If you asked me towards the beginning of 2020 I would have said 80% of them were going to return their guns one the panic wore off. But it's been thing after thing and they keep selling more I would put the number much lower now. I am basing this off 2 things.
#1 the longer the new gun owner has the gun the less likely I think they are to have a sudden change of heart. This may have been different it the pandemic had suddenly ended and the world returned to normal in a timely fashion but it didn't.
#2 Ammo sales. Ammo sales indicate many new gun owners are actually taking their guns out and shooting them. This also matches up with anecdotal tales from the guy that owns my favorite range. He said the money he was making from range fees and number of new shooters at the range during 2020 and 2021 was massively up. It got to the point that he was actually looking into expanding and adding an additional 300yrd range with 10-20 extra lanes. it slowed back down in winter 2021 so he didn't but still.
So I am making my own WAG that it will be much lower like 20-30% of them will return them maybe? idk this is all guesses and speculation.
#1 the longer the new gun owner has the gun the less likely I think they are to have a sudden change of heart. This may have been different it the pandemic had suddenly ended and the world returned to normal in a timely fashion but it didn't.
#2 Ammo sales. Ammo sales indicate many new gun owners are actually taking their guns out and shooting them. This also matches up with anecdotal tales from the guy that owns my favorite range. He said the money he was making from range fees and number of new shooters at the range during 2020 and 2021 was massively up. It got to the point that he was actually looking into expanding and adding an additional 300yrd range with 10-20 extra lanes. it slowed back down in winter 2021 so he didn't but still.
So I am making my own WAG that it will be much lower like 20-30% of them will return them maybe? idk this is all guesses and speculation.