The ball and patch combo in my ancient rifle above is a go-down-easy load, and shoots well. My .62" Jeager likes a tight combo. Ya never know. The old rifle shoots best with one felt patch dipped in hot pure bee's wax.
The .62 likes two wads, a bee's wax wad over the powder, then a lubed wad on top of that. With just one wad, the fired patch will look just like a patch that was torn or cut at the muzzle. (anyone who thinks their patches are being cut when loaded, be sure to fire a light load with two or three wads, and then examine your patch before monkeying with your muzzle) (I suppose one could ram the ball down, and then pull it...but that's a long process that ain't no fun, no how.
With the thin .010" patch, and .433" ball, it would be too loose. However, a .020-.022" patch might be just right. I've always preferred small ball/thick patch over large ball/thin patch, that has worked better for me for the stouter hunting loads I use. For target use, visa-versa could be better.
On the other hand, for a somewhat tighter fit, a .018" patch may work with the .440". Lots of stuff to try! That's a neat, "classic" early import replica, would be really exciting to get it shooting good. Looks like it will clean up very well, and man think of how nice an oil finish would look on that stock!