"Iraq is testing ground for a new kind of warfare"

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Preacherman

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From Insight magazine (http://www.insightmag.com/news/402667.html): the second half of the article is most important, describing the new "swarming" tactics and strategies of warfare in the modern age.


High-Tech Tools of War

Posted March 31, 2003
By J. Michael Waller

It was the most awesome symphony of military firepower ever choreographed. From fixed and mobile airstrips around the world, coalition aircraft flew as many as 2,000 sorties a day, hurling down satellite- and laser-guided bombs, Zeuslike, on carefully selected buildings and weapons platforms on the ground.

In the Persian Gulf, land-attack jets roared off the flight decks of the USS Abraham Lincoln, the USS Kitty Hawk, the USS Constellation and the British HMS Ark Royal, delivering precision weapons that drilled into Saddam Hussein's underground command and communications bunkers, blasting and incinerating everything inside. In the eastern Mediterranean, U.S. Navy fighter-bombers pummeled military targets across Iraq from the decks of the USS Harry S Truman and the USS Theodore Roosevelt.

Meanwhile, black, V-shaped F-117B Nighthawk stealth land-attack planes chorused from bases in Bahrain and possibly Italy. Gigantic B-52 Stratofortresses took off from the English countryside to the west and the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia to the southeast, the target coordinates preprogrammed into their payloads of air-launched cruise missiles. Bat-winged B-2 Spirit stealth bombers flew round-trip, nonstop, from Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri, delivering their lethal cargo over Baghdad and across Iraq before returning to the American heartland to reload.

Hundreds upon hundreds of Tomahawk cruise missiles, fired from vertical launch tubes aboard some 30 U.S. and British guided-missile cruisers, frigates, destroyers and nuclear-attack submarines, screamed down on their Iraqi targets while sparing civilian homes, hospitals, stores, electrical and water supplies, and the other necessities of daily life.

The planning was as meticulous as the choreography. U.S. military target-ers, with allied support, painstakingly composed the symphony of shock and awe for months, carefully custom-calibrating the quantities and configurations of warheads for each of some 7,000 planned targets. They took pains to select sides of buildings whose collapse wouldn't harm neighboring civilians and to choose explosives that would destroy targets near Iraq's many archaeological sites while minimizing damage to the cultural treasures themselves. They even brought in specialists from National Geographic to advise them where to take extra care.

Huge strides in information technology during the last decade made the meticulously orchestrated attacks possible. Carpet-bombing with "dumb" bombs was practically out of the question. But, those same iron bombs, outfitted with special steering and guidance kits, became "smart" Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAMs).

JDAMs reach their pinpointed targets like this: The attack aircraft receives electronic mission data, which then is downloaded into the JDAM's computer. If the targets change in flight, the new coordinates automatically guide the JDAM. The bomb can be launched as far as 15 miles from the target and far above antiaircraft artillery range. Once the JDAM is released, an inertial navigation system guides the tail fins during free fall, and an onboard Global Positioning System (GPS) device makes any necessary corrections to guide the bomb to within 45 feet of the target. The satellite guidance allows the weapon to be used in any weather.

Six U.S. imagery satellites scour Iraq every day to photograph ground targets; two signals intelligence (SIGINT) satellites eavesdrop on Iraqi-government communications, networked with RC-135 Rivet Joint electronic-intelligence jets. This allows for occasional real-time monitoring of moving targets so that U.S. Special Operations forces on the ground can attack or make laser fixes to "illuminate" targets, enabling a laser-guided bomb to ride the beam to its exact intended location.

New technology has changed U.S. military doctrine. U.S. Army Gen. Tommy Franks, directing the war from a super-high-tech computerized command post in the Arabian emirate of Qatar, saw no need to spend days or weeks softening up Saddam Hussein's forces before beginning a ground assault. The assault came right away.

Spearheaded by the Army "Iron Fist" 3rd Infantry Division and the 1st Marine Division, with British and other coalition forces, the ground assault opened as a race of battle tank and armor from Kuwait, north through the Iraqi desert along the mighty Euphrates River, passing the ancient city of Babylon and crossing the Tigris River to Baghdad.

