Oswald's shot possible with a handgun?

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Pebcac

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Marcus Ranum, founder of NFR Security, has an opinion on Oswald's shot--that it could have even been made with a handgun.

Of course, his opinion on the 1911 may well get me flamed ( :neener: ), but I basically agree with him that the conspiracy theories are just bunk. He shows what many riflemen already know--3 aimed shots in 10 seconds at that range is nowhere near impossible with a rifle.

http://www.ranum.com/fun/bsu/diy-dealy/index.html

Last sentence edited slightly for clarity.
 
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Possible? Sure. I could stand on the roof, chuck a rock as hard as I can, and there's probably about a 0.0000001% chance that I'll randomly hit a passing bird on the noggin and kill it right dead. That doesn't mean it's feasible or even remotely likely - Just technically possible.
 
Personally, I find the handgun part to be absurd in the sense that it would ever be actually employed. In the guy's defense, he makes it pretty clear that it was not the brightest statement he ever made.
Anyhow, as often happens during hotel bar conversations, I said something stupid. I said, "You know what? I bet Oswald could have done it with a handgun. It's not that tough a shot I mean, you've got 8 shots in a .45 - how hard could it be?"
The experiment was obviously intended more in fun than in any seriousness. He showed that landing a bullet might be a possibility, but certainly a snowball's hope in hell. The rifle part, however, has been examined several times. As a matter of fact, I particularly liked Tom Clancy's treatment of the subject as included in The Tom Clancy Companion.
 
I believe Sleeter Skelton, Elmer Keith, and Bill Jordan probably could.

Before Carlos Hathcock became disabled he duplicated Oswalds shoot at Quantico Va. If I remember he could not make it .
 
JOEY 2 - "Before Carlos Hathcock became disabled he duplicated Oswalds shoot at Quantico Va. If I remember he could not make it ."

Carlos Hathcock could NOT hit a football sized target at 87 yards out of three shots with that target moving at 5 MPH?????????? :eek:

Any documentation of that??

L.W.
 
Leanwolf, I think what he meant was that the shot was impossible to duplicate, even by Hathcock. Don't forget, the bullet had to make several 90 degree or better turns to do all the damage it did. Not only that, but look at all the factors involved besides size and distance in the link!

Here's the link to the interview where Hathcock explains it is not possible, by the way.

http://karws.gso.uri.edu/JFK/the_critics/griffith/Oswald_poor_shot.html
 
I watched a documentary not too long ago where the shot, or at least the bullet path, was almost exactly duplicated with only very minor discrepancies
 
Our scientist lost what little credibility he had left here
What's a Norinco? It's a cheap Chinese-made knock-off of a model 1911. My Norinco's trigger is stiff and feels kind of like a staple-gun's main spring - it takes about 6lbs of pressure and gives no feedback to the shooter. Norincos are pretty reliable but I don't think anyone is going to accuse them of being accurate competition-pieces.
 
Don't forget, the bullet had to make several 90 degree or better turns to do all the damage it did. Not only that, but look at all the factors involved besides size and distance in the link!

You really need to get some accurate information. It has been proved beyond a shadow of a doubt the bullet did not need to "change directions" to strike both Kennedy and Connelly. The shot itself has been duplicated a number of times as it is a simple shot. Oswald was more than qualified to make the shot. His Marine records showed he could hit a target at 200 yards, using open sights, 49 out of 50 times. He could do this repeatedly, day after day.
 
I read this years ago. I do not remember from where, but he could not make the shot like Oswald did-that I do remember. This is what stuck in my mind over the years. Why I again do not remember.
 
Which is more likely?

He used a handgun. or
Or the same shot hit the president and "that other guy"?

lol, I can't believe anyone still believes that conspiracy theory.
 
I watched a documentary not too long ago where the shot, or at least the bullet path, was almost exactly duplicated with only very minor discrepancies
I believe I saw the same. They even found rounds from the very same batch as the ones Oswald used, IIRC. They did a pretty exacting job of recreating the circumstances, and the bullet behaved just at it did back on that day, creating almost exactly the same wounds. It amazes me that people on a gun board like this buy into the conspiracies about the Kennedy assassination.
 
