MN CCW LAW after four years - StarTribune update

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jfh

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Well, here's the latest analysis of the MN CCW law--
Gun-carry law hasn't produced more crime

Additional licensed handguns have neither increased nor decreased violent crime in Minnesota, a state report shows.

By Conrad deFiebre, Star Tribune
Last update: March 29, 2007 – 9:45 PM

Tens of thousands more Minnesotans licensed to carry handguns in public haven't turned the state into the Wild West shootout that gun-control advocates warned of. But they also have not done much to curb violent crime, a benefit that many gun-rights proponents predicted when the state's permitting law was liberalized.

Between 2002, the year before the law was changed, and 2005, the most recent year for which state figures are available, Minnesota's violent crime rose 13 percent.

The 174 crimes committed by permit holders, according to a recent state report, represent only a tiny fraction of the surge, which experts say owes more to demographic trends and gangs.

Only 23 of the crimes by permit holders involved a pistol.

Meanwhile, the single "lawful and justifiable" use of a firearm reported among Minnesota's 42,189 permit holders over the past four years did not involve self-defense or efforts to stop a crime, but rather a Wabasha County man who drew complaints about target shooting near someone's property but faced no charges.

"There was an awful lot of hype on both sides before the law passed," said state Public Safety Commissioner Michael Campion. "It just hasn't materialized. I never believed there'd be a decrease in crime because people carry guns."

Sheriffs, who are issuing hundreds of new handgun permits each month, agree that the law's impact on public safety, which ignited intense debate for years leading up to its passage, has been negligible.

"Except for one domestic assault, we've had no incidents either way," said Dakota County Sheriff Don Gudmundson, an early critic of the law.

He offered a possible explanation: As gun owners become more experienced, they carry their weapons less often. "They're too hot, too cold, too heavy," he said. "Most off-duty cops are not armed."

But some Minnesotans are toting guns -- and firing them. The state Department of Health has recorded a sharp rise in injuries and deaths from assaults with firearms since 2003. In the five years before that, such casualties averaged 172 a year in Minnesota. In the next three years, the average was 327, capped by a record 395 in 2005.

Much of the bloodshed has centered in Hennepin County, where the one murder by a Minnesota permit holder occurred outside a Minneapolis bar in 2005. Zachary Ourada of Minneapolis shot Billy Walsh, a bar bouncer, four times in the back after Walsh ejected Ourada from Nye's Polonaise Room for being a drunken nuisance. Ourada is serving 36 years in prison.

The vast majority of permit holders are not causing such tragedies, proponents of the new law point out.

"Permit holders really are very safe people," said Michael Martin, a Woodbury software business executive who holds a handgun permit and teaches firearms courses on the side. "They are more likely to avoid dangerous situations and walk away from trouble. But I'm pleased that the law does allow me to defend myself."

Cause and effect?

For decades before 2003, many Minnesota police chiefs and sheriffs used their discretion to keep a tight clamp on the number of permits they issued. In the Twin Cities area especially, most applicants had to show an occupational hazard to become licensed, such as private security work or carrying large amounts of cash.

At the end of 2002, about 12,000 Minnesotans held handgun permits, most of them outside the metro area. The Personal Protection Act of 2003 changed that. It guarantees access to a handgun permit to any adult who pays a $100 fee, gets prescribed training and passes a background check.

Gun-control advocates see links between more gun permits and rising violence.

"Buying and carrying more handguns does not improve public safety, and it weakens civil society," said Heather Martens, president of Citizens for a Safer Minnesota.

Gun-rights champions see things differently. "There's really no connection," said Joe Olson, president of the Gun Owners' Civil Rights Alliance and chief drafter of the 2003 law. "Violent crime tracks with the numbers of males 18 to 26. We're having a bump in that group at this time." State Demographer Tom Gillaspy confirmed that there are more Minnesotans of crime-prone age than a few years ago, but not enough to account for all of the increased violence. "You could probably explain away a couple percentage points," he said. One percent of adult Minnesotans now have permits. Olson speculated that criminal behavior might be affected once 2 percent are licensed.

