I think it's really hard to predict.
In the late '80s and early '90s, a lot of people were afraid of black violent crime. The AWB wasn't about school shootings; it was about white people banning the guns that NWA rapped about.
This fear does not exist like it did 20 years ago. It's a different world, and people are more concerned about West Nile Virus than the Crack Epidemic. Furthermore, since then, there's been more support for the idea of letting people defend themselves, not trying to fight crime by stopping self-defense. Castle Doctrine laws, Shall-Issue reform, etc. have flourished in the past 20 years. With the exception of a few states -- notably the ones that are bankrupt now -- gun control as a solution to crime has not been popular around the US.
OTOH, the far left activists who supported Obama will want their payback, and their priority is consolidating government power, whether that's by seizing more of our income, taking over huge portions of the economy like medical services, or by disarming us.
My bet: there will be some law passed, so that politicians can say they "did something", but it's hard to predict what it would look like. Could you have predicted what the Clinton Gun Ban would look like? Bayonet lugs, for example?
It may be that the smartest thing to do is let the politicians pass a law, but work to make sure that law doesn't really do anything.
For example, California has a law against guns that are designed to avoid setting off a metal detector -- left over from the Glock scare of the mid '80s. Of course, no such gun exists, or, as far as we can tell, will ever exist. So, the politicians "did something" but the law is utterly meaningless.
OTOH, it may be best to fight any law, to the bitter end. The political climate, the contents of the law, etc., will show the way at the time.
However, barring the return of widespread fear of drive-by shootings by dark-skinned people, I don't think popular support for a "crime bill" exists today as it did in the early '90s.
In the late '80s and early '90s, a lot of people were afraid of black violent crime. The AWB wasn't about school shootings; it was about white people banning the guns that NWA rapped about.
This fear does not exist like it did 20 years ago. It's a different world, and people are more concerned about West Nile Virus than the Crack Epidemic. Furthermore, since then, there's been more support for the idea of letting people defend themselves, not trying to fight crime by stopping self-defense. Castle Doctrine laws, Shall-Issue reform, etc. have flourished in the past 20 years. With the exception of a few states -- notably the ones that are bankrupt now -- gun control as a solution to crime has not been popular around the US.
OTOH, the far left activists who supported Obama will want their payback, and their priority is consolidating government power, whether that's by seizing more of our income, taking over huge portions of the economy like medical services, or by disarming us.
My bet: there will be some law passed, so that politicians can say they "did something", but it's hard to predict what it would look like. Could you have predicted what the Clinton Gun Ban would look like? Bayonet lugs, for example?
It may be that the smartest thing to do is let the politicians pass a law, but work to make sure that law doesn't really do anything.
For example, California has a law against guns that are designed to avoid setting off a metal detector -- left over from the Glock scare of the mid '80s. Of course, no such gun exists, or, as far as we can tell, will ever exist. So, the politicians "did something" but the law is utterly meaningless.
OTOH, it may be best to fight any law, to the bitter end. The political climate, the contents of the law, etc., will show the way at the time.
However, barring the return of widespread fear of drive-by shootings by dark-skinned people, I don't think popular support for a "crime bill" exists today as it did in the early '90s.
