tactical clearing in the country

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Posted by gunnie: if they are scamming deer at night, with night vision eqpt., why would they expect to do so better right up next to a house and buildings?
They may be "just passin' through" when you stumble upon them if they happen to be poaching at the time, but while poachers in my neck of the woods are usually very dangerous people indeed, I would be much more concerned about having them come around while on another mission.

...what are the chances that any of the above [meth people, people moving marijuana or other drugs, or felons running from the scene of a crime at night] will have PNV weapon sights with more range capabilities that a 308 FAL, and no cartel affiliations?
The marijuana growers and meth producers are the ones to worry about in this regard, and based upon the confiscated collections we see on TV and upon what LEO and parole officer friends and and acquaintances tell me, I would not want to take the risk.

...if they are family members of the "bogota bunch", the chances of them showing up at night, at a non-dealer residence, without overwhelming personnel numbers seems slight.
They would be among the least of my worries, compared to meth producers out acquiring the propane and/or anhydrous ammonia that is essential to their livelihood.

...if there are even two bodies out there, i'll take my chances inside the house, thanks.
Excellent decision. 'course, the first indication that there is a second perp at large may be the impact of a bullet.

...if one stays out in the sticks on a good sized chunk of land, it would be a poor choice to not get good dogs.
Or on just two acres....

...a posting a while back mentioned how one would be rolling the dice "lighting up" a LEO at night. dunno what the protocol may be in all areas, but here in rural TX, the PD knows THEY could be taking chances arriving unannounced after dark at a home out in the boonies.
Of course, but if thy are in hot pursuit of violent criminal actors who just murdered you neigbors, they are already taking real chances just to perform their sworn duty.
...their response if same takes place had better be something wiser than firing at the home owner, ...
You might want to ask some of them what their training and policy calls for if they see someone pointing a gun at them. Hint: it doesn't include asking "are you the homeowner?".

besides, i'd think if one of our police arrived on a credible threat of a fleeing perp, THEY would be making sure the household was forewarned and safe
If they are investigating a credible threat, yes, if they can. That would not be your problem. If they are trying to catch someone...they do not have the luxury of knocking on your door to discuss the subject.

different wordings abound, but the basic wording of all training i have come into contact with....

safety rule #1- do not point the weapon at ANYTHING you aren't ready/willing to shoot.
Right--and that's precisely why you can expect the target and whoever is on his team to be very prepared and determined to shoot you first.

There's another rule in self defense: let the threat come to you.

i DO doubt same would favor the perp....
The odds always favor the hunted over the hunter. As someone said on one of the numerous earlier threads on this subject, the winner is the one into whose ambush the other guy walks.
 
..."What the heck is a PNV?"...

PASSIVE night vision= does not require artificial IR illumination as used by the original army "infrared" night sights from the 1950's. electronically amplifies available light, without sending out a position revealing beacon to others using night vision devices.

see:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image_intensifier

gunnie
 
..."They nay be "just passin' through" when you stumble upon them when they are poaching...

my house is in a clearing, about 125 yds to nearest cover, and much further to more trees/concealment besides two other buildings 25 yards behind the house. these two buildings have only one wall each concealed from my house. with their night vision device working, i doubt they would break cover and head up next to a house in that line of work. i know i wouldn't, the chances deer are hiding there from expressly from their night vision enabled view in my yard seems at best, highly unlikely.

..."The marijuana growers and meth producers...out acquiring the propane or anhydrous ammonia that is essential to their livelihood."...

with no weed fields, or ammonia sources at my house, what would be the cause for their coming through at night? assuming they are capable of cooking/selling product, why risk stealing propane? it is less expensive per gallon than the gasoline/diesel required to get here. there are no records kept on sale of same for DEA monitoring/use, as with other vital ingredients for mfgr of product.

..."Of course, but if thy are in hot pursuit of violent criminal actors who just murdered you neigbors, they are already taking real chances just to perform their sworn duty."...

if they just murdered either of those next door, they:
1-walked from there VERY quietly, or i will know about them before police arrive
2-used silencers, after the police were called by deceased, and the LEO's mistakenly drove up to my address, instead of the caller's
3-killed/silenced 2-6 dogs with out alerting their dogs, depending on the household
4-got to my house through at least 125 yards from nearest concealment, or 175 yards and up to 315 yards with no concealment from the houses

all without arousing my dog(s)....

..."You might want to ask some of them what their training and policy calls for if they see someone pointing a gun at them. Hint: it doesn't include asking "are you the homeowner?"."...

i guess i'd need to ask if the local department shoots people coming out of the house on the land they just drove up on, unannounced, and late at night, without offering even the word "police" first, or having a siren or flashing lights going. i actually think i would surely offend them with such a question, though.

i might also wonder if they trained with the olympic track team. NO officer, regardless of physical conditioning will be foot racing a perp on foot to my house. only access road is 210 yards in front of house. zero cover/concealment between. if either LEO or perp came running/driving, there is the dog. who either went completely deaf since i went to bed, or will sound the alarm.

..."If they are investigating a credible threat, yes, if they can. That would not be your problem. If they are trying to catch someone...they do not have the luxury of knocking on your door to discuss the subject."...

referencing my above statements:

1-they will pull up into the yard in a patrol car and red/blue beacon, minimum
2-they will have the search light scanning
3-they will either see target in opening, or know he/they are behind shop or single other building
4-somehow the perp(s) will have killed my dog silently, or LEO will see me without weapon, pointing to building dog is indicating, they will also see the dog.

just in case, did the perp also run with a dog that closely resembled mine?
he may be perceived as just trying to throw the officer off the trail?

..."Excellent decision. 'course, the first indication that there is a second perp at large may be the impact of a bullet...There's another rule in self defense: let the threat come to you."....

bud, your life/environment evokes great sympathy from me. OR you have paid little attention to the explanations i have offered in postings before this. OR, after this posting--assuming i have read your thoughts correctly, you would still be suggesting that when the dog barks and something seems amiss at night:

1-DO NOT look out widow, i will be shot by fast fry cookers, very lost and disoriented weed growers, fleeing felons or poachers, all armed with PNV weapon sights, who arrived more silently than my dog could hear (with stealth that exceeds that of raccoons), and are waiting and scanning all of the house windows, or have done enough previous research on this "hit" to know which window i will look out, just to shoot me when i do so.

2-call police, in this case, sherriff's dept at county seat, no less distant city police at night. explain to them that my dog is barking, and it seems based on my experience this is a "for real" bark. explain why i would look out the window to elaborate, but in doing so, i'd risk getting shot by the aforementioned wandering bands of highly unlikely groups of skilled marksman perps, equipped with night vision weapon sights, who are just waiting for me too foolishly show my head.

3-wait (cowering?) half, or up to one hour if no patrols are in this side of the county, in what had better be a well armored , breathing air supplied fireproof area with a locked and impenetrable door, as obviously, they wouldn't be out there engaging in these kinds of highly involved activities unless it was expressly to off ME.

the previous paragraph presumes the sherrif's dispatcher didn't think they need to make sure the nut-job who just called isn't the one who is actually waiting in ambush for the black and white unit to arrive. regardless of how i state the above information, likely the dispatcher will hear, "i'm not paranoid, that's a vicious rumor started by all those guys who are out to get me!"

