Contingency Planning (long)

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rwc

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Mar 11, 2005
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Bainbridge Island, WA
Like so many, Katrina has forced me to think more seriously about how I would care for my family in an emergency. Six years ago I was part of our state’s “Y2K” contingency planning group. The general message for the public is that you should be prepared to care for yourself for 72 hours. This is the “72 hour rule” and is the mainstay of emergency management. I fear that Katrina has thrown into very harsh light that 72 hours is probably insufficient in a truly horrific disaster, like the “big one” (7+ earthquake) we are expecting here in the NW. Back then I knew that I could fill my pick up with outdoor gear, walk away from my rental and be in pretty good shape. Six years later, as a Subaru driving daddy of an eight month old girl, my concerns have changed and so have my needs.

This is a set of contingency plans and lists drawn up after my wife and I discussed what we would do in a Katrina-like emergency. I’ve tried to create a plan that accounts for random needs up to a full scale disaster where we would have to decide whether to stay at home or attempt to leave the area. I will confess that Katrina has led me to think that “bugging-in” may pose greater risks to my family than “bugging-out.” To be very blunt, stuff is stuff. There is no shortage off stuff in the world. If our material possessions are reduced to what we can haul away in a car and trailer than so be it. We can start over.

The document below contains the three main documents I am working with, a contingency plan, a contingency checklist, and a to do/buy list. These are general and in a number of places detailed lists will need to be supplemented. I think checklists are a good idea so that if someone else is collecting gear in another room they know to ask you where something is missing. That way you don’t get two days out and have a “Homer Simpson moment…”

Most of what we have identified as needs we already possess. But as you can see at the end of the attachment, we have a shopping list and expect to work on “doubling up” on essentials over the next year or so.

I would appreciate any suggestions or feedback as I see this as an iterative process.

FYI - brackets “[]” indicate information that will change from person to person, and plan to plan. You didn’t really think I’d post my family’s names on the internet, did you?

rwc
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This document describes the overall strategies and refers to specific documents to support different aspects. “[ ]” info is personalized.

Contingency Plan -
1. Initial Actions:

“In Case of Emergency” contact person (“ICE”) out of region to act as information clearing house.
[XX Also our primary “rally point”]

Regroup at home. Pick up kid(s) on the way home. If at home with a nanny, nanny to call ICE contact to let them know her location, and if not home to head there with child.

Go through the Contingency Checklist.

2. Next Steps:

Stay or go?
Factors:
Family member needing medical attention?
Are the utilities working? – Water, electric, communications (access to banks in addition to voice and email), sewer, and natural gas.
Law and order?

3. If go, where?

Have at least a few options. List pros/cons.

Primary – [XX, MT – far, but secure. Minimal needs.]
Secondary – [XX, WA –]
Third – [XX, UT – far, not many resources, but ours.]
Fourth – [XX, AZ –]

Considerations – Camping out in an isolated location decreases risk of contact, but minimizes access to food, medical care, or information. It also poses a security/safety risk unless in a group. Probably just an in-transit strategy, not a long-term strategy.

4. If going – which route?

Primary path to each location with a secondary route planned if primary is gridlocked or broken.

5. If going – with who?
Set up a small group? The larger the group, the fewer the options and slower. Three couples seem about right.

[XXX]

6. Transportation:
Two or Three Modes:
Car and trailer.
Maybe - Bicycles, panniers, Burley trailer (baby and dog), and Free-radical.
Boots and backpacks.

Pack in reverse order so that each mode can be transitioned to easily, and what is taken is pared down accordingly. Example, primary bedding while moving by car would be sheets and blankets in the tent. If on bike or foot it would be two sleeping bags zipped together.
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Contingency Checklist -
Call ICE [XXX] and confirm location , status, and if moving, where to.

At home:
Check for gas leaks. If odor detected turn off gas at meter.
Fill bathtub and all water containers, including rain barrel.

