Heller II is a go, latest comments from BFA

[Henry Bowman]

I don't think Gura is funding it. Heller the first was funded by one of the big heads at the CATO Institute. IIRC it was Robert Levy.

Correct. Though Gura has given a significant amount of pro bono time as well.

 

[antsi]

Halbrook is going to make them pay dearly for this stupidity, and this is will be another major victory for us.

I wonder - what is to stop an endless round of obstructionist regulations by DC, and resulting lawsuits to challenge them, just going 'round and 'round forever?

DC says, "In order to register your pistol, you have to hop on one foot around city hall 1,456 times backwards on a full-moon Tuesday in November of a year that is an even multiple of 7."

Supremes say: "That's too restrictive. You're being a weenie, Fenty."

DC: "Okay, you only have to hop around city hall 1,455 times and you can do it on your left foot or your right foot. The full moon tuesday restriction still applies."

Supremes: "Still too restrictive."

DC: "Okay, forget about the hopping around thing. However, you do have to re-register your guns every 15 minutes. The office that does the registrations is open for half an hour, every other year."

Then in the meantime, Scalia has a heart attack and Obama appoints a resurrected Lenin to the SCOTUS, turning 5-4 into 4-5, and they say that renewing the registration every 15 minutes is a "reasonable restriction."

If I was the mayor of DC and a hard core anti, such a strategy would be very appealing to me. What ultimately is to stop this kind of thing from happening?

 

[Tirod]

Some scenarios are very speculative. I prefer to keep up with what's really happening - that's stressful enough!

1) Heller II will go to court, and a judge will make another decision. Pretty certain.

2) An appeal will be forthcoming from the loser - likely DC, who will try a novel legal argument that keeps it alive in court. We'll see.

3) The current polls mean nothing. We haven't even got past the conventions, overreaction to a VP candidate, and The October Surprise, much less filled a seat on the Supreme Court. Unless there is some egregious footdragging, Heller II should at least been heard in lower court. That judge has to deal with Heller I as a guideline anyway.

The mayor can pout all he wants to, but he only has so much budget and political capital to blow. Unless a party decides to make DC a national issue - a risky effort either way - he will run out of steam. The press will tire of the whole point during a campaign filled with "Change!" and start filling the press about the latest celebrity's messed up life.

As far as having a nongun candidate in office, it might help even more - how many states went CCW in the Clinton years? But sympathetic candidates have a track record of lulling us into complacency. Presidents on both sides seem to move to center.