Joey2, Please post the reference that Hathcock could not make the shot. That is unbelievable. It was not that difficult of a shot, Hathcock could have easily made the shot.
 
I saw a tv program where a "Marksmanship expert" said is was near impossible to shoot 3 shots in 8 seconds at "those kinds of distances" and hit anything. I didn't know 80 yards was shuch an extreme distance. He was alos claiming how the carcano was so unreliable and a peice of crap. They then cut to footage of the gun each time there was misfire. Not saying it could be the **** ammo or their editing techniques. It pssis me off that everyone in my generation will beleive any conspiracy they read on the internet or that their friends tell them like it's the goddamn bible.
 
It's funny, if you were to start a thread about competition or all thing "tactical" and suggest you could shoot 3 shots with practical accuracy in 8 seconds on a moving target ending at 80 yards - with a bolt-action - the scoffing would be free flowing.

But because this talking point casts a dark shadow of doubt among some on the Ministry of Truth - it's all a very reasonable feat of rifle shooting for an average Joe.

Personally, I do not doubt that many good shooters, any really accomplished rifleman, could do such thing. I am sure the late Finn Aggard could do it, perhaps consistantly. But the Marine record of Oswald's merely hitting 49 out of 50 at a static target at 200 yards does not qualify him for this kind of shooting.

I'd still like to know why George De Mohrenschild, who introduced Oswald to Ruth Paine, hung around with a man like Lee Harvey Oswald. De Mohrenschildt was going to be interviewed, IIRC, one day in 1977 - but unfortunately lost his head the day the interview was to take place. ;)

--------------------------------------------

http://ussliberty.org
http://ssunitedstates.org
 
LAK
I agree with you completely. In fact, as I was reading this thread I said almost the same thing to myself.
Hitting a MOVING target is a totally different ballgame than trying to hit a static paper target. Trying to make that shot on the President of the US is totally different than trying to make that shot on a rifle range. Shooting out of the window of a building is completely different than lying on a Marine Corps. rifle range in a shooting jacket, slung up, using a good USGI rifle from a solid shooting postion at a known distance.

To keep going with your train of thought: In defensive handgun shooting, it is commonly accepted by the experts that head shots are extremly difficult to make in real life (as opposed to paper targets on the range where they arn't that easy either). Even if the body itself is stationary, the head is often moving around. Long story short, most serious shooters agree that head shots at defensive pistol ranges are a low percentage shot. Yet, people on these boards discuss over and over just how easy it is to make one with a rifle at a guy sitting in a moving car at 80 yards. :scrutiny: This will probably get me into trouble, but this is just another one of these things that I read on this board that makes me wonder just how much the people here actually shoot as opposed to talking about shooting online.
How do you even practice such a shot ? The average guy doesn't have access to a moving target to get the idea of how you lead the target. I bet a HUGE percentage of shooters have never seriously shot at a moving target in their lives. At best they might have shot a .22 at a rabbit at a small fraction of 80 yards under no pressure using a semiauto rifle and a dozen rounds of ammo.
When I took Gunsite's basic carbine class, we shot at moving targets from around 50 yards (as I remember). They had targets that moved back and forth across the range. At the time, I was pretty tuned up. I had been shooting that rifle regularly and was in the middle of a pretty intensive shooting class where I was shooting hundreds of rounds per day. I was able to put my shots in the chest of a silhouette target AFTER I tried a few shots and could see on paper where my shots were hitting so I could adjust my lead. In this senario there was no pressure, I was shooting on a comfortable rifle range, I was using a rifle that I had shot thousands of rounds through, the rifle had an Aimpoint ML2 on it, the targets moved at a constant speed at a constant angle to the firing line while the targets themselves were completely stationary (not like a human looking around, talking to other people, waving at people etc.). Based on this experience, I might have been able to make the shot but it is FAR, FAR more difficult than most people who have never tried it think.
If the shot is so easy, why are we having people like Carlos Hatchcock try to duplicate it ? Being a Marine Corps sniper was only part of Hathcock's shooting legacy. Prior to all that, he won the Wimbilton Cup at Camp Perry as a member of the Marine Corp. Rifle team. Long story short, at one time Hathcock was one of the best rifle shooters in the world. Yet, people think that if Hatchcock could make the shot, then a guy that simply qualified with a rifle in boot camp must be able to make it also ?
In some of these TV shows about this whole affair I have seen witnesses telling us how they know Oswald practiced with the rifle.
Please.
Do you have any idea just how much practice it takes to become a good shooter ? How about just to smoothly operate a bolt action rifle on a moving target ?