4-IF they believe my first call, and arrive to offer assistance. IF i can prove to them the dog's "for real" bark was valid, but was only a pig/coyote/car up on the road, as another poster mentioned in a previous question, how many times will they feel a need to come back under the same circumstances IF the dog barks like he means it again?

gunnie
 
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..."Thanks Gunnie.... that looks interesting. They would be handy coyote hunting. "...

not in my case. i have NO sympathy for the locals who promote shooting coycotes, complaining about the current coyote infestation killing deer, while whining about the pasture damage from the piggies. unless the state passes a bounty law on the "hawgs" they are the only chance of eradication of the invading waves of pigs. likely not an issue in maine?

gunnie
 
gunnie, you have all kinds of reasons for handling things the way you want, and to you they are good reasons. But the bottom line is that if there are one or more bad guys out there and they are willing to engage you, if you go looking for them, they will have the advantage.
 
..."gunnie, you have all kinds of reasons for handling things the way you want, and to you they are good reasons. But the bottom line is that if there are one or more bad guys out there and they are willing to engage you, if you go looking for them, they will have the advantage."...

true, if they have gotten here undetected, with their own night vision weapon sights, and are more proficient at using same than itself. i would be very foolish to assume that no one could accomplish that, rambo only wins in the movies.

but unless they have specifically come to kill me, what are the odds of them arriving thusly prepared? and if they specifically want to kill me, i feel i safe saying they would likely choose a method of doing so that created less risk on their part. i sure would, with the target being completely unaware that i was plotting his demise, and all the time in the world i needed to do so on hand.

color me crazy, but i feel safe assuming that statistically, i will probably get killed by lightning before killed by perps i startled on a different mission, that created a need for them to be out in my yard at night, AND who fill all the unlikely parameters mentioned in them being able to do so.

gunnie
 
Posted by gunnie: ...with no weed fields, or ammonia sources at my house, what would be the cause for their coming through at night?
If they know you do not have anhydrous ammonia, that reduces the risk. If you know that there are now grow houses hidden on nearby property, better yet. Of course, they just might be looking for a portable generator, your truck, or (you name it)...

assuming they are capable of cooking/selling product, why risk stealing propane?
Good question. Why do they steal it? Could it be because that's what they use, and the authorities keep an eye on people who buy very much in certain areas?

If they just murdered either of those next door, they:
1-walked from there VERY quietly,
Basis for that assumption? They could have left by car or truck and gotten stuck... And of course, there's the house on the other side, and the next one over, and the next one.

or i will know about them before police arrive
Well, yeah. You are already reacting to signs of possible trouble, right ...

2-used silencers,
Why?

after the police were called by deceased,
More likely by someone who has returned home, wouldn't you think?

and the LEO's mistakenly drove up to my address, instead of the caller's
3-killed/silenced 2-6 dogs with out alerting their dogs, depending on the household
No, the officers are in hot pursuit. Part of their job, as it were...

4-got to my house through at least 125 yards from nearest concealment, or 175 yards and up to 315 yards with no concealment from the houses
To your house, in back of your garage, through your property, whatever...

all without arousing my dog(s)....
I would expect the dogs to have been aroused, and probably to have located one of the perps...

I guess i'd need to ask if the local department shoots people coming out of the house on the land they just drove up on,
Coming out of your house? No. But why would you ever assume that they would have any way at all of divining where you came from when you come upon them with a weapon light pointed at them when they are looking for someone who is armed and dangerous?

unannounced, and late at night, without offering even the word "police" first,
They may say "drop the gun, police", but they may not; they are not obligated to do so. They will not regard the risk of someone with a weapon pointed at them lightly.

...or having a siren or flashing lights going.
Yes, you do need to ask. They'll use the lights and siren during a highway chase or while rushing to the scene of an accident--but not in an action involving a hot crime scene or a reported burglary or while chasing people through a neighborhood or across a farm.

color me crazy, but i feel safe assuming that statistically, i will probably get killed by lightning before killed by perps i startled on a different mission, that created a need for them to be out in my yard at night, AND who fill all the unlikely parameters mentioned in them being able to do so.
Not crazy, but you have not had the benefit of very much professional training.

The risk of a couple of armed bad men coming around to a place in the country at night is probably relatively low, but in some counties it's still high enough to make caution very advisable. The residences are few and far between, their house lights serve as beacons, and the criminal element is more mobile, more vicious, and more heavily armed than ever before.Heck, its getting dangerous to go into some national forests in broad daylight.

As previously mentioned, farmers these days mitigate that risk by installing very bright lights, closed circuit TVs, and other alarm systems.

I think the perps usually try to go where no one is home, but (1) they sometimes misjudge, (2) they may be in great immediate need of a different vehicle with fuel in the tank, or (3) they may be meth addicts, in which case they do not know fear.

In risk management, one must assess both the likelihood of an occurrence and the severity of the potential consequences. When I was young, the likelihood of a rural resident being endangered by "bad guys" was far less than remote. One can make his own assessment today, but with drugs, meth, and quick shop robberies from which to escape, I think it is too high to ignore. As for the severity of the consequences--well, those aren't nice guys we're discussing.

So, if it does happen--if a couple of armed perps should happen to come upon your property at night with evil intent--it becomes a matter of conditional probability. They're already there, so the remaining question is, what is the likelihood of your prevailing in a confrontation outside? Every assessment from qualified, trained persons, instructors, and people who have taken part in simulations of offensive and defensive engagements is the same: If the bad guys are out there, the lone defender going out after desperate, armed violent criminal actors doesn't have a chance in the world unless the perps choose to and can escape. The dogs will make escape much more difficult and increase the level of danger for the residents.

The risk of being mistaken as a threat by arriving first responders is a lot lower, but it is not to be disregarded.

unless they have specifically come to kill me, what are the odds of them arriving thusly prepared?
Most of them will guarantee you one thing--they are not going to be captured.
 
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Kleanbore
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Join Date: August 13, 2008
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Quote:
Posted by gunnie: ...with no weed fields, or ammonia sources at my house, what would be the cause for their coming through at night?
If they know you do not have anhydrous ammonia, that reduces the risk. If you know that there are now grow houses hidden on nearby property, better yet. Of course, they just might be looking for a portable generator, your truck, or (you name it)...

AND COME EQUIPPED TO COMPLETE THE TASK, JUST IN CASE? THE GROW HOUSE PEOPLE WILL RUN TO MY HOUSE, WITH A BUST GOING DOWN AT THEIR (HAS TO BE) CLOSE RESIDENCE, NOT AWAKE MY DOG RUNNING THROUGH THE FIELD, AND CAP ME WITH THE TEN PLUS POUND RIFLE AND PNV WEAPON SIGHT THEY FELT WOULD ALLOW THEM TO THEM RUN FASTER?

Quote:
assuming they are capable of cooking/selling product, why risk stealing propane?
Good question. Why do they steal it? Could it be because that's what they use, and the authorities keep an eye on people who buy very much in certain areas?