With advanced sensors, night-vision and thermal-imaging optics, and computerized networking, the ground attackers fought by day and by night. Army AH-64 Apache Longbow helicopter gunships led the way, swarming by the dozens, bristling with rocket pods, Stinger antiaircraft missiles, laser-guided Hellfire antitank missiles and a formidable 30-mm chain-gun automatic cannon. Columns of M1 Abrams tanks, with their high-tech ceramic armor, followed with M2 Bradley Fighting Vehicles full of infantry. They were followed by convoys of mine-clearing vehicles, combat engineers, tankers hauling precious fuel and truckload after truckload of food, drinking water, spare parts, medical supplies and ammunition.

This intricate orchestra of man, missile and metal, reaching the outskirts of Baghdad in less than five days, was possible only because of the quantum leap in computerized information technology that the U.S. military has applied to warfighting since the 1991 Persian Gulf War. The sheer size, scope and speed of modern warfare requires extensive computerization and networking among forces. With the old three-dimensional battlefield now the four-dimensional battle space of today, with time as an ever more-crucial factor, commanders require real-time "topsight" - a bird's-eye view made possible by wider bandwidth, greater computing power and more creativity than ever.

That topsight is provided by satellites and a combination of high-tech aircraft and unmanned surveillance planes that beam real-time imagery and other data to command centers. Airborne Warning and Control Systems (AWACS) circle above as mobile surveillance and command posts. Joint Surveillance and Target Attack Radar System ground-surveillance planes, better known as J-STARS, detect and track moving targets on the ground as far as 100 miles away. They serve as airborne, stand-off range, surveillance and target acquisition radar and command and control centers, according to the U.S. Air Force.

Trusty U-2s surveil from high altitudes. Slightly lower, at up to 60,000 feet, pilotless Global Hawk aircraft loiter above the battle space for as long as 24 hours, surveying the landscape and beaming real-time images to commanders. Closer to Earth, the Predator drone, operated remotely by joystick, sends real-time video imagery to the CIA or Air Force operator, seeking out individual targets of opportunity. They are equipped with Hellfire missiles to destroy high-priority moving targets.

Space dominance ensures U.S. military superiority. "We're so dominant in space that I would pity a country that would come up against us," says Maj. Gen. Franklin J. "Judd" Blaisdell, director of Air Force space operations and integration. "The synergy with air, land and sea forces and our ability to control the battle space and seize the high ground is devastating." Thanks to space technology, the U.S. military is more powerful than ever, with what Blaisdell calls a combination of "speed, lethality, persistence, information dominance, precision and the battle space characterization, bombs on target, real-time battle management."

These networked systems allow U.S. and coalition commanders to apply the firepower exactly where it is needed. All told, some 280,000 troops from the United States and Great Britain, some fighting forces from Australia and Poland, more than 1,000 aircraft and 400 tanks, and at least 110 warships took part even in the first stages of Operation Iraqi Freedom. The U.S. Air Force says the Iraqi military didn't get a single aircraft off the ground.

What is unfolding in Iraq is what Pentagon planners call "network-centric warfare." According to the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the Defense Department's central research and development organization, network-centric warfare is "an information-superiority-enabled concept of operations that generates increased combat power by networking sensors, decisionmakers and shooters to achieve shared awareness, increased speed of command, higher tempo of operations, greater lethality, increased survivability and a degree of self-synchronization. In essence, network-centric warfare translates information superiority into combat power by effectively linking knowledgeable entities in the battle space."

Network-centric warfare, in the infancy of implementation under Rumsfeld's transformation of the U.S. defense community into a coherent post-Cold War machine, goes against the typical top-down discipline of the military. It encourages more horizontal communications and networking, thus empowering lower-ranking officers. New military tactics are emerging, among them "swarming" - simultaneous, networked attacks reminiscent of swarms of insects, attacking an overwhelmed target from all directions and by land, sea, air and space.

