I have chronographed quite a bit of 9MM in a number of different guns over the last 30 years or so and do have some real velocities recorded. And yes, NATO is generally a little warmer than regular U.S. commercial ammo.
For instance, WWB ( USA9MMVP ) 115 grain averages 1140fps in my Kimber Target II with 5" barrel. Winchester NATO ( Q4318 ) 124 grain ball averages 1214fps in the same gun. In the Marlin Carbine with 16" barrel, WWB 115 grain averages 1256fps, while Winchester NATO 124 ball averaged 1296fps. Four inch pistol barrels produce less velocity, but the relationship between NATO and WWB remains the same. BTW, I have chronograped a couple of 9MM revolvers, a S&W and a Ruger, with 3" barrels. I found that the 3" revolvers produce average velocities as high, or higher, that my 4" semi-auto pistols.
I did chronograph some Federal M882, IIRC, NATO ball that gave velocities consistent with U.S. commercial ammo. That's why I said that the NATO 9MM is "generally" a little warmer. The Federal NATO I tested was really pretty wimpy compared to the Winchester NATO.
The Winchester Q4318 NATO has been my favorite factory practice load for years.