Check on neighbors and their homes – emphasize risk of a neighborhood fire.

Secure/clean up any hazards – broken glass, board up windows.

If power is off start eating out of the freezer, pack coolers with frozen food and critical perishables since the frozen food will keep the perishables fresh longer.

Prepare for evacuation in case it is necessary.
Print out “To Pack” lists for each room of the house. This will allow a quick, easy to organize job, and allow you to assign out tasks to keep people focused and not panic-y. Bring everything down to the living room for sorting into Backpack/bike/car/trailer bags & bins.

Upstairs:
[X’s] Bedroom – clothes, diapers, wipes, toiletries, bedding, books, and toys.
Our Bedroom – clothes, books, photo albums, scrap books, bedding, misc. from dressers.
Guest Bedroom – Computer, data and file back ups, critical documents.
Bathroom and Linen closet – toiletries, first aid, cleaning supplies, towels, and TP.
Kitchen –
Select pots, pans, utensils, dishes (camp gear in basement), and plastic-wear.
Sippy cups, baby spoons and food mill.
Food – pack and divide food in the reverse order of possible modes of transportation. If time allows further break it down so that a 1 gal. Ziplock holds everything for a day’s meals.
Backpack bag – 20lbs. = ~ 1 wk. ( Example – One Bag = 3x oatmeal, tea, multivitamins Cliff Bars, candy and a rice or pasta dinner with dried fruit and vegetables.)
Bicycle bags – 40 lbs. divided between the four bucket panniers. Packed like backpack meals.
Car box & cooler – All perishable & frozen foods, food for a week.
Trailer boxes – all other dry goods, canned goods, and other non-perishables.

Music Room – Bass, select books, coats, hats, and gloves.
Dining Room – boots, sandals, and sturdy shoes.
Living Room – baby toys, blanket, mattress & Ridge Rest pads out of couch.
Basement – Camping gear (including flashlights, etc.), propane cook set and cooking bin, food from freezer and pantry, first aid, guide, and emergency books, maps, firearms and cleaning gear.




[X’s] Baby Checklist:
Backpack stuff sack:
One set of outdoors clothes (no cotton), a sleeper, spare socks and u/w, 3 cloth diapers and diaper cover, 1 toy, and 1 book. 1 tube of Burt’s Bees, clippers, sunscreen, bugspray, hand sanitizer, a hand towel, and a wash cloth.
Car bag:
A half dozen outfits, a couple sleepers, a stack of diapers, Burt’s Bees, and a pack of wipes. A few toys and a couple books.
Trailer Bag:
As much durable clothing and larger sizes as possible, more diapers and wipes, more towels, and bedding. Toys and books.

[Y’s] Checklist:
Backpack stuff sack:
One set of clothes, 2x spare socks and u/w.
Minimal toiletries, shared.
Car Bag:
Assorted clothes and sandals. Photo albums, scrap books, laptop, cameras, CDROM backups.
Trailer Bag:
All additional, practical clothes and shoes.

[Z’s] Checklist:
Backpack stuff sack:
One set of clothes, 2x spare socks and u/w.
Minimal toiletries, shared.
Car Bag:
Assorted clothes and sandals. Firearms, books.
Trailer Bag:
All additional, practical clothes and shoes.


[D’s] Dog Checklist:
Backpack:
Kibble, collapsing bowls, medicines, brushes, toothbrush, zip-line and leashes.
Car Bag:
Kibble, metal bowls, treats, towels, dog bed.
Trailer:
40 lb. bag of kibble.