Sen. Pat Pariseau, R-Farmington, chief sponsor of the Personal Protection Act, said that in other states where similar laws have reduced crime, "when it starts to come down, it stays down." Meanwhile, she blamed double-digit percentage rises in the use of guns in murders, robberies and assaults since 2003 on "people who have guns illegally."

Unlikely to commit crimes

No Minnesota permit holder has ever been convicted of robbery. And a Star Tribune comparison of overall crime statistics and state reports of convictions of permit holders indicates that their likelihood of committing an assault is about 17 times less than the general population's, 12 times less for drunken driving and 31 times less for drug crimes.

Besides the murder of Billy Walsh, a state report lists 22 other crimes in which permit holders used their guns, including two convictions of criminal sexual conduct, two assaults, two domestic assaults and four cases of harassment, threats, disorderly conduct or stalking.

Those convicted of serious crimes usually lose their permits; state records show that 24 were revoked last year for reasons ranging from mental health commitment to criminal convictions to gang membership. And 177 applicants were denied permits in 2006, mostly because they posed danger to themselves or others.

Meanwhile, 9,064 permits were issued statewide in 2006; sheriffs say the rate of applications hasn't slowed this year.

More than two-thirds of all denials have come in Ramsey County. Sheriff Bob Fletcher has assigned a deputy full time to investigating applicants with any record of mental illness, drug or alcohol abuse or scrapes with the law. But that and other permitting expenses have cost taxpayers $200,000 more than the fees collected.

Hennepin County Sheriff Rich Stanek supports the Personal Protection Act, saying it improved on the former law by increasing the minimum age for a permit to 21, requiring training and providing more fees to finance background checks.

"It took away some local control," he said, adding that the worst predictions of gun-control advocates "just didn't turn out that way."


Conrad deFiebre • 651-222-1673

Comment: Although I see some bias in it, this is a good recap of the impact of the law itself. deFiebre did his homework in getting current comments from all the major players. However, I wish he had gotten comments from the FlakJacket Jackasses who put on a show in the Legislature once the bill's passage was assured.

Heather Martens and Godmundson received a LOT of coverage in those days, weeks and months that preceded the eventual legislative victory. It's my impression that Martens' group was truly demoralized when the streets didn't run red as newly-permitted carriers went wild.

Jim H.
 
An interesting article but, one thing I take away from it, the author seems to have really, REALLY tried to make a connection between permit holders and crimes. Thankfully, there were no shoot-outs involving permit holders. If there would have been even a single incidence of a shoot-out at a bar, that would have been the "bad apple that ruined the whole barrel".

For example, "No Minnesota permit holder has ever been convicted of robbery. And a Star Tribune comparison of overall crime statistics and state reports of convictions of permit holders indicates that their likelihood of committing an assault is about 17 times less than the general population's, 12 times less for drunken driving and 31 times less for drug crimes."

Well, it is HIGHLY unlikely a person that passes a background check, an FBI check, and is issued a license to carry a concealed handgun is the kind of person that is involved in Robbery or Drug Crimes, and while there is a possibility for a concealed license holder to be invovled in a crime of assault or DUI, it is very slim. Why are license holders less likely to commit these crimes? Well, because, by their very nature they are not criminals, which is evidenced by their ability to pass the background check and obtain their license and purchase a handgun.

Criminals, on the other hand, do not submit to the background check for a license, they carry guns illegally and commit crimes because, by their very nature they are criminals.
 
As usual, the new CCW law had very little effect on violent crime rates. Licence holders are honest people, and the percentage of people carrying is low enough that most criminals aren't likely to go out and get a paying job.
However, when an individual's hide is on the line, being able to defend themselves can mean the difference between life and death to that person.
Marty
 
An interesting article but, one thing I take away from it, the author seems to have really, REALLY tried to make a connection between permit holders and crimes.

