Considering all the variables in components and humans shooting rifles as well as the variables in the rifle, I'm convinced that 40% of all 3 to 5 shot groups will be about average in size compared to a few dozen of them. 30% will be either a little larger or smaller. Groups a lot larger or smaller than average will be about 20% of all fired. The biggest and smallest groups will happen about 10% of the time.
If one shoots a few dozen groups with 30 shots in them, I think they'll all be pretty close to the same size.
Which has the greatest range of variables; shooter, rifle or ammo?