Rand Corp. innovators John Arquilla and David Ronfeldt helped develop the theory of swarming - what they call "battle-swarm doctrine" - in a 2000 report. They conceived the idea through the study of natural predators and warriors from antiquity, combining tactics with 21st-century technological innovations. "From ants and bees and wolf packs, to ancient Parthians and medieval Mongols, swarming in force, or of fire, has often proven a very effective way of fighting," they wrote. "Examples of swarming can be found throughout history, but it is only now able to emerge as a doctrine in its own right. That is largely because swarming depends on a devolution of power to small units and a capacity to interconnect those units that has only recently become feasible, due to the information revolution.

"Swarming implies radical new changes in current military organization, including the elimination of many formations above the company level. Swarming, and the nonlinear battle space that it envisions, will also require the development of a new logistical paradigm. The current one is over 300 years old and, although it has often worked well, it is mass-oriented and thus unsuited to swarming operations."

That has big ramifications for how the United States conducts diplomacy, defends itself and wages war against its enemies. "For American political and military leaders, understanding the rise of swarming should lead to reappraisals of both our mass-oriented, Industrial Age way of war and of the statist focus of our diplomacy," they write. "In the future, we shall have to learn to fight nimbly against an array of armed adversaries who will likely do all they can to avoid facing us head-on in battle."

In a series of studies, Arquilla and Ronfeldt "speculated that swarming is already emerging as an appropriate doctrine for networked forces to wage Information Age conflict. This nascent doctrine derives from the fact that robust connectivity allows for the creation of a multitude of small units of maneuver, networked in such a fashion that, although they might be widely distributed, they can still come together, at will and repeatedly, to deal resounding blows to their adversaries."

Swarming may be closer to the fight the United States has been waging against Saddam Hussein than the press-touted "shock-and-awe" bombardments of Baghdad. Harlan Ullman, the military theoretician who developed the shock-and-awe concept at the National Defense University, isn't satisfied with his label sticking to the present conflict. His idea was to unleash overwhelming firepower to break the morale of the enemy's forces and the population. "We want them to quit, not to fight," Ullman says.

But "shock and awe" sounds cool and took on a TV-generated meaning to millions of viewers who watched the spectacular opening volleys on Baghdad. In reality, the Bush administration has chosen a gentler route than shock and awe, trying to encourage or provoke defections, desertions, capitulations and surrenders of Saddam's forces while seeking to win the support of the Iraqi population.

Technological innovations developed through DARPA have had a profound effect on U.S. defense doctrine and forces. DARPA says its technological innovations - and not the policies set by civilian and military leaders - have driven many of the military's quantum leaps; it doesn't respond to military needs, but tries to drive them. In its self-description, the agency says, "DARPA's approach is to imagine what a military commander would want in the future, and then accelerate that future into being - thereby changing people's minds about what is technologically possible today."

Military historian John Chambers observed, "None of the most important weapons-transforming warfare in the 20th century - the airplane, tank, radar, jet engine, helicopter, electronic computer, not even the atomic bomb - owed its initial development to a doctrinal requirement or request of the military."

According to its mission statement, DARPA exists "to maintain the technological superiority of the U.S. military and prevent technological surprise from harming our national security by sponsoring revolutionary, high-payoff research that bridges the gap between fundamental discoveries and their military use." DARPA was the driving force behind missile-defense technology in the 1960s and the Global Hawk and Predator unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). (Global Hawk work began in the 1970s under the code name TEAL RAIN.) And DARPA developed stealth technology and the Internet.

Here, then, is the future of the U.S. military. According to its official statement, DARPA is working with all branches of the armed services "toward a vision of filling the battle space with unmanned systems that are networked with manned systems. The idea is not simply to replace people with machines, but to team people with robots to create a more capable, agile and cost-effective force that lowers the risk of U.S. casualties. The recent use of UAVs in Afghanistan has just begun to demonstrate the potential of this idea."

But that isn't the start of it. DARPA is taking advantage of the large government- and private-sector investments in life sciences to bring about what it calls a "biorevolution" inside the U.S. military. "This thrust is a comprehensive effort to harness the insights and power of biology to make U.S. warfighters and their equipment stronger, safer and more effective," according to the agency.

