You made it clear that you're not sure Paul would make a good Prez, but you didn't make it clear why.
His foreign policy, or lack thereof, shows dangerous naivete. (I believe the same thing about the LP, of which I used to be a member, and from which Paul's foreign policy is lifted.)
I disagree with his Iraq policy. "Bring the troops home now" does not show an appreciation for the consequences of doing so.
It should be noted that, while Ayn Rand opposed the war in Vietnam on similar grounds to Ron Paul's opposition to Iraq, she also opposed withdrawal because of the consequences of doing so. I'm not an Ayn worshipper, but it strikes me that in 2007, libertarianism, as exemplified in Paul's platform, has wandered quite far from its roots.
I disagree with his analysis of terrorism, which is that we pissed them off, so of course they're attacking us, therefore we should avoid pissing them off in the future. Not only is this history lesson a half-truth lifted straight from one of the world's best liars, Noam Chomsky, it does not serve us as we go forward. The Cold War is over. While it was going on, we made decisions as best we could. Some caused blowback; this doesn't mean that the opposite action wouldn't have been worse both strategically and morally (e.g. our stance towards Cuba or helping the Mujahadeen -- note that many in Afghanistan were allied with the US right away in 2002; we helped THEM in the 1980s, too.) One way or another, harping on Cold War decisions decades after the fact is not "instructive" as Chomsky would say. Paul's foreign policy as stated on his campaign website does not show informed leadership; it shows trendy academic groupthink.
Acting so as to avoid "blowback" at all costs is not an effective foreign policy. Either Paul is very bad at framing his "issues", or his primary goal is to try to avoid "blowback." It failed miserably for Carter -- "they" still hated us, and "they" no longer respected our military power. There is no reason to believe that a similar policy would work for anyone else, not John Kerry, and not Ron Paul, either.
Furthermore, while I like the sentiments of his platform regarding withdrawal from every international organization, trade group, agreement, etc., this is not how you play the game. John Bolton knows how to play the game: go to the UN, and look after American interests 100%. Paul claims he wants "diplomacy", but it appears that he means that in the way that the academic left means it. I don't want kumbaya-with-dictators "diplomacy." I want look-after-US-interests diplomacy. I fail to see how total disengagement would accomplish this, or would accomplish free trade.
"Blowback" will happen, though, if we pursue just about ANY policy, trade or military. Ditto for Islamic terror. See Europe for examples. We can't change history, either. There's little point in talking about it, except to make sure we don't repeat obvious mistakes. Wishing we could go back and do something different 25 or 50 years ago just isn't a viable approach. And if you have any life experience, you know that, no matter what you do, SOMEONE won't like it.
Paul talks about France wanting to tax all US goods in the EU because of some of our trade agreements. Yup, that's bad. Now think about what would happen if there were NO trade agreements. The tax would be in place, and it would be a good deal larger than what France now wants.
I adamantly oppose ceding control over US laws to the WTO, UN, et al. However, I think that playing the game to win will get us a lot farther than just not playing and pretending that free trade will just happen without any agreements. It didn't happen before; what's different? Like I said, I've seen what good diplomacy looks like at the UN, and its name is John Bolton.
How's that for a start?
Paul's domestic policy is pretty much right on the money. However, a US President, unlike someone similar in many other countries, is Commander-in-Chief and Head of State. Perhaps this is a great weakness of our Constitution, but it's a fact, nonetheless. I wish we COULD vote for someone like Paul to preside over internal matters, sign/veto bills, push legislation, etc., and someone else for Head of State, but we can't.
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