.
your chances of surviving even when armed are slim to none
False--even if shot you have a better than 80% chance of surviving.
Outside of some very specialized circumstances in organized crime, this is extremely unlikely.
thus he has a gun, you don't
Maybe, maybe not.
he has the gun on you, you don't or think your fast enough to outshoot him
Not true. I can think of several cases where a citizen successfully defended himself against an attacker who had the drop on him with a gun. In fact, there have been two home invaders killed recently in Houston in two separate incidents. In both cases a resident took the gun away from the home invader and killed him with it. The CA jeweler who has been in several shootouts "won" one of them by drawing in a situation where a loaded gun was pointed at him.
criminals who don't make a habit of killing peiople, don't carry guns
Criminals who make a habit of killing people are so rare as to be nearly non-existant. However there are criminals who carry guns and don't make a habit of killing people as well as serial killers who never carried or used guns in their crimes.
if a criminal pulls a gun on you, he's not doing it to scare you
Actually this is the most likely scenario. If he wanted to kill you he'd just do it. Criminals who pull guns and then order you around usually have the guns for intimidation and control purposes. Does that mean they're not dangerous? Absolutely not.