WHERE DID YOU GET INFORMATION SHOWING THE AUTHORITIES DO THAT? MOST HOUSES OUT HERE HAVE 500 GALLON TANKS. DO THEY GO IN AND CHECK THE RECORDS OF THE HALF DOZEN PROPANE DELIVERY SERVICES IN THIS AREA, AND THERMALLY SCAN ALL THE RESIDENCES THAT CONSUME DISPROPORTIONATE AMOUNTS FOR HEAT LOSS AROUND DOORS/WINDOWS, OR THROUGH POORLY INSULATED OLD HOUSES, OR JUST SHOW UP WITH A WARRANT THEIR UNCLE THE JUDGE ISSUED?

Quote:
If they just murdered either of those next door, they:
1-walked from there VERY quietly,
Basis for that assumption? They could have left by car or truck and gotten stuck... And of course, there's the house on the other side, and the next one over, and the next one.

THIS NEW ADVENT ON TOP OF ALL THE OTHER STIPULATIONS ADDS TO THE PROBABILITY OF THIS SCENARIO HAPPENING HOW? DOES IT ELIMINATE THE CHANCES OF THEM BEING DETECTED BY MY DOG(S) MENTIONED IN MANY PREVIOUS POSTINGS? IF YOU HAD BOTHERED TO READ MY POSTING YOU WOULD HAVE SEEN WHERE I WROTE THE NEAREST CONCEALMENT BESIDES THE BUILDINGS WAS 125 YARDS. AND THAT THE HOUSES WERE FURTHER. HOW DOES ADDING EVEN MORE HOUSES INTO THE EQUATION CHANGE THAT STATEMENT? THERE ARE NO HOUSES ACROSS THE ROAD FOR 1,025 YARDS.

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or i will know about them before police arrive
Well, yeah. You are already reacting to signs of possible trouble, right ...

HOW ELSE DO YOU FEEL THEY MAY ARRIVE BESIDES ON FOOT OR IN AN AUTOMOBILE? I HAVE POSTED ALREADY THE DOG WOULD HEAR EITHER. HOW WILL THEY GET HERE WITHOUT ME COMPLETELY FABRICATING THE PREVIOUS POSTING ABOUT THE DOG HEARING RACCOONS 100 YARDS OUT AT NIGHT. DO YOU FEEL THAT STATEMENT IS NOT WITHIN THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY? PLEASE REPLY, BUT REMEMBER MANY KNOW HOW WELL A DOG HEARS WITHOUT HAVING TO DIG UP THE INFO ON THE WEB.

Quote:
2-used silencers,
Why?

LET ME DO THE LEG WORK FOR YOU, BELOW FROM:

http://www.dqpestcontrol.com/detectiondog.html

"DOGS CAN SMELL UP TO 10,000 TIMES BETTER THAN HUMANS. THEY CAN DETECT FROM A SINGLE DROP OF URINE, ANOTHER ANIMALS SEX, DIET, HEALTH, EMOTIONAL STATE, AND EVEN WHETHER IT IS DOMINANT OR SUBMISSIVE, FRIEND OR FOE...DOGS CAN SENSE ODORS AT CONCENTRATIONS NEARLY ONE HUNDRED MILLION TIMES LOWER THAN HUMANS CAN...DOGS CAN SEE FAR BETTER THAN HUMANS CAN. THEY HAVE HEIGHTENED PERIPHERAL VISION AND EXCELLENT NIGHT VISION. DOGS CAN SENSE MOVEMENT BETTER THAN HUMANS CAN...DOGS HEARING IS MORE ACUTE THAT OF HUMANS AT BOTH LOWER VOLUME AND HIGHER FREQUENCIES. IN FACT...AT HIGH FREQUENCY THAT HUMANS CAN'T HEAR AT ALL"

SO WE DON'T EVEN KNOW HOW TO STOP MAKING NOISES THAT DOGS CAN HEAR, BECAUSE WE DON'T EVEN KNOW WE ARE MAKING THEM. BACK TO YOUR QUESTION...

TO KEEP THEIR DOGS FROM BARKING, OR MINE. EVEN IN A HOUSE, THE 315 YARD DISTANCE FROM THE FURTHEST HOUSE WILL NOT KEEP MY DOGS FROM HEARING UNSILENCED FIRE. ELIMINATING THE 2 DOGS THEY KEEP OUTSIDE QUIETLY WILL LIKELY BECOME TRICKIER. EVEN SILENCED FIRE WILL NOT FOOL THE REMAINING INDOOR DOGS, AND MY DOG WILL ALSO HEAR THEM BARKING IN THEIR HOUSE. YOU HAVE NEVER LIVED IN THE COUNTRY, HAVE YOU? I DON'T MEAN VISITED GRAND-DAD. YOU HAVE NEVER LIVED IN THE COUNTRY. YOUR IDEAS OF POSSIBILITIES DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE WAY THINGS ARE OUT HERE. YOU FEEL THE ONLY REASON VIOLENT CRIME IS LESS PREVALENT OUT HERE IS THAT WE DON'T GET THE EXPOSURE TO VIOLENT PERPS THE CITY DOES. DON'T YOU?

US GRITS OUT HERE IN THE BOONIES ARE USED TO BEING OUR OWN FIRST LINE OF DEFENSE, AND MANAGED TO DO PRETTY GOOD FOR OUSELVES, EVEN BACK IN THE LAST DEPRESSION. IF YOU DON'T PAY MUCH ATTENTION TO CURRENT EVENTS EITHER, THAT WAS WELL BEFORE THE SUPREME COURT DETERMINED THAT POLICE WERE ~NOT~ REQUIRED TO PROTECT US.

PLS SEE:

http://www.firearmsandliberty.com/kasler-protection.html

Quote:
after the police were called by deceased,
More likely by someone who has returned home, wouldn't you think?

IF THEY KILL THEM BOTH, NO ONE ELSE LIVES THERE. THE CHANCES OF ONLY ONE OF THEM BEING GONE AT NIGHT ARE NOT IMPOSSIBLE, BUT SLIM. HE'S A RANCHER, AND SHE'S A HOUSEWIFE. BOTH ARE VERY ELDERLY, HE HAS HAD EYE SURGERY, BUT IS STILL ALL BUT LEGALLY BLIND AT NIGHT. SHE DOESN'T GO ANYWHERE EXCEPT TO SHOP IN THE DAYLIGHT. THE OTHER SIDE HOUSE OWNER WORKS NIGHTS, SO THAT REMOVES THAT POSSIBILITY 5/7THS OF THE TIME.

WE ALL LOOK OUT FOR EACH OUT HERE, ALSO. THAT'S WHY WE LET EACH OTHER KNOW WHEN WE ARE NOT HOME TO WATCH OVER THINGS. WE GO FEED THEIR DOGS WHEN THEY WILL BE GONE FOR LONG PERIODS, AND THEY OURS. WE CALL EACH OTHER WHEN A SUSPICIOUS VEHICLE OR PERSON HAS HEADED DOWN EACH OTHER'S DRIVEWAYS. WE CALL AND ASK IF ALL IS WELL WHEN SHOTS ARE FIRED, EVEN IN THE DAYTIME. WE CALL AND WARN IF WE PLAN TO, OR MIGHT BE SHOOTING IN NON-EMERGENCY SITUATIONS, ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT.