House de-commissioning Checklist:
Turn off gas, water, electricity, and drain the water lines and gas lines.
Disconnect the propane tank and take it.
Use plywood (or remove interior doors) and board-over exterior windows and doors. First staple gun plastic over doors and windows. Seal with caulking if available. Then nail or screw doors over windows. Run cordless drill/driver down, then hammer. Spray paint front door cover “All residents evacuated, nothing worth looting ;-)”


Backpack:
Large [Dana] pack. Medium day pack, empty and tied below Baby backpack carrier.
Food – Pastas and dried foods. Spices, oil, garlic, etc. (1 week = ~20lbs.)
Cartridge stove, fuel cans, kettle, pot and pan. 2 insulated mugs, spoons, knife, fork, chop sticks and plastic cutting board.
Twig stove, pot, and stuff sack.
2L Camelback, water filter and tablets, 2x 1L Nalgene bottles.
2x Ridge Rest pads
2x down sleeping bags
Marmot tent
Tarp and 550 Cord.
Emergency kit (Car bag, hip hammock, & day pack off the kid carrier)
Medical Kit
3x clothing and toiletries.
Radio


Bicycle packing:
Burley and B.O.B. trailers (or Freeradical), the Burley for [X & D], and the B.O.B. or Free radical for the big pack, Baby backpack and misc.
Bike panniers – front buckets and rear bags.
Tire repair kit, and common tire sizes, spare chain, spokes, tools, grease, etc.
Extra food in the buckets (2 weeks = 40 lbs.), extra clothing and other supplies in the panniers.

Car kit:
Bikes on the Yakima rack, B.O.B./Free radical & Burley trailers on top of the car trailer or lashed to the rear of the car, empty.
Dana pack, dog pack, and baby backpack in the rocket box.
Car repair tools and a full size spare tire
Car emergency kit
4x “Car Bags” for each of us.

Trailer packing:
Bag of bedding, large tent, etc.
4x 5 gal. gasoline cans
2x 5 gal. water cans
rack for all six (or more) along axle of trailer.
Large duffle bags or bins for all trailer gear.
4x individual trailer gear.
Additional tools including all tool boxes, construction, electrical, etc.
Library of practical books and manuals, some novels.
Minimal climbing gear, pdf, snowshoes, poles, dedicated winter gear.
Additional camping supplies and gear.
Additional food.
Spare tire(s), electrical repair parts, light bulbs, spare hitch, nuts, lock washers, over sized wrench, 20’ chain and lock.
Canoe?
Rack for bikes and trailers?
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To Do/Buy List:

Have back-up cash – a few hundred or a thousand in $20s.

Make a change of address list of vital contacts.

Scan or digitally photograph all irreplaceable documents and photographs and burn them to a DVD. Save critical digital files to a DVD and a USB memory stick.

Print out all To Do lists and revise.

Pre-sort gear according to lists and have bins organized downstairs to deal with it.

Do a mock “run through” of packing up and see how long it takes, and where the confusion points are. Restructure the To Do lists to make them clearer. Maybe break them down into separate sets of lists so that different people can take set tasks and then return when done for the next one.

Have a master checklist and make room specific checklists.

Prioritize purchases.

Safe All important documents – passports, birth and marriage certificates, a memory card with copies of all our important contacts & a change of address list.

Supplies by category:

Hardware:
Gas cock wrench for the gas meter.
Roll of HD (heavy mil) plastic for sealing windows, doors, holes, etc. Enough for all windows and roof + 50%.
Come-along/block and tackle
3x respirators & eye protection
Bicycle wheel hand cart (or Burley?)
“100 mph” tape or Gaffer’s tape.
1/4” exterior plywood for securing exterior windows and doors. Dozen?
Gas Powered Chain Saw, 18 - 20 inch preferred, w/ 2.5 - 5 gal. Fuel* and Oil as required, chain saw sharpener file w/ guide, spare chain, maintenance kit and safety gear
Propane adapter – easy to standard reverse thread.

Emergency:
Waterproof wallet/box for tinder and matches on neck chain with knife, LED light, and Mg “match.”
Hand crank radio
Solar LED light/charging system - http://www.newlite.com/
Rechargeable AA batteries and charger
High volume water filter –
OR – A five gallon bucket, filter cloth on top and hardware to adapt to the Sears filter under the sink. Then take the filter with us.