DARPA's biorevolution has four broad elements: protecting human life through defense against biological weapons; combining biology and technology to improve system performance; enhancing human performance to prevent people from becoming the weakest link in the military; and developing tools. One DARPA program is trying to develop means to allow soldiers to remain awake, alert and effective for as long as one week with no damaging side effects. Another, called the Brain Machine Interface, seeks to find ways "to detect and directly decode signals in the brain so that thoughts can be turned into acts performed by a machine."

An ultimate weapon. "Imagine," says DARPA: "U.S. warfighters that only need use the power of their thoughts to do things at a great distance."

J. Michael Waller is a senior writer for Insight magazine.
 
Looks like he found all the latest terminology and wrote a novel preface to see if it would fly.
 
LOL whaddaya know? Wallar rediscovers high intensity conflict, and finds that it still exists! This wasn't supposed to happen you know, "asymetrical warfare" the follow-on to "low intensity conflict" (a la Viet Nam) was supposed to kick the major powers' rear ends - bin laden and company, the various palestinian terror groups, saddam & sons, and numerous others bet the farm on that theory, even though it was promulgated primarily by euro-leftists (though not without some help from American chairborne commando types, and the media - or was that redundant?). Anyway any attempt at HIC was supposed to go nuclear immediately and lead to at least local, if not global incineration...except...except...it didn't happen that way! oh my! what do all the theorists do now?

sorry, but I'm feeling a little hostile toward theorists tonight...
 
One day someone comes up with the technology to permanently jam any and all satellites and we're screwed. Back to fighting man against man. Given the speed of technological advancements, that day is not far away.

I'm wondering "grunts" these days carry a compass anymore, of if they all have portable GPS units.

Good Shooting
Red
 
A small nuclear device detonated in low earth orbit would fry most of what we have in space with EMP. This would make a lot of our vaunted technology useless. Once this happened our forces would lack the ability to swarm the enemy because of how badly our C3 was degraded. Then our significantly smaller forces may be able to be defeated by technologically inferior but numerically superior enemy forces.

Around five years ago DOD and Rand had a big computer wargame to test these theroies. Unfortunately the retired general they hired to play the red force detonated a nuke in low earth orbit, took out most of our satellites with EMP and proceeded to kick Force XXIs butt. DOD and Rand couldn't have that happen to many careers and contracts on the line....so they stopped the exercise, changed the rules so Red Force couldn't take out satellites and started again.

I think it's taking a big gamble to assume that everyone we may have to go to war with will be as incompetent or as technologically backward as the Iraqis.

Jeff
 
One day someone comes up with the technology to permanently jam any and all satellites and we're screwed.
Really...LOL!

I'd suggest that acquiring the technology to "permanently jam" our technology is effective in "screwing" our efforts...if the "screwers" are able to survive more than a day or so. :cool:

Without contradiction, for obvious reasons, the simplistic countermeasures of the enemy are always behind the "curve"...and that means that they will die if they they don't have the commonsense to surrender themselves and their combat assets.
 
I'm concerned about what I see in Baghdad for a very different reason. What happens when Billary and Reno decide to reimplement the Constitution (the original is "anachronistic," don't you know) to construct a strict democracy? You think the military won't be doing in America to (resisting) gun owners what it's doing to Saddam's supporters in Iraq?
 
Back when there was a Soviet Union many in the US made fun of how backward the Sov's military electronics was. Why, it made extensive use of vacuum tubes in some of their most modern fighters. Matter of fact the Sovs were the world's biggest supplier of vacuum tubes to the world. The American FAA bought VT from the Sovs to keep our air traffic control computer going.

Well, it seems the Sovs were not stupid. Both sides included a common element in war plans. That element was detonation a series atmospheric nukes over each country. IIRC the US planned 6 or 7 over the SU. We would have received 4. Anything electronic or electrical with an exposed wire would have been fried.

We are still vulnerable to EMP. All this gee-whiz stuff is nice just as long as we don't forget basic war fighting skills.
 
You think the military won't be doing in America to (resisting) gun owners what it's doing to Saddam's supporters in Iraq?

That's a topic which I need to address on my web site. Your rifles and mine are merely tools to prevent administrative types (NKVD equivalents) from stomping on everyone unchallenged. Fighting the army head-on would not work well (at best, infrastructure on both sides would degrade to where US looks like Lebanon)...but we have a lot of police and military on our side already. Making sure that most of them are on our side would do us more good than figuring out RedWhite&Blue Dawn scenarios.
 