THE BOONIES REALLY DON'T COME INTO YOUR SPHERE OF EXPERIENCE, DO THEY?

Quote:
and the LEO's mistakenly drove up to my address, instead of the caller's
3-killed/silenced 2-6 dogs with out alerting their dogs, depending on the household
No, the officers are in hot pursuit. Part of their job, as it were...

AND DROVE UP TO MY HOUSE IN A SILENT PATROL CAR, THAT MADE NO NOISE ON THE GRAVEL DRIVEWAY, SO THE DOG(S) DIDN'T NOTICE. THEY ALSO DID NOT HAVE THEIR LIGHTS, EMERGENCY BEACONS OR SIREN ON, AS MENTIONED IN PRIOR POSTING.

Quote:
4-got to my house through at least 125 yards from nearest concealment, or 175 yards and up to 315 yards with no concealment from the houses
To your house, in back of your garage, through your property, whatever...

AS ALSO MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS POSTING, SHOP IS 25 YARDS FROM HOUSE. AGAIN THE SUPER-NINJA PERPS MOVE MORE SILENTLY THAN RACCOONS?

Quote:
all without arousing my dog(s)....
I would expect the dogs to have been aroused, and probably to have located one of the perps...

AS MENTIONED ~ALSO~ IN PREVIOUS POSTING I LOOK OUT THE WINDOW TO SEE WHAT DIRECTION THE DOG IS CONCERNED WITH. DO YOU FEEL THIS WOULD BE A TEN SECOND TASK, THEN I WOULD CHARGE OUT (STEALTHILY ENOUGH TO GET WITHIN 50 YARDS OF A WILD PIG) IN A HEADLONG RUN?

MY ONLY QUESTION BEYOND ALL OF THIS:
DO YOU ONLY READ IN MY POSTINGS THE ITEMS THAT WILL SUIT YOUR IMMEDIATE NEEDS? OR IS THIS ADVANCED SYMPTOMS OF SELECTIVE MEMORY KICKING IN?

Quote:
I guess i'd need to ask if the local department shoots people coming out of the house on the land they just drove up on,
Coming out of your house? No. But why would you ever assume that they would have any way at all of divining where you came from when you come upon them with a weapon light pointed at them when they are looking for someone who is armed and dangerous?

SO...THE POLICE HAVE ALSO HAD NINJA TRAINING. THEY GOT TO MY HOUSE AFTER CLEARING THE CRIME SCENE HOUSE, AFTER THEY INVESTIGATED THE HOMICIDE, AFTER THE AMBULANCE GOT THERE, AND THEN ARRIVED AT MY HOUSE IN THE NIGHT, WITH ME BLISSFULLY PURSUING SOMETHING THE DOG DID MANAGE TO HEAR, AND COMPLETELY UNAWARE OF WHAT HAS TAKEN PLACE EVEN IN THE POST MORTEM PHASE? YOU SEEM TO BE HAVING A HARD TIME FOLLOWING THE CONVERSATION FLOW HERE, OR YOU ARE NOT EVEN CONSIDERING WHAT I HAVE PREVIOUSLY STATED.

Quote:
unannounced, and late at night, without offering even the word "police" first,
They may say "drop the gun, police", but they may not; they are not obligated to do so. They will not regard the risk of someone with a weapon pointed at them lightly.

MORE REPEATING PREVIOUS POSTING, SO THE SILENT POLICE CAR ARRIVES WHEN I AM OUT IN THE YARD WITH THE DOG, AND NEITHER OF US KNOW? THE ONLY WAY I'D BE DRAWING DOWN ON THE LEO IS IF HE GOT THERE WITHOUT MY KNOWING.

PLS READ ONLY QUESTION AGAIN.

Quote:
...or having a siren or flashing lights going.
Yes, you do need to ask. They'll use the lights and siren during a highway chase or while rushing to the scene of an accident--but not in an action involving a hot crime scene or a reported burglary or while chasing people through a neighborhood or across a farm.

SO LET ME GET THIS NEW VARIATION THE THE SAME QUESTION STRAIGHT, YET AGAIN BOTH THE PERP AND THE LEO ARRIVE UNDETECTED?

PLS READ ONLY QUESTION.

Quote:
color me crazy, but i feel safe assuming that statistically, i will probably get killed by lightning before killed by perps i startled on a different mission, that created a need for them to be out in my yard at night, AND who fill all the unlikely parameters mentioned in them being able to do so.
Not crazy, but you have not had the benefit of very much professional training.

BUD, IF PROFESSIONAL TRAINING BRINGS ABOUT SERIOUS CONSIDERATION OF MANY OF THE SCENARIOS YOU HAVE JUST POSTED AS REAL WORLD, VIABLE POSSIBILITIES ONE MAY ENCOUNTER IN "THE GRAVEST EXTREME", I'LL RISK A PHD. IN THE SCHOOL OF HARD KNOCKS OVER SAME, ANY DAY.

The risk of a couple of armed bad men coming around to a place in the country at night is probably relatively low, but in some counties it's still high enough to make caution very advisable. The residences are few and far between, their house lights serve as beacons, and the criminal element is more mobile, more vicious, and more heavily armed than ever before.Heck, its getting dangerous to go into some national forests in broad daylight.

AND THESE GUYS ALSO CAN AIM THEIR WEAPONS IN COMPLETE DARKNESS. OR HAVE COME IN A LIKE STATE OF READINESS AS ALL THE OTHERS I HAVE NOT GOT A CHANCE AGAINST WITH ALL MY ILL ADVISED PROVISIONS.

As previously mentioned, farmers these days mitigate that risk by installing very bright lights, closed circuit TVs, and other alarm systems.

YOUR PREVIOUS PARAGRAPH STATES VERY BRIGHT LIGHTS ARE "BEACONS".

WHY WOULD I WANT LIGHTS TO ENABLE THOSE WHO COME BY AT NIGHT UNINVITED WITH THE ABILITY TO SEE ME? UNLESS THESE GUYS, LIKE SO MANY OTHERS, ALSO CARRY WEAPONS WITH PNV SIGHTS, IN WHICH CASE LIGHTS THAT POINT AT THEM DOES SEEM LIKE A WISE CHOICE.

IN A PREVIOUS POSTING OF MINE I ALSO STATED THAT I FELT INSURANCE WAS CHEAPER THAN CLOSED CIRCUIT CAMERAS/THERMAL IMAGING SYSTEMS AND BACK UP POWER TO PREVENT TOTAL LOSS OF USEFULNESS. THIS NEGLECTS ARMORED CABLE TO THE HOUSE TO PREVENT CUTTING, OR YET MORE EXPENSE FOR A WIRELESS SYSTEM, AND BACK UP POWER AT EACH CAMERA. THEFT INSURANCE SOUNDS BETTER ALL THE TIME.

