When will ammo prices come down?

[UniversalFrost]

prices will be higher than they were before, but eventually the panic buying will die down and shelves will be stocked...

just like in 2008 and 2010.... each time the craziness died down, but prices were elevated greater than precraziness and they became the new normal price... :banghead:

one thing is to save your cash now, because the folks that panic bought and used their credit cards will reach a point where they have to pay the cards and cant unless they sell... then those of us with cash saved will be in a great position to buy guns, ammo and reloading gear for great prices!

 

[F-111 John]

Well, since ammo prices went skyrocketing and availability went to zero the same month I decided to buy a 9mm handgun becuase "it was cheaper to shoot" than my .38s/.357s, I predict that ammo prices will plumet and availability will return to normal the same month I decide to buy a Dillon press and start reloading.

 

[itsa pain]

I do not see the demand going down that much it will go down a little because you got guys saying I will stockpile this time and not be caught with none again then you got guys with tons of ammo who are never satisfied and they will keep buying

 

[Queen_of_Thunder]

I doubt the price will ever come down to what it was before the shortage.
There will be a new "normal" price.

I just hope most people that have been constantly crying because they can't find ammo get smart and stock pile a couple years worth of ammo before the next shortage.
It's just not that big a deal to buy a extra box or two once a month, or so, and stick it in the back of the closet.


Although we all know that won't happen.

Thats fine if you shoot a box or two a month but if you shoot as much as I do that simply is too expensive.

 

[Trung Si]

Never, Once the Dog sucks Egg, he will continue to do so for the rest of his Life!:banghead:

 

[22-rimfire]

Does it matter?

Yes, it matters, but in the sense of the poll, it doesn't really matter as it will be a while before inventory increases and stabilize. Nobody knows when this will happen. As more ammo comes in, it will continue to sell very quickly until people start seeing that there is ammo when they stop at Walmart or where ever the next time. People will again begin to buy what they need, not all they can find or how much money they have in their pocket because they fear there won't be any the next time they visit the store. It will take time, but who knows if it is months or many months?

 

[oneounceload]

With the advent of China and India's rising middle class, and their desire for cars, lead will be in high demand for years, as will rubber, steel and all of the other raw materials. Add a boom in those markets for electronics and other commodities that use a lot of the same components, and prices will stay at this new normal for a while. Add to that the mentality of a lot of folks of "buying whatever they have and all of it", the demand here will not subside until a lot of folks have maxed out their credit cards

 

[481]

Since the 'panic' seems to be directly proportional to the 'shenanigans' in DC, I am not holding my breath.

Barring the passage of some of the proposed legislation, I think it'll take a couple of years for things to calm down.

 

[Takem406]

They went up?

In God and Glock we Trust

 

[dirtykid]

Im already starting to see people list and re-list the same .22LR ammo on various,
online auction/sale sites for things like CCI mini-mag 36grHP for $22 a box of 100

And no-one is buying it either, !!
I'll bet within 30-days things will get caught up and return to normal,
I can already easily find 9MM and .45 ammo at normal prices,in any quantity I want at
our local Fleet-Farm, but I limit myself to a box or two per visit !!

 

[huntsman]

ammo prices have been rising at least since 2000, it may plateau from time to time and you'll get dips and sales but prices were rising again when the insanity hit it.

I've yet to find UMC .380acp for the $9.99 a box (what I paid in 2003) and I can't afford to over pay but I won't be without either.

Believing everything will settle out and prices will be reasonable is not an accurate assumption IMHO so I plan accordingly.

 

[bassdogs]

Valid ? but have no idea so I didn't vote. I know that gas always goes up the week or so before I head out on an RV road trip. Recent Feb trip to Fla is a case in point. As for ammo, my area [w/i 50 miles] Walmarts are still full of empty shelves. Some hunting calibers but no handgun or 22lr to be found. Agree with others though that one day we will wake up and it will be there. Price may be a little higher, but basically what we want will be available in what ever quantities. Just don't buy the conspiracy theory, its just a recurring case of panic buying.

 

[Captains1911]

People seem to forget that this happened about 4 years ago, and prices DID come back down. The more people fuel the panic though (like they are in this thread), the longer it will take.

