Have you noticed?

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returningfire

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Have you noticed that the prices appear to be turning slowly the other direction? Prices holding or going down slightly? It looks like the buyers may be about tapped out dictating the slight turn, this has been a supply vs demand scenario. Or is it just me?
 
Could be market forces, or could just be a crappy economy; with all the blathering about a few cuts in the growth of federal spending, we may be getting more bad news about
GDP, we will have to see.
 
It seems to be stabilizing/peaking. I see AR parts and various ammunition returning to shelves/websites, and not being sold out immediately, but in a few days.

The place I got my last lower for $160 (right at the beginning of the panic) went to $330, and could not make 'em fast enough, now is selling them for $280.

I don't think it will really return to "normal" until after the current legislation is voted on/ killed.
 
It is certainly not rising anymore. It will probably hold steady, then as supply catches up and people 'think' they have 'enough' then prices will drop again.
 
One if my local shops has been getting 22lr. It's been flying off the shelf so fast, they capped it at 1 brick per customer. It's priced fair in this environment. 26 dollars for 500 rds. No 223/5.56 anywhere, except for premium at 30 a box.


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I think there are those that are fed-up with all the hype,and are content to just sit
and wait things out until people quit unnecessarily hoarding,
Then there is the other guys,like the one I watched on Gunbroker last night that paid
$27.05 a box for CCI mini-mag LRHP ammo,
The same box I paid less than $9 for a couple months ago,,,
 
I think this is the "catch your breath" period. An adjustment period to reexamine what is going on and get comfortable with the current reality. Much like you ease yourself into a hot bath then have to take a couple of minutes to get over the shock. After you do, the water doesn't seem so bad. This is that time.

A few points to keep in mind on the direction prices will go.

1. Current production is not keeping up with demand. In classic economic theory this means prices will rise.

2. Disruptions in supply are likely. Why do I say that? Manufacturers of certain types of ammunition, magazines and other accessories are possibly going to relocate their operations from states that are in opposition to their manufacture and move to other states. There would be a time delay between dismantling, remantling (is that a word?) and renewing production. That means less supplies, which means higher prices.

3. Backordered products--I have heard--could take as much as an entire year of current production to fill. So forget about huge pallets of .22, 9mm, .45, .223, .308 etc suddenly appearing at your local Walmart or other supply store.

4. As mentioned, demand is high. With tax returns being mailed out, the source of ready cash MAY increase for purchasers. With cash in hand, even if the price is higher, people are more likely to pay. Result: higher prices.

5. Legislative actions are at best uncertain right now. Including issues such as whether foreign sources of ammunition and accessories will continue to be allowed in for importation. Just because they haven't currently been mentioned does not mean they won't be in the future. If other sources of supply are diminished, the prices will rise.

Just a few things to keep in mind.
 
BSA1 said:
No.

Shelves are still empty also.
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Same here. Even handgun shelves. A month ago when people said handguns were selling like crazy, I didn't see it going on around here.

Then I went into the local Sportsman's this past Sunday, and the only handguns they had were a few 1911s, and various 22 handguns; no Ruger Mk whatever, 22/45, or Buckmarks though. Just the "other"" stuff - SIG Mosquitoes and such. Idk how a SIG can earn such an awful rep, but whatever. That's a topic of its own.
 
I occassioanly look at gun broker and see that AR Pmags are about $30 when they were upwards of $50-60 each for 30 rounds. 223 and 9mm ammo seems to be the same as the high was a month ago. Glock 17 Gen 4's are still way up there. I am glad to see that the FDE 17 I bought last week for $580 is selling for over $800. Make me feel a little better for over paying what I did.
 
Not much for ammo here. I did see .223 on the shelf today - 20 boxes at 10.99 - still no .22lr though - anywhere and I have been looking daily.
 
I am glad to see that the FDE 17 I bought last week for $580.............Make me feel a little better for over paying what I did.
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I don't think you overpaid. Maybe $40 or so. Average pricing around here for Glocks pre-12/14 was ~ $540 for small frame and ~$570 for large frame (20/21/29/30).

I paid $510 before tax for my Gen 3 G20 a year and a half ago, and that was friend price, barely over cost for my FFL.
 
I think there are those that are fed-up with all the hype,and are content to just sit
and wait things out until people quit unnecessarily hoarding,
Click to expand...

Count me in this group. I am a relatively new gun owner ( 2 years) and have yet to get involved with IDPA or other groups so I don't feel the need to shoot that often. I enjoy shooting and miss not going to the range a couple of times a week, but I don't see it as a necessity for me. I feel fairly confident that I am proficient at SD ranges. The prices may not go back down to pre-Newton, but they will come down to a reasonable level. I just refuse to pay the asking prices today. That is if I could find any to buy, which I can't.
 
The only thing I have paid any attention to was ammunition availability and there seems to be no change in sight. Guns.... I would expect sales to slow down somewhat since I suspect we are headed into another recession (but I hope not).
 
I've seen the EBR prices come down, and the high ones sitting there unsold. Part of the issue is the AWB's probable demise at the federal level, but a big factor is that ammo has dried up. What good is a gun you can't feed? Prices on other firearms are actually going up now--stuff that has no legal issue surrounding it now--presumably because a lot of us are planning on shooting less .223 and .308 this summer.
 
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