Your hypothesis is flawed. You are trying to extrapolate historic events to future situations where the historic events are mutually exclusive of future events. Because the events are mutually exclusive, the prediction isn't valid.
If you flip a penny, what are the chances it will come up heads?
If you flip a real penny and it comes up heads, what are the chances it will come up heads for the next flip?
If you flip a penny 99 times where it comes up heads, what are the chances it will come up heads on the 100th flip?
In each case, the chance of the flip coming up heads is the same, 50%. That is because each flip is mutually exclusive from all other flips. So you have had an amazing and statistically unlikely run of 99 flips to heads, those 99 flips give you no predictive power for the 100th flip.