A small nuclear device detonated in low earth orbit would fry most of what we have in space with EMP.

It wouldn't fry our nukes, and it would be a signal for a nuclear confrontation. The subs firing tomahawks would instead load up their nuclear tipped missiles. We may have had a boomer or two within range in the Indian Ocean.

If you start a nuclear war, you start a nuclear war. Don't think that you can drop one and then call a time-out. It may take a few hours for our plane-based nukes to get there, but they would get there.
 
Nice, but where an opponent doesn't stand a chance in traditional open combat, they resort to guerilla warfare or terrorism.
 
It wouldn't fry our nukes, and it would be a signal for a nuclear confrontation. The subs firing tomahawks would instead load up their nuclear tipped missiles. We may have had a boomer or two within range in the Indian Ocean.

If you start a nuclear war, you start a nuclear war. Don't think that you can drop one and then call a time-out. It may take a few hours for our plane-based nukes to get there, but they would get there.

Do you really believe that we would treat an attack on our space based assets the same as we would a nuclear attack on a population center? I don't. Especially if it was followed up with media statements that it was a tactical attack designed to blind the forces we have engaged overseas. No administration would dare pull the nuclear trigger without great loss of American lives to preceed it. It's just like we never publically stated we'd retaliate with nuclear weapons if our troops were attacked with NBC weapons in Iraq. We talked around it, we hinted that we might use them, but we never came out and said it.

Jeff
 
I suspect that the loss of satellite connections would affect more than just US communications...wonder what the reaction of other countries involved would be.
 
Do you really believe that we would treat an attack on our space based assets the same as we would a nuclear attack on a population center? I don't. Especially if it was followed up with media statements that it was a tactical attack designed to blind the forces we have engaged overseas. No administration would dare pull the nuclear trigger without great loss of American lives to preceed it. It's just like we never publically stated we'd retaliate with nuclear weapons if our troops were attacked with NBC weapons in Iraq. We talked around it, we hinted that we might use them, but we never came out and said it.
In other words, you are arguing that an enemy nuke designed to leave all of are armed forces helpless, would be ignored. That the CinC would just say "Screw 'em!" and let all of our forces be wiped out. :rolleyes: :scrutiny: :uhoh: :barf:

Unless of course the CinC is Hitlery Klinton, but then again, she would be the one to launch the low-orbit nuke herself.
 
I'm arguing that we probably wouldn't respond with a nuclear weapon. I'm not sure what the nuclear trigger would be since the fall of the Iron Curtain, but I don't think we would treat an attack designed to blind our conventional forces as one we would respond to with nuclear weapons. Who would we nuke? One of the things Rumsfeld and company have right is that we will deal with rogue states and groups that are trans-national rather then nations as we know them. IIRC the war game I mentioned involved the distpatch of American troops to disarm a rogue seperatist group that had come into possession of some of the nukes belonging to the former Soviet Union. In that case, who would you nuke?

I don't think it's good policy to build our entire defense structure around high technology. You have to be able to mount a credible defense with all of your systems degraded.

Oleg,
I doubt if a rogue group or state would care much about what disruptions to the global economy they could cause. In the case of an Islamic fundamentalist movement like al-Queda, they may even find a large disruption of the global economy desirable.

Jeff
 
Those JDAMS fall to earth just fine even without the satellites on. Gravity still works.

- Gabe
 
Gabe,
Yep JDAMS and laser guided munitions work after being degraded. They work just the same way all the bombs we dropped in WWII worked....:eek:

Jeff
 
My understanding about EMP warfare is that we have been hardening our weapons systems, communications, etc., for many years againts EMP. An acquaintance of mine was doing just that with the electronics for Army self-propelled artillery back in the late 1980s at Harry Diamond Labs in Washington DC.

EMP warfare is not new news.

Reports from the Iraq war is that the Iraqis were using GPS jammers supplied by the Russians. They positioned them on top of buildings like hospitals. Apparently our forces took counter-measures and the jammers did not work for long, or not at all.
 
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