The reason some agencies are choosing carbines are various and have little to do with home defense.
Defense would insinuate defending... quite the opposite of an offensive operation (executing a search warrant, for example). If one is hunkered down or slowly and methodically searching in a typical HD situation, it is quite a different scenario than a dynamic entry. Actually, it is EXTREMELY different.
Different weapons for different purposes.
If I'm defending a small space (a room, hallway, etc.), I want a 12 gauge with 00 buckshot (my Colt 1911 on the hip to boot). I can gather my family and while they are evacuating or what have you, I can hold the fort... more or less stationary... until my blue cavalry arrives. The purpose of HD is to defend, to protect your family... not go out searching for the threat; but rather, shielding your loved ones from the threat.
If I'm performing a dynamic entry, then a smaller, easy to handle, lighter carbine is what I'd reach for. Something I can sling quickly to cuff a turd, and at the same time reach out and touch a longer distance threat.
One is better suited for offensive purposes, the other, defensive.
I work for one of the 10 largest LE agencies in the USA... we issue both 12 gauge 870's and carbines.
Of course, this is just opinion. I've participated in countless entries, and the rationale for my statements are based on my training and experiences. To each their own, but I'm certain the top 'gun guys' would agree that the 12 gauge with 00 buck is the way to go for HD.
Actually, the reasons many agencies have adopted semiauto-only .223 carbines for general patrol use (non-SWAT) are very applicable to civilian HD. A .223 carbine can be employed in any setting in which a civilian HD shotgun would be, including sheltering-in-place, and the carbine is just as suitable for the latter as a shotgun loaded with 00.
The shotgun offers perhaps the greatest single-shot lethality of any Title 1 firearm; the carbine offers less recoil, better capacity, and easier reloading, and (with lightweight .223 JHP's) somewhat less penetration in wallboard than 00 buckshot. The other thing is, a lot of people (including me) have a lot of experience shooting carbines and little to no experience/interest in shooting shotguns; if it comes down to shotgun vs. carbine, the best choice is the one you are most competent with.
If you have access to back issues of
Police Marksman, check out the following article (this was 12 years ago): Roberts G.K., "Law Enforcement General Purpose Shoulder Fired Weapons: the Wounding Effects of 5.56mm/.223 Carbines Compared with 12 ga. Shotguns and Pistol Caliber Weapons Using 10% Ordnance Gelatin as a Tissue Simulant,
Police Marksman, Jul/Aug 1998, pp. 38-45.
Having said that, moving up to .308 (even relatively light-for-caliber JHP) loses some of the advantages of .223 with regard to HD; a .308 recoils more, likely penetrates more, and requires a bigger, heavier, and bulkier firearm.
How would buck be more dangerous than a high-powered rifle? The rifle has higher penetration and more energy... a rifle will go through a ballistic vest. Buckshot will not. Please look at the website boxotruth for real world evaluations.
Penetration in Kevlar does not correlate with penetration in wallboard. Shotgun penetration in wallboard depends on shot size, but 00 buckshot does out-penetrate most civilian .223 JHP, though probably less than 5.56x45mm FMJ. I can't speak to .308 penetration, though, as I have seen no tests.
To my knowledge, there are no tests of light .223 JHP on the Box o'Truth website. There is a 3-wall test of various .223, pistol rounds, and buckshot here:
http://how-i-did-it.org/drywall/results.html
I am unfamiliar with any drywall tests of light .308 JHP or VMAX loads, unfortunately.