At What Point Will You Be "All In" With Buying Ammo Again?

I will buy for training but I dont know about cheap linking ammo anymore, I can tell you I have been more into archery lately, I am going to hunt, gun or no.

As of TODAY, 60 cents per 9mm round is about what you can expect anywhere with current new inventory - if that's too much, you will want to look into reloading down the road

Here's my completely unfounded predictions for the ammo market. By the end of this summer, you'll be able to find the most popular calibers, most of the time on the shelf, at higher than comfortable prices. By spring, reloading components will start to be in stock, at higher than comfortable prices. By summer 2022, factory ammo prices should start to settle out, I'm hoping for around $18 per 50 for 9mm. By winter 2022, I hope to see primers pretty regularly at $40/1000. So long as nothing too squirrely happens with civil unrest and/or gun legislation, it will probably stay that way until 2024, then the election starts heating up, expect things to get a little crazy till November, and then depending on the outcome, we may have a glut of ammo on the market, or more of the same high demand, inflated prices. But hopefully by then the supply chain issues are sorted out

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At What Point Will You Be "All In" With Buying Ammo Again?
When prices return to a somewhat affordable level..say around $18 per box of 50 of 9mm ball ammo.

WheelGunMan said:

At What Point Will You Be "All In" With Buying Ammo Again?
When prices return to a somewhat affordable level..say around $18 per box of 50 of 9mm ball ammo.

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I was gonna say 9........ probably asking for too much huh?

LoonWulf said:

I was gonna say 9........ probably asking for too much huh?

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I've been to a few LGS and have refused to pay the asking price. They are returning to some stock on the shelf. If enough people refuse to pay the higher dollar..the sooner it will drop back to tolerable prices.

Two years ago I bought a box of 50 9mm cheap stuff for <$10. Now I’m seeing $30 regularly, I ain’t gonna do it. I bought ammo when I could afford and felt like it, prices on all of that have doubled and tripled
I may have enough .223 and 300BO to withstand a small zombie apocalypse. I have enough other stuff to last for some sparse shooting.
If prices do not reach a more favorable point I’m just gonna ride it out with what I have. BTW last fall I gave FREE a woman friend a box of 30-30 for her sister who couldn’t find any. She knew I wanted some 38 spl defense stuff. Today she showed up and handed me a box of Hornady Critical Defense with 5 rounds missing. She begged it off of her boyfriend. What goes around comes around

Reading bersaguy's prognostic forecast is encouraging yet I'm reminded of having once been told "For most life rarely goes according to plan, all others just get lucky." It'll be some time before I'm willing to spend significantly more total than I was paying pre-pandemic. Suspect the remainder of my life will be reloads just to avoid that..

When my need for ammo/reloading-supplies grows to the point that the current market prices are deemed acceptable.

Most recently, I was only "all in" when things had improved enough from the last Ammo Insanity for the MFRs to start offering good mini-bulk deals like the Black Packs and assorted Rebate schemes.

I still have a number of various such deal-packs, un-opened, lying around the bunker.

IIRC, during that time my purchasing-consideration gene would only activate when decent .45acp 230gr ball ammo was available for ~25¢/rd and 9x19 115/124gr ball for ~18¢.

I’d like to replace what I shoot. No more no less just keep even. I won’t over pay to even do that.
I have no intentions to bulk buy anything unless I see something I need at pre panic prices.

I think that I haven’t a clue what ammo prices are going to do; I am hopeful that supply is plentiful and prices are reasonable. We just don’t know nor do we control it - meanwhile, I will let the stock market offset my inflation and try to stay even.

Local Wal Mart had .22 at less than 6 cents a round. I was all in. Cleaned 'em out, bought both boxes.

Other than shotgun shells all they had was 350 Legend.

Hopefully I won’t need to buy anything other than 22 for several years. I have a case of 9mm and 40 defensive ammo which won’t be consumed other than rotating out carry rounds and maybe function testing a new carry gun. I can cast and reload everything else. I also have plenty of 223 because I can do all my AR practice shooting with 300 Blackout cast.

At one point when brass-cased 9mm FMJ was $179/1000 I decided that was so cheap I would buy some instead of load my empties. A lot of my decision will be based on the price of primers, but I can’t see me buying loaded ammo until it comes down to within 10-15% of historical lows.

I am SO happy I bought a case of all my favorite ammo back in 2019.

Soon.
If it wasnt for a case of 12 gauge and a case of .22lr Id be shooting the Fusil or the Musket alot more, as I have plenty of Black Powder and lead.

For big game , I have a dozen box's of .308 to see me through the summer.

With Quid Pro Joe at the wheel, I dont think America's gonna slack on buying ammo anytime soon.

Few things make a citizen more safe than a nice ammo stash.

It’s coming down, but not quite there yet. When I see factory brass 124gr 9mm for $.20-$.24/round, I’ll buy again.

It’s hard to say. I guess when ammo is everywhere again I’ll probably wait a few months and start restocking. At that point the prices will be as low as they’re likely to get, at least close.

When 22lr is back to 4 cents a round

The price really needs to be at least half of the current market price. I have enough reloading supplies to get me through the next couple of years. The only calibers I really buy are 7.62x39 and 22LR. 7.62 has dropped by almost 15 cents a round since the first of the year and now can be had for 30 cents a round shipped so at least one caliber is trending back to the affordable range. 22LR needs to drop back down well below 10 cents a round before I will even consider adding to my stash. It has a ways to go.

I really prefer buying in bulk, usually by the case when possible, so I'm really not there yet. I believe I’ll get back to buying with gusto when the prices hit around…

$0.20 for brass 9MM
$0.24 for brass .40
$0.30 for brass 10MM and .45
$0.06 for quality .22
$0.45 for revolver ammo
$0.18 for 7.62*39
$0.23 for .223

I can shoot for a long time if I don't buy anything else, but my plan is to retire in 5-7 years and never buy range ammo again when retired.

Until the prices stabilize, I'll pick up some stuff here and there when deals are available.

The thing I really messed up with was.quality 22LR. I regret not buying three or four times what I bought…. I do have a fair bit that will last a long time, but I could have spent another $2000 when CCI .22’s were under $0.05 and I’d been done buying .22’s probably forever.

For me it's not a dollar amount per se. It is when prices get back to 20-25% of what it was before, that I will start to buy. When it drops to 10-15% of what it was pre panic and there are sales THEN I'll be all in. But it'll be mostly reloading supplies we are talking about.

At my current rate , 3 range visits a week I can go many years without needing a thing . That said, as soon as prices are anywhere near sane I will be all in buying again . If prices stay crazy I will still buy what I need, just won't be excited about it . I want to shoot all I can so I will pay to play as long as I can .

One of the major reasons that ammo prices will not return to what they were before the pandemic is the increases in the cost of raw materials such as copper. If copper ever returns to what it was two years ago prices will go down, but I doubt that 1000 rounds of 9mm brass cased practice ammo will ever be under $200. again. Hope I'm wrong.