Solar laptop system - http://www.ctsolar.com/Expedition Power Packages.htm

Ammo cans.
6x Five gallon gasoline Jerry cans
2x Five gallon water Jerry cans
2x bulb primed siphons with hoses
and an 8 can rack for the trailer (vented box if on axle, otherwise at rear?0

Foodsaver and bags.

Car Emergency Bag:
Dry Bag
2qt. water sack
Water filter &/or pills
Matches, lighter, Mg. Block w/ striker
Knife
Medical kit
Tarp
550 Cord
PVC rain coat, hat, gloves, socks
Poncho, ball cap
Flashlight & Headlamp
Sm. Pot
Power Bars
Glock Field spade
K-Bar

Ham radio and license - http://www.universal-radio.com/catalog/hamhf/1817.html

First aid kit & supplemental wound management supplies.


Food & Water
Multivitamins
Baby food
full-sized food mill
Dog food

Personal Supplies:
Spare contact lenses
General toiletries, incl. condoms
Extra diapers and baby wipes
Half dozen cloth diapers and two cloth diaper covers

Burley trailer & B.O.B. or Xtracycle Freeradical, panniers, parts, tires, tubes, tools, etc.

Hitch for Subaru, 2” ball, U-Haul & 4-plug connectors.
Supplemental transmission cooler
Trailer and customized box. Same size tires and wheels as Subaru.
Brackets for the bass.
Maybe a bracket for a 55 gal. barrel
Maybe build a sleep platform on top, or a rack for bikes, canoe, etc.

Pygmy Canoe kit, PFDs, float bags, etc.
OR – buy a fiberglass one for ~ $300.
 
Excellent list - it provides lots of food for thought (especially of the :what: variety, as in :what: I can't imagine what I'd do without "x").

Bookmarked.
 
Great list. when you begin to look at things you will need you begin to actually bug out when you realize how much you will need and how much it will cost you right now.

Preparedness is expensive but I think it is safe to assume that by the time you get your things together, what you want is going to be pre-looted from the store shelves.


Also, maybe I missed it, but how much ammo would you bring for this excursion? I suppose it is entirely contingent upon the situation (short term, long term, or indefinate) but as far as I can tell it is worth while to bring as much as you have to does not create an undo burden.
 
Thank you, I'm glad you found it helpful.

TGI -
I have thought about ammunition like every other consumable - a lot in the trailer and car, progressively lesser amounts on the bikes and in my pack. Food for thought - 40x .308, 50x .45 ACP, and 500x .22LR = 9.0lbs. Add the weight of the respective firearms, cleaning supplies, slings, glass, etc. and it's probably around 30lbs. total. That is a lot when you consider that if forced to "hoof it" I will be carrying everything my family needs while my wife totes our daughter in a baby-backpack, and maybe has a daypack slung in front of her. My back aches already... That chariot thing that Preacherman was thinking of in another thread looks better already - or maybe a cart from Safeway. :D
 
Bump back to the top, good list and way of thinking.

Katrina, Kansas, other incidents, all good reason to be prudently prepared.

Thank you.
 
I'm curious abouts comms in emergency -
What if the phone towers are down, or electricity- Any though to systems that don't rely on the grid? CB radio and a generator?

IMO the information is crucial to the bug in/out/where decision.
 
FRS radio for family to family talk.
CB radio for road conditions.
HAM radio for a little more reach.

A small haldheld HAM radio without a license makes for a decent scanner if you have one with the proper bands and as long as you don't transmit with it. And if you don't have a license it used to be you could still use one to transmit if it was for a legitimate emergency, but I don't know if that's still the case. (and here I begin to get off topic so I'll stop).
 
Leave us not indulge in necromancy please. There are some good lessons to be learned from the past, but personal application of those lessons in the present is much to be preferred to "+1" posts for old threads.

Starting something fresh, useful and on topic will almost always be preferable to resurrecting old threads.

Thanks,

lpl/nc
 
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