Gun Stocks

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medalguy

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No not the wooden/plastic type. The equity type. Gun stocks have been rising for several years now. I just heard that S&W stock is down today based on lowered earnings expectations for the next year. Have we seen the top of the hill, and are gun sales going to start slowing down now? There have definitely been reductions in the prices of AR platforms along with increased availability.

If gun sales are slowing because most people who wanted a gun have bought one by now, what does this portend for ammo sales as well? Might we start seeing that elusive .22 LR ammo back on the shelves soon?
 
I think demand for (and thus prices) for guns will stay low(er) for a bit, but if Hillary runs for pres, and I think there's a strong chance she will, I wont be the least bit surprised to see another panic.

Might we start seeing that elusive .22 LR ammo back on the shelves soon?
Lets hope.... I just went to Bass Pro on my lunch break and they had maybe 2k rounds total available. And it was was winchester .22lr subsonics, 50/box @ $5.29. I picked up 4 boxes, though I'm less than delighted about the price. I havent bought any bulk at $0.11/round.... yet.... and hopefully I wont have to. In the meantime, I buy a little here and there to replace what I shoot.
 
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It's really very simple. The value of gun company stocks is down, because demand for their products is down, due to last year's panic buying being over. In fact, demand for guns is below the baseline, because the panic buying, to a large extent, accelerated buying that would have taken place normally over the next few years.

Rest assured that there will be another panic, whenever there's another serious push for gun control, or even merely if Hillary Clinton gets elected. Therefore, now is a good time to buy not only guns, but also stock of companies that make guns. Wait until the next panic and then sell for a tidy profit.
 
Buy up stocks when they are low, and buy up guns, especially semi auto rifles and handguns, when they too are low.

These panics seem to come in a cycle, based around political atmosphere. And while we are doing well, legally, on the federal level, that can change. I didn't buy during the panic, not ever much ammo. Now that prices are coming down, and miraculously my paycheck is going up, I'll be buying more guns and ammo from now til November 2016.
 
The time to buy RGR and SWHC was before the 2012 election. The combination of that plus Sandy Hook drove both of them to prices that would have made holders some nice profit that, by now, they should have cashed out and moved into other stocks.

Depending on what happens with the elections this year, and if Ms Clinton continues her 2016 inertia, it will probably be time to get on both stocks again in the next couple years.
 
If the next president has similar political beliefs in regard to guns as this one expect to see another steep rise in 2016, especially if a high profile shooting happens around the same time. Should be followed by another lull when no new regs are enacted since being president isn't the same as being dictator.

Edit: Of course we could also get a president that believes more like us and that would not artificially feed demand and might result in lower prices. I kind of doubt the stocks would suffer though.
 
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