If someone pays $89/k for spp why will the price ever come down? Keep buying at high prices and the prices will stay high.
RSBS, Lee, Redding, Dillon are all producing components, dies, presses and related equipment 24/7 ... with so many of their products coming from overseas.
And C-H also made in the USA - https://www.ch4d.com/homeLee is 100% made in USA.
Based on previous component shortages, primer prices did drop back to almost pre-shortage prices BRIEFLY before steadily climbing back up over time of several months to years. After the "Great Component Shortage" of 2012, I think we were surprised to see S&B primers drop to $20/1000 and Winchester primers to $27/1000 by 2019. When some members asked "Will the primer prices fall further?", I think most responses were "No" and urged others to stock up as much as possible before prices went back up.I don't think primers will ever come down to what they were just because inflation.
What will it be this time next year? I think whenever supply catches up they will be above $50 and maybe $60.
Don’t ignore the effects of inflation and a falling dollar.And C-H also made in the USA - https://www.ch4d.com/home
Based on previous component shortages, primer prices did drop back to almost pre-shortage prices BRIEFLY before steadily climbing back up over time of several months to years. After the "Great Component Shortage" of 2012, I think we were surprised to see S&B primers drop to $20/1000 and Winchester primers to $27/1000 by 2019. When some members asked "Will the primer prices fall further?", I think most responses were "No" and urged others to stock up as much as possible before prices went back up.
This protracted shortage, with unprecedented likely tens of millions of new gun owners buying guns, will likely extend the "recovery" period longer than previous component shortages as we have already seen. (I think many of us expected the recovery to have taken place already) But at least, looks like primers are coming back in stock and staying "in stock" longer each time which indicates we may have turned around the supply-demand peak and started the recovery phase where primers will return back "in stock" before prices start falling.
How low will the price return? I am not sure but my guess based on previous shortages could be around $39/1000 with occasional sales below that if supply glut forces some retailers/vendors to liquidate at lower profit margin. Will we ever see $20/1000 again? I don't think so. And if I see $29/1000, you bet I will be stocking up like I did in 2019 when primers were $20/1000.
Yup, that's why I hinted $39/1000 and not $20/1000 for my best guesstimate bottom after recovery of current shortage.Don’t ignore the effects of inflation and a falling dollar.
How low will the price return? I am not sure but my guess based on previous shortages could be around $39/1000 with occasional sales below that if supply glut forces some retailers/vendors to liquidate at lower profit margin. Will we ever see $20/1000 again? I don't think so. And if I see $29/1000, you bet I will be stocking up like I did in 2019 when primers were $20/1000.
The costs you’re avoiding by cutting and splitting your own firewood vs. buying and using a peloton will easily offset any primer expenses. So, enjoy.I picked up 1K CCI SRP at Bass Pro a couple days ago for $79, $85 after tax. I started reloading last December so I never bought at the $40 range except for 3K SPP a friend sold me to get started. Sure, I'd like to find them cheaper but at 8 1/2 cents/ea. I can still save a lot vs factory ammo and I enjoy reloading. I'm 71, retired and saved enough we can still enjoy life without sweating the bills, so we're lucky. Funny though, I'm still cutting, splitting and burning wood to heat our house because I'm too cheap to turn on the thermostat.
Since you have SP primers, have you considered using 45ACP cases with small primer pockets?I built up a large supply of small pistol and rifle primers, including magnums, but neglected to add to my large pistol supply
I'm hoping that when the time comes I can arrange a swap of something small for lpp.
LL, I haven't given that any thought as yet. I have LPP for 45ACP and 458 SOCOM. Those are my only LPP needs. I'll have to consider that approach at some point. I only shoot about 300 - 400 rounds of 45ACP a year. For now, I've only loaded samples of 458 SOCOM, as I've yet to fire that AR while waiting for factory ammo to appear. Thus, I have some time to wait things out. Time will tell. Having said that I recently acquired a stash of 185gr JHP that I'm anxious to test out...so maybe I'll be looking for SP 45ACP cases sooner than expected.Since you have SP primers, have you considered using 45ACP cases with small primer pockets? This way you can continue to use SP primers while conserving LP primers.
Walkalong..... From a new reloadier waiting to reload my first round I appreciate the positive attitude. 2022 is a new year and new possibilities LOL!!Be patient, it could be sooner than you think, get past Christmas, then the start of a new year, folks are broke, economy gets worse...........interest rates go up.......folks said the same thing last time, be patient, ease up on the doom and gloom, the glass is half full.
Well, like my physics professor used to say, the glass is always full - it's only the proportion of air to liquid that changes.Be patient, it could be sooner than you think, get past Christmas, then the start of a new year, folks are broke, economy gets worse...........interest rates go up.......folks said the same thing last time, be patient, ease up on the doom and gloom, the glass is half full.
Some ways yes, some ways no, hasn't lasted as long yet, we can still buy .22 LR, but retailers are taking better advantage of our plight this time.This has been worse.
This is what I've noticed.retailers are taking better advantage of our plight this time.
I know a couple myself, but they've been out of it for a few years...so current events haven't bothered them. I've tried to convince them that their gear will likely never be worth as much as it is right now (well, 6-8 months ago when we had the conversation). Both offered to front me anything I needed but are keeping hold for the time being.know four former reloaders, personally.