DO YOU DISAGREE WITH THAT SENTIMENT?

PLS ANSWER ONLY QUESTION

I think the perps usually try to go where no one is home, but (1) they sometimes misjudge, (2) they may be in great immediate need of a different vehicle with fuel in the tank, or (3) they may be meth addicts, in which case they do not know fear.

SO....IN THESE SCENARIOS:

1--PERPS CHECKED MY HOUSE OUT AT NIGHT TO SEE IF SOME ONE IS AT HOME?

2--THE NOCTURNAL PERPS HAVE CASED THE PLACE AT DAY TIME IN ADVANCE ON THE CHANCE THEY WILL SOMEDAY NEED A CAR TO JACK?

3--PERP #3 IS HOPELESSLY IMPAIRED/ADDICTED TO SPEED. HAS MANAGED TO KEEP FROM PAWNING HIS EXPENSIVE WARTOY WITH PNV WEAPON SIGHT ON IT WHEN MR. JONES CAME VISITING IN THE PAST. FIDGETED HIS WAY ACROSS 215 YARDS FROM ROAD, WITHOUT TALKING TO HIMSELF, NO STUMBLING, OR MAKING ENOUGH NOISE TO ALERT THE DOG(S), AND HAS PRACTICED ENOUGH WHILE WIRED INTO NEAR DRUG INDUCED COMATOSE, TO BE PROFICIENT WITH SAME FIREARM, KILLING ME INSIDE THE HOUSE, BECAUSE I AND THE DOG DIDN'T KNOW THEY ARE THERE, AND WILL NOT BE OUTSIDE WHERE IT WOULD HAVE BEEN NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO FOR THEM SNEAK UP TO, IF AS STATED IN PREVIOUS POSTING, THE DOG BARKS AT CARS THAT EVEN MOVE TOO SLOWLY? OR WANDERED FROM OTHER DIRECTIONS THAN THE ROAD, THAT WILL ALL EVENTUALLY INVOLVE WALKING IN THE DARK THROUGH DENSE WOODS, MINIMUM ONE MILE TO ANOTHER ROAD, INSTEAD OF FROM THE HOUSE ACCESS ROAD, WHERE IN PREVIOUS POSTINGS THE RACCOONS CAN'T GET WITHIN 100 YARDS OF THE HOUSE UNKNOWN, AT NIGHT.

PLS READ ONLY QUESTION

In risk management, one must assess both the likelihood of an occurrence...

IN POSTING #82. GAVE MY STATISTICALLY UNPROVABLE ESTIMATION OF THE RELATIVE CHANCES OF ALL THE REQUIRED OCCURRENCES THAT WOULD NEED TO TAKE PLACE IN ORDER TO ARRIVE AT YOUR DESTINATION. SO FAR YOU HAVE NOT OFFERED ANY EVIDENCE YOUR OPINION IS MORE THAN JUST ANOTHER'S UNPROVEN ESTIMATION.

...and the severity of the potential consequences.

YET ANOTHER PREVIOUS POSTING, WHERE EVER DID YOU MANAGE TO FIND THE STATS I COULDN'T LOCATE, SAME MENTIONED IN POSTING #73?

PLS READ ONLY QUESTION.


When I was young, the likelihood of a rural resident being endangered by "bad guys" was far less than remote. One can make his own assessment today, but with drugs, meth, and quick shop robberies from which to escape, I think it is too high to ignore. As for the severity of the consequences--well, those aren't nice guys we're discussing.

SO...IN THIS SCENARIO, THE SPEED FREAK ROBS THE QUICKY-MART, IN AN EFFORT TO GET THE **** OUTTA DODGE AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE, EXITS THE HIGHWAY, ONTO A BUMPY ONE AND ONE HALF LANE FARM-TO-MARKET ROAD THAT ALWAYS NEEDS MORE POTHOLES FILLED AND UPON ARRIVING AT A BETTER LOOKING TWO TRACK GRAVEL DRIVEWAY AT A NINETY DEGREE ANGLE TO THE ROAD HE IS SPEEDING DOWN, DECIDES TO TAKE IT INSTEAD. AND ENDS UP AT MY HOUSE, WITH ALL OF THE NOISE REQUIREMENTS TO AROUSE MY DOG NOT QUITE MET? OH, AND DON'T FORGET, HE ROBBED THE STORE WITH THE GRATUITOUS PNV SIGHTED WAR-TOY, OR HAD IT HANDILY STASHED IN HIS ESCAPE VEHICLE.

PLS READ ONLY QUESTION

So, if it does happen--if a couple of armed perps should happen to come upon your property at night with evil intent--it becomes a matter of conditional probability. They're already there, so the remaining question is, what is the likelihood of your prevailing in a confrontation outside? Every assessment from qualified, trained persons, instructors, and people who have taken part in simulations of offensive and defensive engagements is the same: If the bad guys are out there, the lone defender going out after desperate, armed violent criminal actors doesn't have a chance in the world unless the perps choose to and can escape. The dogs will make escape much more difficult and increase the level of danger for the residents.

I AM NOT SAYING I KNOW EVERYTHING, PLEASE ADVISE ME OF THE STUDY/TRAINING/ COLLECTION OF STATISTICS THAT HAS LEAD YOU TO ASSERT THAT:

1--MOST PERPS PROWLING ABOUT IN REMOTE FARM HOUSE AREAS CARRY RIFLES WITH NIGHT VISION WEAPON SIGHTS
2--MOST OF THEM DON'T HAVE A CRIMINAL PAST THAT PREVENTS THEM FROM LEGALLY BUYING A FIREARM
3--OR, IF THEY ARE CONVICTED FELONS, HAVE THE RESOURCES TO PURCHASE SAME ON THE HIGHLY INFLATED BLACK MARKET
4--THEY MANAGE TO GO OUT AND SIGHT IT IN AT NIGHT, UNDETECTED
5--THEY FIND TIME AND PLACES WHERE THEY CAN PRACTICE WITH SAME AT NIGHT ENOUGH TO BECOME PROFICIENT WITH IT. AGAIN. WITHOUT BEING DETECTED
6--HAVE AN ACCOMPLICE IN TOW, WHO IS ALSO TRAINED ON A SIMILAR WEAPON HE CARRIES, AND GOT PROFICIENT WITH IT, OR IS FAST ENOUGH TO GET IT OFF HIS WOUNDED/DEAD COMRADE WITHOUT GETTING SHOT, OR IS GOOD ENOUGH TO SHOOT HIS WEAPON IN THE DARK AT AN ASSAILANT HE CAN'T SEE AND KILL HIM
6--PERP AND ACCOMPLICE USUALLY HAVE ASSUMED IT IS COST EFFECTIVE BUY THESE RELATIVELY EXPENSIVE ITEMS AND AMORTIZE THEIR INVESTMENTS BY STEALING TARGETS OF OPPORTUNITY IN FARMER'S YARDS
7--BOTH CAN WALK, OR DRIVE VEHICLES QUIETLY ENOUGH TO AVOID DETECTION BY A DOG ~AT HIS OWN HOME~
8--ABOVE WILL ALMOST ALWAYS PREVAIL AGAINST A SIMILARLY TRAINED AND ARMED HOME OWNER, IN HIS BACK YARD

The risk of being mistaken as a threat by arriving first responders is a lot lower, but it is not to be disregarded.

