merlinfire
Member
- Joined
- Feb 2, 2010
- Messages
- 793
....and their propensity to commit crimes relative to their percentage of the whole population. Places like
http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/administration/crime_records/chl/ConvictionRatesReport2007.pdf
Show how many CHL out of the whole population committed crimes, and what percentage that makes up. But what it doesn't tell us is whether or not they are more or less likely, taking into account how many in the whole population *have CHL*, to commit these crimes.
http://www.dshs.state.tx.us/chs/popdat/ST2007.shtm
States that in 2007 (the most recent date we can use for the convictions, as it gives +2 years to finalize the convictions), there was a TX pop of 23,904,380.
http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/admini...F/2007Calendar/ByAge/CY07AgeLicAppsIssued.pdf
States that in 2007, 87,391 CHL permits were issued. So thats 0.3% of the population of Texas.
http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/administration/crime_records/chl/ConvictionRatesReport2007.pdf
Shows that, in Texas, for violent crimes, 61,260 total convictions for that year.
160 were CHL holders.
So 61,100 were not CHL holders.
61,100 / (23,904,380 - 160) = 0.2556% of the general population was convicted on 2007.
(160 is removing the CHL from general population to be fair)
160 / 87,391 = 0.18308% of the CHL population was convicted in 2007.
(total number of chl convictions, divided by total number of chl holders)
Conclusion:
Being a CHL in Texas (at least in 2007, which was the most recent data on file), means you are on average about 38% less likely to commit a violent crime than the general population.
I think my math is good but feel free to correct
http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/administration/crime_records/chl/ConvictionRatesReport2007.pdf
Show how many CHL out of the whole population committed crimes, and what percentage that makes up. But what it doesn't tell us is whether or not they are more or less likely, taking into account how many in the whole population *have CHL*, to commit these crimes.
http://www.dshs.state.tx.us/chs/popdat/ST2007.shtm
States that in 2007 (the most recent date we can use for the convictions, as it gives +2 years to finalize the convictions), there was a TX pop of 23,904,380.
http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/admini...F/2007Calendar/ByAge/CY07AgeLicAppsIssued.pdf
States that in 2007, 87,391 CHL permits were issued. So thats 0.3% of the population of Texas.
http://www.txdps.state.tx.us/administration/crime_records/chl/ConvictionRatesReport2007.pdf
Shows that, in Texas, for violent crimes, 61,260 total convictions for that year.
160 were CHL holders.
So 61,100 were not CHL holders.
61,100 / (23,904,380 - 160) = 0.2556% of the general population was convicted on 2007.
(160 is removing the CHL from general population to be fair)
160 / 87,391 = 0.18308% of the CHL population was convicted in 2007.
(total number of chl convictions, divided by total number of chl holders)
Conclusion:
Being a CHL in Texas (at least in 2007, which was the most recent data on file), means you are on average about 38% less likely to commit a violent crime than the general population.
I think my math is good but feel free to correct