 

[BulletArc47]

I would say most ammo prices will come down in year's time barring any unforeseen events or the AWB passing.

 

[jrdolall]

.223 will continue to be a problem because of the millions of new guns sold since Sandy Hook. Many of the "new" gun owners were unable to buy much, if any, ammo for their new gun so they will keep the market high and availability low on .223 for a while longer. I see this caliber as being the hardest to recover of the "common" calibers.
.22 should come around fairly quickly but may take a few months more as people, like myself, will hoard a bit extra in case something else happens. I imagine it is the most common round out there and is cheap enough for most anyone to load up on a few extra boxes. We shot 2600 rounds this weekend at the farm because we had beautiful weather and loads of participants. 6 people who had never fired a gun were in attendance.
Most common pistol calibers will be back in fair supply relatively quickly (3 months) because, let's face it, MOST people don't run through 250 rounds of 9mm in a month. I do and I know a lot of people on THR do but we are not the majority of gun owners.

Prices will moderate as soon as retailers see inventory sitting on the shelves. Most of the high prices are driven by retailers and middle men rather than by manufacturers. I say this because I see Walmart and other big box guys with ammo at close to pre-panic prices which tells me that prices at the manufacturer level have not risen greatly. As always the market will dictate the price of this product. Prices always go up because fof component costs, etc but they should moderate fairly quickly.

All bets are off if any meaningful legislation passes regarding AWBs and mag capacity or if there is another mass shooting.

 

[F-111 John]

I've yet to find UMC .380acp for the $9.99 a box (what I paid in 2003)

I think it might be a bit too much to hope for no price increase in ten years. $12-15 per box would be a 20 to 50% increase in a decade.

 

[huntsman]

^ I agree but my response to people saying prices will come down, is what is a fair price? I paid $20.99 for UMC .380acp in 2009 and in 2011 I paid $17.99 I passed on it at $18.99 last year sooo what is a good price? crazy buying has affected availability but $20.00 a box for cheap .380acp is not going to give me the warm and fuzzes even if supply comes back.

 

[Killian]

MOST people don't run through 250 rounds of 9mm in a month. I do and I know a lot of people on THR do but we are not the majority of gun owners.

Most people don't have to shoot 5 boxes in a month to keep 9mm ammo unavailable. All that has to happen is for 9mm to be one of the most commonly owned calibers in the United States, which it is. If every person who owns a 9mm decides to buy half what you are suggesting, 3 boxes, it would still mean 30 million boxes of 9mm would have to be produced to meet demand. 1.5 billion rounds.

I know a lot of people won't be satisfied after all this mess with just buying 3 boxes. Buying 20 boxes or more is where a lot of people are going, I would guess.

 

[Bubbles]

Even when the demand dies, which I don't expect to happen for at least 12 months, prices will be higher than "normal" due to devaluing the dollar / quantitative easing.

 

[ApacheCoTodd]

Already moderating at the Glendale, Arizona show this past weekend. Additionally, a very highly placed wholesaler talked me outa buying recently saying the .05% margins are just around the corner again if folk would just calm down more quickly.

Currently, the manufacturers and wholesalers can't get their feet under them.

As an example - there was .22LR for over a buck a round and 15 bucks a box and both ends f the spectrum were selling at the show.

What's wrong with ammo availability and pricing? Talk to your buddies who're over paying and hoarding outa fear.

 

[1 old 0311-1]

The day AFTER you buy 1000 rounds.

 

[jrdolall]

I just bought 2 cans of 5.45 from AIM Surplus for $.19 per round delivered. I have decided this is my go to round until .223 moderates.

 

[Ignition Override]

Ammo will come down a fair bit when the scalpers finally get nervous, and the public's anxiety 'EGT' (exhaust gas temp) goes below 590* C.

 

[Captains1911]

What I don't understand are the idiots who are paying $1/rd for 22 LR.

 

[justice06rr]

6-12months.

but they won't be as cheap as they used to be. I'm not worried so much of the slightly higher prices, as long as common calibers can be in stock again and available to buy locally.