AGAIN, THE POLICE WILL GET THERE WITHOUT ME AND DOG KNOWING IT?

Quote:
unless they have specifically come to kill me, what are the odds of them arriving thusly prepared?
Most of them will guarantee you one thing--they are not going to be captured.

SO CITE THE STATISTICS YOU HAVE USED TO DETERMINE THEY WILL COME THAT PREPARED, AND PREVAIL.

OTHERWISE, WE ARE BOTH JUST STATING OUR OPINIONS. IT HAS DONE ME NO GOOD TO DESCRIBE THE ENVIRONMENT I LIVE IN SO FAR. YOU KEEP ASKING QUESTIONS THAT IGNORE PREVIOUS INFORMATION I HAVE SUPPLIED THAT WOULD HAVE ANSWERED THEM, SO IT SEEMS FUTILE TO CONTINUE SUPPLYING SAME UNLESS YOU ARE WILLING TO ENGAGE IN DIALOG, AND ACTUALLY READ MY ANSWERS.

YOU CAN'T CITE THE STATS THAT RELATE TO MY SITUATION, BECAUSE IT IS ANYTHING BUT A COMMON CRIME SCENE, AND SAME DO NOT GET AMASSED INTO USABLE NUMBERS OF OCCURRENCE. YOU ANSWER NO QUESTIONS I HAVE POSED, EVEN THE LAST ONE YOU QUOTED DIRECTLY ABOVE THIS PARAGRAPH. YOU SIDE STEP THE QUESTIONS WITH SCENARIOS THAT HAVE BECOME INCREASINGLY FAR FETCHED. SOME OF THEM ARE EVEN STARTING TO BORDER ON THE ABSTRACT.

SO WHY DON'T YOU TELL ME ABOUT ALL OF THE TRAINING, EXPERIENCE AND STATISTICS YOU HAVE EXPERIENCE WITH THAT RELATE TO MY PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES?

OR JUST ONE REPORTED INCIDENT OF NON PROFESSIONAL KILLERS WHO WHACKED SOME FARMER OUT AT NIGHT INVESTIGATING WHY HIS DOG BARKED, WHO HAD A STARSCOPE ON A 20 ROUND SEMI-AUTO WARTOY HE WAS FAMILIAR WITH, WITHIN 50 YARDS OF HIS OWN HOUSE, AND THE DOG STILL ALIVE WHEN HE WAS SHOT.

THINK ABOUT THE LAST SENTENCE, IF THE DOG WERE ALREADY SHOT, HE WOULDN'T HAVE LEFT THE HOUSE. IF THE DOG GETS SHOT AFTER THE FIRST PERP, THE SECOND ONE HAS CHOSEN TO SHOOT THE DOG WITH EITHER HIS OWN NIGHT VISION SIGHTED WEAPON, OR HIS AMAZING ABILITY TO HIT AN UNSEEN TARGET IN THE DARK, AND HAS DECIDED THAT A CHANCE OF AVENGING HIS CRIME PARTNER MEANS MORE TO HIM THAN FLEEING BEFORE HE ALSO GETS SHOT. LOTS OF LOYALTY IN THE CRIMINAL WORLD THESE DAYS....

gunnie
 
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WHY WOULD I WANT LIGHTS TO ENABLE THOSE WHO COME BY AT NIGHT UNINVITED WITH THE ABILITY TO SEE ME? UNLESS THESE GUYS, LIKE SO MANY OTHERS, ALSO CARRY WEAPONS WITH PNV SIGHTS, IN WHICH CASE LIGHTS THAT POINT AT THEM DOES SEEM LIKE A WISE CHOICE.

gunnie
 
Posted by gunnie: PLEASE ADVISE ME OF THE STUDY/TRAINING/ COLLECTION OF STATISTICS THAT HAS LEAD YOU TO ASSERT THAT:

1--MOST PERPS PROWLING ABOUT IN REMOTE FARM HOUSE AREAS CARRY RIFLES WITH NIGHT VISION WEAPON SIGHTS

Many have rifles, ranging from Model 700s and such, Ruger ranch rifles, AK-47 and SKS rifles, and M-1A and AR-15 carbines and rifles. How do I know? I watch the collections on TV after a lab bust, and I talk to LEO friends with whom I camp and shoot. They also have shotguns, MAC-10-like guns, and so forth. Night vision? Yes, but usually not on the gun, it seems from casual observation.​

2--MOST OF THEM DON'T HAVE A CRIMINAL PAST THAT PREVENTS THEM FROM LEGALLY BUYING A FIREARM

Do you think that stops anyone?​

3--OR, IF THEY ARE CONVICTED FELONS, HAVE THE RESOURCES TO PURCHASE SAME ON THE HIGHLY INFLATED BLACK MARKET

There is a lot of money in their business, but crooks don't always have to buy what they need!

The people you really have to be concerned about are not petty thieves, but people involved in the methamphetamine and marijuana businesses. The latter now represents the largest cash crop in California. The former is ruining the Midwest.​

4--THEY MANAGE TO GO OUT AND SIGHT IT IN AT NIGHT, UNDETECTED
5--THEY FIND TIME AND PLACES WHERE THEY CAN PRACTICE WITH SAME AT NIGHT ENOUGH TO BECOME PROFICIENT WITH IT. AGAIN. WITHOUT BEING DETECTED

I cannot speak of their proficiency or their training and practice routines. I've never discussed with anyone. From news reports, it seems that a fair number are veterans, however, and depending upon where you live, you just may face deserters from the Mexican Army. Not around here, so far, s far as I can tell.​

6--HAVE AN ACCOMPLICE IN TOW, WHO IS ALSO TRAINED ON A SIMILAR WEAPON HE CARRIES, AND GOT PROFICIENT WITH IT, OR IS FAST ENOUGH TO GET IT OFF HIS WOUNDED/DEAD COMRADE WITHOUT GETTING SHOT, OR IS GOOD ENOUGH TO SHOOT HIS WEAPON IN THE DARK AT AN ASSAILANT HE CAN'T SEE AND KILL HIM

They are almost always heavily armed, and they never work alone.​

6--PERP AND ACCOMPLICE USUALLY HAVE ASSUMED IT IS COST EFFECTIVE BUY THESE RELATIVELY EXPENSIVE ITEMS AND AMORTIZE THEIR INVESTMENTS BY STEALING TARGETS OF OPPORTUNITY IN FARMER'S YARDS

Cost effective to buy? It is essential for them to have thm to defend themselves and their businesses against law enforcement and competitors, and they do not have to buy them. But why ask the question? You already asked whether they have them, and the answer is yes.​

Do they steal 'targets of opportunity" in "farmers' yards?" Yes, they do indeed, and in town, too. I live in the suburbs, and your propane tank will just disappear. Farmers and campgrounds simply find the locks on their tanks broken.​

One of their major raw materials comes from cold remedies, and new laws on how they are purveyed and displayed and how sales are recorded are reportedly putting the squeeze on them.​

I've been speaking primarily about meth people. Weed growers are probably equally dangerous in that they do not want to get caught or lose their crops, though they are likely a lot more rational than the meth addicts. How great a threat they pose in the way of stealing I do not know. However, if they have to get their product out in a hurry surreptitiously, or it someone else is trying to make off with the cache, anyone upon they may happen to stumble is at risk.

