I did some "statistical analysis" on the 158g Hornady pn 10408 bullets, to see how consistent they are in weight, length, and diameter, and whether the NEWER batch of bullets I bought is the same or at leats close to the OLDER batch in these metrics.
I used proper tools. Here is the Mitutoyo caliper, which is one the best out there.
It display to 4 decimal digits, but NO digital caliper made is actually accurate to 4 digits. The good ones are accurate to 3 digits. Usually, the 4th digit does not even display all numbers (0 to 9), but rather simply a "0" or a "5".
Here is the Mitutoyo micrometer:
You have to use a mircometer for bullet (and case) diameter measurement, in order to get any accuracy. Micrometers are inherently more accurate than claipers, AND the WIDE jaw faces of the micrometer ensure that you are capturing the actual precise diameter.
Note that I have the micrometer mounted in a Mitutoyo "clamping base". Micrometer measurements are SO precise that the body temperature in your hands affects the reading of any truly accurate micrometer. The clamping base ensures that you touch only the rotating ratchet knob that applies the identically calibrated force to the tighenting of the jaws for each measurement.
Here are the results of weighing and measuring 15 bullets from the older batch and 15 bullets from the newer batch:
CAS 357 Mag bullets 158g SWC Hornady 10408 - Weight & Dimensions statistics
Weight Length Diameter
grains inches inches
OLD Batch
158.2 0.6905 0.35655
157.9 0.6840 0.35730
158.0 0.6825 0.35815
158.0 0.6865 0.35780
158.0 0.6885 0.35695
158.3 0.6895 0.35760
158.0 0.6875 0.35760
157.9 0.6845 0.35785
158.1 0.6825 0.35805
157.7 0.6870 0.35700
157.9 0.6835 0.35720
158.2 0.6830 0.35795
158.1 0.6880 0.35780
158.1 0.6870 0.35770
157.7 0.6805 0.35840
NEW Batch
157.4 0.6875 0.35720
157.2 0.6845 0.35750
157.4 0.6850 0.35850
157.4 0.6850 0.35810
157.6 0.6865 0.35715
157.4 0.6875 0.35805
157.3 0.6845 0.35785
157.4 0.6860 0.35800
157.6 0.6835 0.35890
157.5 0.6840 0.35770
157.4 0.6870 0.35750
157.3 0.6820 0.35815
157.4 0.6810 0.35810
157.5 0.6830 0.35825
157.4 0.6855 0.35780
TOTAL:
Average 157.7 0.6853 0.35776
Std Dev 0.3 0.0025 0.00051
Max 158.3 0.6905 0.35890
Min 157.2 0.6805 0.35655
Extreme 1.1 0.0100 0.00235
OlderBatch:
Average 158.0 0.6857 0.35759
Std Dev 0.2 0.0029 0.00050
Max 158.3 0.6905 0.35840
Min 157.7 0.6805 0.35655
Extreme 0.6 0.0100 0.00185
Newer Batch:
Average 157.4 0.6848 0.35792
Std Dev 0.1 0.0019 0.00047
Max 157.6 0.6875 0.35890
Min 157.2 0.6810 0.35715
Extreme 0.4 0.0065 0.00175
Note that:
For the entire population of bullets tested (old plus new batch):
Average weight was 157.7g
Standard deviaiton was jst 0.3g
The extreme spread between maximum and minimum weights was just 1.1g or about 7/10 of 1%. Plenty consistent for CAS.
The average length was 0.6857" with a standard deviation of just .0029" and an extreme spread of 0.0100". That extreme spread is notable, because it WILL affect peak pressure a bit, and thus also bullet velocity, if I am loading via COAL versus Base-to-gage, which depends on where the bullet seating die insert can grab the bullet when the bullet is a SWC shape. With the low pressure CAS loading a small increase in peak pressure is probably not critical. But the variation in bullet velocity will affect accuracy a bit, although not a lot since so much of the case volume is empty below the bullet.
I do not know much about modern unjacketed lead bullet consistency, since I last used unjacketed bullets a couple of decades ago. But the variation in diameter seems relatively large to me. The average diameter is 0.35776 so pretty much at .358" which is supposedly ideal for .357 Magnum. But a standard deviation of .00051" seems large for a bullet diameter variance, and the extreme spread of .00235", to me, sounds like too much. Am I wrong?
In comparing the older batch to the newer batch, it looks like the newer batch has less variaiton on the key metrics, BUT the weight on the newer batch is further from the nominal target of 158g, coming in at an average of 157.4g versus the older batch's dead-on 158.0g average. I guess the lower variation on the newer batch is an overall plus, but the 0.6g "miss' on the AVERAGE weight in the new batch seems like, well, a "miss".
The slight variances between the old and new batches means that I should NOT mix the 2 batches, but rather fire them in 2 distinct batches for optimized overall consistency within any individual box of ammo loaded.
Anyway, that's what I found when examining the bullets.
Next, I need to see how consistently the Dillon 750 can throw the powder charges when the powder is TiteGroup. Note from the Quickload analysis kindly done by P Flados, that each 0.1 grain change in powder seems to cause about a 15 fps variation in muzzle velocity, so any inconsistency in the powder charge WILL have SOME effect on bullet velocity and trajectory, and also on accuracy nodes.
Jim G