There has been an obsession with the MSM and the antigunners here to show crime stats for permittees. AFAICT, it is based on the primary myth that "more guns on the streets will yield more gun incidents."

The trouble, of course, is that this hypothesis is falsely constructed: The implicit assumptions seem to include no understanding of personal attributes of character--e.g., some people who carry firearms will do illegal things (i.e., the criminals), and other will not do illegal things (i.e., the permittees)--at least at a statistically significant level.

From what I see among my thoughtful liberal friends concerned about blood in the streets, this has been a real awakening. They are having to re-think their moral relativism.

Jim H.
 
The RKBA and pro-carry movements really need to stop arguing "crime reduction" as an argument for carry. Even if it's true, you become bogged down in the minutiae of the debate, and you get into a statistical wrestling match with the anti's. They get us running in circles debating Kleck and Lott's methodology which detracts from the core issue, and is exactly what they want. All you accomplish is giving them more time to throw out their choice sound bites.

Ultimately, carry is an individual rights and self-defense issue and that's how it needs to be addressed. And that's the position we need to put the anti's into fighting. Don't give them the opportunity argue against whether or not carry will reduce the collective crime rate. You want to make them expose their core ideology, and argue against self defense. A much less tenable position to take.

When you've got the anti's back-pedaling and arguing "Of course we're not against self defense, we just don't think guns are the answer!" they start sounding hollow. The common person in the middle can think up plenty of scenarios on their own where a rape whistle, 911, and that karate they learned in a strip-mall dojo may not work as well as they'd hope.

So forget the state's crime rate. I've got a better question for all of us to ask: "What's your personal crime rate?"

We all know why shall-issue carry is so strongly opposed in the remaining states even after a majority of the sates have adopted it and the evidence is overwhelming that there are no negative consequences. When thousands of law-abiding people are walking about armed, and nothing bad happens, it rips the heart right out of the gun control debate. Just as the anti's have almost succeeded in getting the old adage "Guns don't kill people, people kill people." marginalized as irrelevant jingoism, here comes living, breathing proof that it's true.
 
I think over time you'll see a downward trend. But as a Minnesotan with a carry permit, I visit downtown Minneapolis a lot less than I did before I got my permit.

Let's face it, downtown is where most of the shootings occur. I'm not going to unnecessarily increase my risk of having to present force.

I just hope that more people who don't have the option of moving out of the city take steps to protect themselves and their families.
 
I agree with spectre.

Down town MSP is a nuthouse.

Most sane people avoid it.

I've carried for seven years here now and have never had to put it to serious use.

I've shot wounded deer and other various roadkills with it. I waved it at some punk kids that harassed me on a highway one night. I thought one had gone for a gun and i beat him to it.

Other than that nothing big.

Glad i have it, glad i haven't used it
 
But they also have not done much to curb violent crime, a benefit that many gun-rights proponents predicted when the state's permitting law was liberalized.

How do they know this from police statistics? Many situations diffused with a firearm were NEVER reported to the police; they really didn't need to.
 
"Except for one domestic assault, we've had no incidents either way," said Dakota County Sheriff Don Gudmundson, an early critic of the law.

He offered a possible explanation: As gun owners become more experienced, they carry their weapons less often.
It takes a humble man to admit he was wrong. Most men will just make up a BS reason to keep from doing so.
 
Ultimately, carry is an individual rights and self-defense issue and that's how it needs to be addressed.

I totally agree with that. I ask how would anyone suggest the AOA? Since statistics are what the anti's love to use (although never produce the resources), would it be best to use stats such as;

1) Ratio of LEO to Citizen?
2) Average Responce Time to a call?

plus, point out the fact that since a violent criminal will ignore the laws, so why would they listen to Mr. Compliant while he tries to "talk the BG" out of chosing him?

Suggestions?
 
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