That's true if you happen to walk in on them, too, even in the national parks and national forests in broad daylight.​

7--BOTH CAN WALK, OR DRIVE VEHICLES QUIETLY ENOUGH TO AVOID DETECTION BY A DOG ~AT HIS OWN HOME~

Come now. We have established that the dogs will sense them and alert the farmer, and that that's a good thing.

The question is, what to do next. And that leads us to...​

8--ABOVE WILL ALMOST ALWAYS PREVAIL AGAINST A SIMILARLY TRAINED AND ARMED HOME OWNER, IN HIS BACK YARD

The stats there come from simulation, role playing, and training exercises, LEO and other, participated in by many who participate on this board and on The Firing Line. They are the source of my belief on this--I've never played the role of attacker or the role of defender with simunitions. Others have, and I do not need to, since I can learn from them.

Once again, this involves conditional probability--what is likely to happen if violent people are out there.

You are apparently unaware that the consensus of educated opinion among all of the experts is that the who walks into the other folks' ambush will lose.

If you believe that you are somehow different, I suggest that you invest in some realistic training and see how it goes.​

I must confess to you that, until I started reading the posts of experienced officers and trainers, and sitting around the campfire with ranking officers who are experienced in combating the meth head population in the course of their duties, my thoughts were in general alignment with yours. I didn't know how dangerous the bad perps were, much less how numerous they have become, and I hadn't really thought enough about the strategy.

Heck, I even went through the house with gun in hand to investigate bumps in the night. I stopped that after my CCW training , at which point in time, by coincidence, Fiddletown, HSO, Sam1911, others pointed out the overwhelming results of training exercises and simulation exercises with which they were personally familiar. Common sense should have been sufficient, I now realize. By the way, Fiddletown studies and teaches with Massad Ayoob, who will give you the same advice.

So no, I am not stating only "my opinion." I am sharing with anyone who might want to benefit from it what I have learned from a preponderance of the experts

I can't lawfully go outside armed here in town, but I knew I will not do that anywhere after I read the account of the airline mechanic in Houston who went out at night with a shotgun to investigate a noise and was ambushed, stabbed, disarmed, and shot, and lost an arm and can no longer work.

That's just one incident, to be sure, but it was enough to teach me a lesson.

It did not involve conditional probability. He had no idea that he would encounter a criminal.

Many would have thought it likely for him to prevail; he had a gun, and the perp had a knife.

He might have, but he didn't.
 
WHY WOULD I WANT LIGHTS TO ENABLE THOSE WHO COME BY AT NIGHT UNINVITED WITH THE ABILITY TO SEE ME? UNLESS THESE GUYS, LIKE SO MANY OTHERS, ALSO CARRY WEAPONS WITH PNV SIGHTS, IN WHICH CASE LIGHTS THAT POINT AT THEM DOES SEEM LIKE A WISE CHOICE.

gunnie

I think that LRS_Ranger is probably suggesting that you stay inside, where the lights are off.:)
 
Kleanbore said:
...I read the account of the airline mechanic in Houston who went out at night with a shotgun to investigate a noise and was ambushed, stabbed, disarmed, and shot, and lost an arm and can no longer work....
I remember the story. The intruder brought a knife to a gun fight and still won.

Then again there was the incident not long ago when trained and well armed Oakland, California SWAT officers were killed going into a house after an ensconced bad guy: http://articles.cnn.com/2009-03-21/...cers-third-officer-second-officer?_s=PM:CRIME.

Massad Ayoob tells a story about the National Tactical Invitational, an annual competition in which some 130 of the top shooters and firearm trainers participate by invitation only. One of the events is a force-on-force exercise using simunitions in which the competitor must clear a house against a single "BG." According to Mas during the first six years of the NTI, one, and only one, competitor got through one of those six NTIs without being judged killed, and he was head of NASA security firearms training at the time. And one, and only one, made it through the seventh year. The tactical advantage of the ensconced adversary is just too great. And remember, these competitors were highly skilled, highly trained fighters.

Anyone who has had decent training and/or has had experience going looking for a bad guy will tell you (1) it is properly a group activity; (2) the guy you're hunting has a great tactical advantage; and (3) it's not something anyone who knows what he is doing wants to do, nor will he do it unless he absolutely must (e. g., to find and protect unaccounted for, known innocents).
 
We just walk outside and see what the dogs are barking at.

Seems a bit overkill for raccoons, skunks, stray cats and the like.

Closest thing to a home invasion was when the coyote was looking in the sliding glass doors at the "indoor dogs"... Ummmmmm doggy treats.

Where do you people live? Kandahar?
 
jglcolosprgs said:
We just walk outside and see what the dogs are barking at.

Seems a bit overkill for raccoons, skunks, stray cats and the like....
Of course it's overkill. The real trick, as I see it, is trying to decide if the ruckus is some critter, or maybe a neighbor kid trying to sneak home after curfew, of one or more two legged intruders who would be happy to cause you harm.

The odds are overwhelming that the commotion is caused by some stray animal and therefore benign. But if the almost improbable happens and there is a bad guy out there, the risk and stakes are very high if you go looking for him. You could play the odds and assume a benign cause, but if the one in a million happens, and it's a bad guy or two out there, you stand to lose a great deal.

So you'll need to decide. Of course, things like good exterior lighting, clear lines of sight from various spots inside the house, no cover or concealment near the perimeter, even CCTV (those small camera are getting cheap and run through a PC) can help you identify what may be out there before deciding to expose yourself.
 
Very good Thought Provoking posts.

It is true in my opinion that those that live in the country/boonies have a slightly different way of looking at home protection than suburban city dwellers. You just have to live there to understand it.

My night scope does not need the IR for seeing things out to 100 yards+ on all but the most yucky nights. Yucky night 50 to 75 no IR and no problem.

Lights off inside, key on dogs actions and directions.

Last year a friend was awoken at 2:30am by his girlfriend saying someone is trying to break into the house.

He thought she was hearing a cat or dog outside for he heard nothing. Luckily he had told her that if anything ever went down to call 911. He only got up to appease her as she grabbed the phone just in case..

With his trusty night stand duty pistol in his hand he opened the bedroom door and sure enough there were three purps making an entry into his house. One had used a cheater bar to break the latch on a window and was in the process of opening. The distance was less than 10 feet. My friend yelled stop I am armed and will shoot and on the 911 tape this can be heard at least two times; he thinks he said "stop" at least 4 times ( language barrier?).

