danez71
Member
Which tells me that you understand exactly what I was talking about when I discussed placing weekly orders in spite of the long lecture on why it's completely wrong for me to try to imply that supply and ordering is based on time intervals.
In the POS systems, every time a cash register rings up something, the POS system is increasing their request for product from the mfg to replenish. The frequency of shipments has zero to do with how or when the mfg get their requests for product. There really isn't "orders" being placed by the bigger retailers. Describing it as periodic orders, or a set ordering pattern is inaccurate and changes the supply chain significantly from a POS inventory management system. That's why they use it. But that's besides the point.
I don't understand what you mean. What would be the point of discussing "potential reasons" when the actual reasons are patently obvious?
But they aren't 'patently obvious'. And to say it that way is condescending. The threads right here at THR are evidence of that its not obvious. The fact that gun rags, blogs, insiders etc have been writing about it for a couple yrs should be evidence of that as well.
And don't think for a second that didn't notice that you didn't address anything about me being able to recite what was told to me and my experience and you trying to change my conversation that didn't include you to something you want it to be.
I'm going to waaay over simplify to make it easier for me to write.
Lets pretend.....
The ammo guys were making 22ls at a rate of 1000 per X (combined) and keeping up with sell rates. But their max capacity was/is 2000 per X.
There were only 10 POS total. We'll call them store #1, #2, # 3 etc. And everyone was getting 100 per X (equaling the 1000 the ammo mfg made per X)
Suddenly everyone wants 22lrs and ammo is selling like hot cakes.
The ammo mfgs crank up the factory to their max capacity of 2000 per X.
All 10 POS's could double their requests to 200 per X and still get it.
But those darned Marketing guys at store #5 - #10 increases his on hand qty to 1000 because he thinks he can sell it. He's got customers lined up at the door at 5AM.
So now we have requests from store 1-5 of 100 (500 total) and 1k ea from store # 5-10 (5k total)
Total requests are now 5500 but the ammo guys can only make 2k per X.
Explain why store #1 cant keep getting their 100 per X as they had been.
There is really only a few simple explanations (and even more complex ones).
1) The ammo mfgs are giving stores #1-5 the shaft by sending them little to none in order to try to make stores #5-10 as happy as possible. (AKA: 'better keep Wally happy')
Or
2) There are 40 POS's total now (instead of 10) and the ammo mfg are trying to keep all of the stores somewhat happy by sending them only 50 per X. (AKA: Hey... this new guy Bud on the internet can sell a bunch.. now!)
Or
3) They really aren't making what they claim (least likely IMO)
Now.. back to:
Instead of getting X+y%..... The POS are getting less than X.
I don't believe this is true <snip>.
Do you think we are liars? Or just not smart enough to follow your 'patently obvious' explanation?