To answer the question posed in the first post of the thread: My opinion is that no one in the world could consistently make that shot with a handgun. They might luck one in if they got to do it over and over. But, if you set the whole thing up as realistically as possible: no practice, range only estimated, out of a window, one try (no do overs), I would feel comfortable riding in the car myself no matter who was trying to hit me with a handgun.


I don't normally get into these Kennedy threads. I am discussing this ONLY from the shooting standpoint. In other words, how easy was the shot. The rest of it, I don't want to get into.
 
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I've said it here before, and I'm certain I'll say it again.

Any doubts I might have ever entertained about grassy knolls, conspiracy theories, mulitple shooters, etc. - was instantly taken care of the day I visited the Texas Book Depository in Dallas. They've got a great museum there, and you can stand in the window where Oswald stood, and look down into Dealy plaza at the X that marks the spot where Kennedy's car was when he was killed.

Every shooter I've known who has stood in that spot has had exactly the same reaction I did: "What's the big deal? That shot is a piece of cake." I'm confident I could do it freehand, and Oswald was shooting from a rest he'd made out of some stacked-up book boxes. You also realize, when you look at it, that all this stuff about moving targets is nonsense. It becomes crystal clear that Oswald waited until the target was moving directly away from him (the road parallels the front of the building, and then curves away to go under the overpass) to fire his first shot, so there was no lateral motion at all to compensate for.

I understand that people who are attached to their conspiracy theories won't be convinced by my statements, but I challenge you to go the the museum and look for yourself. Once you have, all this conspiracy stuff will seem pretty silly to you.

Oh, and as far as pistols are concerned? I don't think the shot could have been done (without a lot of luck) with any pistol available at the time, but I'm pretty certain it could be done with some of the big-bore hunting revolvers (that S&W VXR, for one example) available today.
 
I've hit moving big game with rifles. Really moving. Two with semi-automatics and one with a bolt action. I also had top quality optics. The bolt action is a custom .35 Whelen built on a 1909 Argentine Mauser action. Sweet and smooth as silk.

I've never looked through a Tasco scope of the model that Oswald had on that Carcano. However, the descriptions I've read of its properties lead one to believe that you would have been much better with iron sights at that range.

I have quality bolt action rifles with quality optics and have no doubts that I could make those shots at those distances.

However, with the Carcanos I've handled and with a early model Tasco scope-if the quality is anywhere near as poor as I've read-I still can see making a hit at that distance and speed. I just can't see making three hits in the time it was accomplished. My doubt does not come from the difficulty of the shots with the proper equipment. My doubt comes from the difficulty of the shots in that time frame with that rifle and that scope.

I am not an adherent of any particular conspiracy theory. If someone takes a Carcano and mounts the same model Tasco scope on it and can make three hits at the moderate distances involved in ten seconds then I'm convinced that Oswald did it and was alone. I've heard that people have duplicated the shots within the time frame and the distance. Has anyone done it using a box stock Carcano with the same model Tasco scope?
 
Didn't CBS news stage a reconstruction test for a 25th Anniversary special on the assasination where they got four or five NRA hi-power competitors to attempt the "feat". As I recall all scored three hits in the time alloted, one scored five! I believe they used a 6.5mm Carcano in the test.

--wally.
 
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