The guys acted like no big deal and continued to raise the window. The girl friend turned on the bedroom light!!!!!!! and sure enough there he stood in all his disrobed manly glory with his 6 shot 357 pointed at the Tattooed individual's head while the BG still tried to open the window to gain entry.

Totally not ideal on so many levels but, you work with what you got!! He is 62 and still a good shot.

The BGs saw the Weapon or my friends gun and turned and ran. The cops showed up approximately 10 minutes later and actually seemed perturbed that no shots were fired to rid the world of 3 BGs.

No they have not been caught.

This happen in the suburbs within 3 miles of a police station.
 
...those that live in the country/boonies have a slightly different way of looking at home protection than suburban city dwellers. You just have to live there to understand it.
That would be the "Mayberry," or "Can't happen here," way of looking at things. And everyone is always so surprised when it does happen out here in the sticks.

Funny how everything is different out in the country vs. the city. Except for dead. Dead seems to be the same out here or in the city.
 
Ya know Sam you are alright!

Country folk have many different situations and mind sets that their city dwelling brothers probably do not have.

A rancher on the boarder in Texas has probably a different mind set of preparedness than say someone inland. Not saying either is wrong just different.

My poorly worded statement was directed more for the country dweller. They are used to taking care of their own property from fences to live stock to Varmints in the hen house. Suburbanites might mow their own yard and have neighbors all around them but the country folk in my experience tend to be more self reliant.

Tis true dead is dead just depends on how you get there.
 
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Posted by fiddletown: Anyone who has had decent training and/or has had experience going looking for a bad guy will tell you (1) it is properly a group activity; (2) the guy you're hunting has a great tactical advantage; and (3) it's not something anyone who knows what he is doing wants to do, nor will he do it unless he absolutely must (e. g., to find and protect unaccounted for, known innocents).
Exactly.

The reasons for the tactical advantage are severalfold, but there is one that probably should be pointed out.

If the defender is a law abiding citizen, he or she cannot shoot on sight; he may not be justified in shooting at all, unless the confrontation occurs indoors in a castle doctrine jurisdiction and he has reason to believe that unlawful entry, possibly made with force, has occurred or is occurring.

The law abiding defender who has gone outside must first establish that he is not dealing with an innocent--a neighbor who is after a lost puppy for example, or kids going after night crawlers.

Having done that, and having concluded to his own satisfaction that the intruders are there unlawfully, he has to decide what to do. In most jurisdictions, he may ask a trespasser to leave--and nothing more. In many places, he can use force, but not deadly force, to stop a thief; in Texas at night he has more leeway.

But the point is, with a couple of very limited exceptions, he cannot just open fire unless he has reason to believe that it is immediately necessary to do so to prevent his death or serious bodily harm or perhaps to prevent the arson of an occupied structure.

That all adds up to an important tactical disadvantage, particularly if he is walking into what may be a crossfire.

What about the perp? What will he do? No one can know. But if he sees someone coming toward him and pointing a gun, and if feels sufficiently threatened and sees no other out, he may open up first.

And it may surprise some people to learn that, depending upon how and why he got there and what he was doing, he just might be able to successfully claim self defense!
 
That would be the "Mayberry," or "Can't happen here," way of looking at things. And everyone is always so surprised when it does happen out here in the sticks.

Sam, that is a lifestyle choice. I understand that bad things can happen in the City or in the Country. I also take measures to be able to deal with those bad things... but I also choose to live the sort of life where the need to worry about things is less than it is in the city. This also allows me to choose a level or alarm that fits my comfort level with my environment.

You may call it "Mayberry," or "Can't happen here," but I choose to call it "If it is going to happen, it will happen...." in the meantime I am not going to live my life in code red venturing into my backyard with 100+ rounds of ammo, a flack jack and P Friggen' NV's on just because something made my dog bark.

Maybe it was just that yote or racoon who has been fiddling around with my stuff and not someone getting ready to launch Molotov cocktails and hand grenades at my house!
 
Sam, that is a lifestyle choice.
I agree.

... but I also choose to live the sort of life where the need to worry about things is less than it is in the city.
Me too. I've made some significant sacrifices to live that life, myself.

You may call it "Mayberry," or "Can't happen here," but I choose to call it "If it is going to happen, it will happen...."
I like life in the country, but I don't equate that with a fatalistic view of taking dangerous chances if I know better just because que sera, sera.

You have to make the choices you can. I can chose to exercise some caution when defending the farm, so to speak. Maybe my level of caution is an uncomfortable encumbrance to you. Everyone has their own row to hoe.
 
I also choose to live the sort of life where the need to worry about things is less than it is in the city.
That comment reminded me of two things.

First, that while life did not involve any worry about violence that I was aware of when I spent summers in the country many years ago, all of the farms within eighty to a hundred miles of St. Louis now seem to have very bright lights on tall poles that are illuminated during the dark hours. You cannot see even the brightest of planets, and it's almost impossible to find a place to watch a meteor shower. Someone must be worried about something.

Second, when I drove over the river into Illinois to photograph a steam train just under two decades ago and stopped to tell some people about it, I found that the farmers along the railroad and the roads near it had been keeping an eye on me and keeping each other up to date on my location via telephone. Turned out they were worried about my possibly being a thief. That was in broad daylight.

A few years after that, I was scouting out a place to photograph a Union Pacific passenger excursion in an area not far from Interstate 55 an hour or so from St. Louis. This was on a Sunday morning when many of the farmers were at church. I was kept under civilian surveillance, as it were, until the farmer near whose land I was parked drove over to confirm his assumption about what I was dong. The same train had gone by the day before.

I stopped by his house afterwards to get his address so I could send him a photo of the train that included his house, silo, and barn. He explained that they kept a close eye on strange cars, because people would come by during church or when cars were otherwise gone and and burglarize houses, sometimes making off with all of the antique furniture. I noticed an old Model 12 leaning against one wall and an old Savage pump shotgun leaning against another.

Things just aren't the way they once were.

On our side of the river, the meth problem is terrible, and I see officers bringing in reinforcements when they stop vans on the interstate that turn out to be carrying large quantities of marijuana.

I live in a suburban area close to it all and to one of the worst cities in the county as far as violent crime is concerned, but it is very unusual to have a daytime burglary because there are so many nearby stay at home neighbors keeping an eye out for everyone else.

Now that I am retired, I am one of them.

I know I would prefer the country, as I always have, but proximity to hospitals is now a priority for us, and I don't think it's nearly as safe out there as in the old days.
 
Good post Kleanbore as are so many others. Remember the Thread we had going about the mayhem in Argentina 2001. I will look it up but seems he made a statement that the city dwellers and the country folk did not fair well. The suburbs were the best place for survival?

http://www.rapidtrends.com/surving-argentinas-economic-collapse-part-1-3/


Kinda comes down to no matter where you live and what you do if your ticket gets punched then you were in the wrong place at the wrong time.

I wish there were fewer stories of evil deeds and for sure I am not a code red guy by a long shot however, we all must do what is necessary for our individual comfort zones.

What is nice about a forum like this you can see and pick up on things that you really never thought of before. If these things apply to your situation then use them, If not, store them in you data bank for future use if needed.
 
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