Primers in stock

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Stopped at a LGS yesterday. They didn’t have primers and salesman stated if they couldn’t get them at a good price he refuses to get them. However, coming back from vacation I stopped by a LGS in New Mexico. Had all the spp you wanted. They still had all of them when I left.
 

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GeoDudeFlorida said:
I think most of the THR crowd is sitting on a couple of lifetime's worth of primers and don't need or want to buy any at the current pricing.
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You been peeking at my stash again???? Sure wish I had a couple of lifetime’s worth, but alas, the supply is dwindling. We’ve cut back live fire practice a lot, and are currently looking at purchasing factory ammo to supplement what we need. The aforementioned Target SPorts has 9mm CCI blazer in brass at .34/round, so if that comes down a bit more it may be what we use for a while. Here’s hoping supply outpaces demand in 2022.
 
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CDP45 said:
Stopped at a LGS yesterday. They didn’t have primers and salesman stated if they couldn’t get them at a good price he refuses to get them. However, coming back from vacation I stopped by a LGS in New Mexico. Had all the spp you wanted. They still had all of them when I left.
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where was that in NM? i am off and running.... NOT! just for future reference regarding Karma.
 
Looking at target sports this morning they've got 5k of small pistol magnums for $600. Not great pricing, but they appear to be available.
 
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Caplock said:
I'm jealous of you guys finding overpriced reloading components. Stopped by my LGS this last week. Not one primer or one pound of any powder.
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The place in Newberry still has CCI #41’s on the shelf. $89.98 + tax which is actually pretty good.
 
Lgs this weekend had a bunch of primers and powders including varget and h1000. I wouldn’t pay $60-80/lb for powder I already had but I did pay $120/k for fed gm 205m AR which I haven’t seen in forever.
 
Walkalong said:
Save your cash for when it all goes in the crapper.
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Just speaking for myself here but I try to avoid spending cash at all. I prefer a good bargain or swap trade deal. Saturday I traded two magazines for a Star M30 I no longer owned for a brick of CCI #41's. The shop had a gun come in from a police auction with no magazines (some counties around here shred hi-caps for some unknown reason) and the owner wanted to sell it with factory originals, not reman's. He had primers, I had magazines - I call that a win-win. :)
What were those mag's actually "worth"? To me, nothing - but I took a brick of primers for them happily. Always keep your options open. Search your "trash" for treasure every once in a while, too. :)
 
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GeoDudeFlorida said:
Just speaking for myself here but I try to avoid spending cash at all. I prefer a good bargain or swap trade deal. Saturday I traded two magazines for a Star M30 I no longer owned for a brick of CCI #41's. The shop had a gun come in from a police auction with no magazines (some counties around here shred hi-caps for some unknown reason) and the owner wanted to sell it with factory originals, not reman's. He had primers, I had magazines - I call that a win-win. :)
What were those mag's actually "worth"? To me, nothing - but I took a brick of primers for them happily. Always keep your options open. Search your "trash" for treasure every once in a while, too. :)
Click to expand...

A "feel good" story of the day right there
 
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9mmepiphany said:
I started panicking when I got down to 5K...that's how I ended up with the Genix
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Where are "we all" generally now on guessing when prices will come back to something approaching "normal"? - 4¢/ea. in 2016 money adjusted for today's inflation is about 5¢/ea.
I think I had early Feb 2023 last time the poll was taken. May have to revise that by a year to Feb 2024. Supply issues, skilled labor shortages, nervous urbanites, and the gun stores I frequent are still seeing occasional gaggles of former anti-firearms people running in buying whatever their FB/Twit/social circle says is "a must-have for protection." None of that helps bring prices down or supply up.
I'm thinking Trail Boss, Unique and standard L/S pistol primers (not magnum) may all return at the same time.
 
I was in one of the shops in the area, they had powder and primers.

The numbers on the powder, about par with online retailers
The primers.......no way. 14 bux/100...with a 200 limit

I needed some Accurate 9 and picked up some 7 for experiments, but unless the girl with the sparkly eyeshadow was included, they can keep the primers.......
 
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The prob with primers is they’ve historically been super cheap. I mean last time I bought them before covid they were $14.50/k so even 100k primers was only looking at $1500. That’s a couple years for a competition shooter and a few lifetimes for everyone else.

I think now people are buying what they need at 10x that price. But if the price magically dropped back to $15-20/k everyone would try to buy at least 50k primers. And that means the price isn’t coming down because the demand is two orders of magnitude higher than it used to be.

My prediction is prices gradually drop to $50/k and stay there until new mfg come online.
Rumor has it two companies are building plants.
If they come online during a republican admin, prices may drop back to $15/k if there’s a huge excess of supply, but they’ll settle back into the $30-40/k range long term as commodities and inflation drive costs

but then, I’m just guessing. We’re going to see the same supply/demand curve that 30round magazines and ar15 lowers went through during Obama admin
 
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I'm thinking mid-2024 when Vista gets caught up on their backlog of ammo orders. Even with new companies building plants, it would only make sense for them to sell at whatever the market will bear...at least until they re-coop their capital investment.

I'm thinking the "new normal" for primers will be in the $70-80/k range and that "sale" prices might dip down into the $60/k range
 
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taliv said:
…………

My prediction is prices gradually drop to $50/k and stay there until new mfg come online.
Rumor has it two companies are building plants.
If they come online during a republican admin, prices may drop back to $15/k if there’s a huge excess of supply, but they’ll settle back into the $30-40/k range long term as commodities and inflation drive costs ………
Click to expand...

I basically agree with that prediction.
 
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Walkalong said:
I basically agree with that prediction.
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Yup. Like I said, 4 cents in 2016 money adjusted for inflation is 5 cents - today. In a year at the current rate of growth it will be 6 cents - that’s $60/K not including S/H + HazMat. And that’s just inflation, no other factors.
 
at today's prices, components for my 6.5x47 are $2.50 / bang. that compares to $1.65 a few years ago, assuming no reuse of brass. if you take brass out of the equation, it's $1.25 vs 56 cents

i dramatically slowed my consumption, but i'm starting to ramp up again, hoping prices come down before i need to pay today's prices.
 
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