Will Ammo Prices Ever Fall?

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4Freedom

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I am thinking of stocking up on a lot of ammo. I have yet to shoot any of this ammo in my guns and I know people will say shoot before you try. However, ammo is really scarce and I would like to get as much as I can get for SHTF. IF ammo gets any higher, I think I will be forced to use wolf , until I can ever start reloading, which, seeing I am so new at shooting, will not be anywhere in the near future.

What are people's opinions about the future with ammo prices? I have been following gun boards for a while and reading posts ranging from 2003 to present. Its funny to see how people were crying over how expensive there ammo was in 2004, saying they had to pay 0.20 a bullet for their XM193. It seems ammo prices have been going up consectively each year.

Many will blame gas prices, environment laws, lack of supply or increase in price of raw materials, or Obamania. Perhaps it is a mix of all of these factors. I, myself don't really know which to blame .

So, are any well-informed or people who feel knowledgable about this ammo shortage/inflantion situation we are can give me any insight of what they feel will be the prices of ammo in the next few years. I am sure if Obama and the Liberal government tries any funny stuff with ammo, I will not need to even ask this question. Then again, who thinks that government intervention to manipulate ammo prices and supply will occur?

So, will price keep raising or will they dramatically decrease?
 
I like to think this current trend is supply and demand related. Demand being high due to all the uncertainty. I also like to think that with the economic issues we are facing, our guns and bullets are the least of the administrations worries. However, I once thought I wouldn't live to see 30, and here I am 37. So in short, keep your fingers crossed, get what you can when you can and hope for the best. At worst, you'll spend some money on ammo, and you'll have peace of mind. Even if prices go down, that peace of mind right now should be worth the small fiscal loss you may suffer. That's my opinion for what it's worth.
 
Prices will only go up. In this political climate, the grabbers will impose as much restriction as possible...not just guns but ammo as well. Look for bans on importation, gun show sales, internet sales. Also wait for exorbitant taxation, microstamping, etc. It's coming.
 
They will NOT fall as long as people keep buying it like there's no tomorrow.

The cost of raw materials has recently dropped dramatically--the only thing keeping the end product costs high is that demand is unprecedented.

If people would adopt a sensible strategy for purchasing ammunition the prices would remain reasonable. Instead of watching for good deals and regularly buying large quantities when the prices are low, people assume they have more than enough until the prices go up a little--then they buy like crazy.

It must be great to be in the ammunition business. What other market could you find where people intentionally stock up when prices RISE and slack off buying when the prices FALL?

I'm still shooting ammo I bought for 10 cents a round or less and will be a for a long, long time. Certainly until all the panicked folks currently purchasing ammunition at double & triple prices run out of money or credit.

Come on folks, jump on those high prices before they have a chance to fall. If everyone cooperates you can keep the prices high for MONTHS after the raw material prices have come back down to normal...
 
NO! unfotunately, by the time the political arena changes, inflation will have made ammo even more expensive. i have this bad feeling that our "change" is going to come at a tremendous cost to all of us over the next (hopefully only) four years.
 
I don't think they will fall below current walmart prices on good value rounds like:
22lr Federal Bulk 525 packs: $13.47
308 (and other hunting rounds) Federal soft point 20packs: $12.47
40S&W $12.47/50 for Blazer Brass, Remington $31/100 JHP, etc.

I guess there is a chance, in 4+ years only if a gun rights supporter in white house and maj of Legislature, and a fall in demand coupled with a now larger production base and lower metal prices. Also assuming the ammo stamping legislation doesn't make it. All the above happening may be a reach, it could really go either way.

Cheap metal and a strong dollar should be helping a lot now on things like imported steel case ammo, it depends on how the dollar, metal and energy prices are when/if we get to a low demand period again.
 
in my experience, the online suppliers (such as natchez) aren't much cheaper (if at all) once you tack on the shipping charges...

i just buy a box or two a month of WWB at wally world and rotate which caliber i'm buying. doesn't cost me too much at any given time, and my stash gradually increases. my wife can live with this more than she can live with me dropping a couple hundred on an online order. oh...plus i get her staff discount, so that helps...
 
in my experience, the online suppliers (such as natchez) aren't much cheaper (if at all) once you tack on the shipping charges...
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True, but the point is that Natchez has lowered their prices since the last catalog was published.
 
lots of surplus gone

If you follow the surplus ammo market you will know most 8mm and other brass case ammo is gone China bought it for scrap it was worth more for brass than shooting.
 
Transportation costs, and raw-material costs are falling.

Prices on steel-case Russian ammo should at least stabilize, as the Russians reap the benefit of cheap petroleum, and cheap raw materials.

Ultimately, there is little incentive for them to price the so-so product much more than 10% below the price of benchmark-quality product.

The vendors of benchmark-quality product are going to have to apply the brakes at some point. Otherwise, discretionary buying will simply stop.
 
They will come down a bit in the near future. It can take 6-9 months for the lower energy and raw material costs to fully hit the ammo market. Right now you are paying the price for the summer '08 bubble in these markets. This summer, you will see slightly lower prices as todays low energy/material costs take effect.

The other factor is the Obama sales. These are merely based on speculation, which if we learned anything from '08 fuel costs, will not last long. I believe that Mr. Obama is too intelligent to continue leading from the far left. It may work as Senator of leftist IL, but it will not work as President of a very evenly divided nation. I think that a major Federal weapons ban is very unlikely under Obama... despite his frightening voting history.

My advice is do not buy a lot of ammo or guns right now. You are wasting your money, and feeding the bubble which is poised to burst.
 
Prices will only go up. In this political climate, the grabbers will impose as much restriction as possible...not just guns but ammo as well. Look for bans on importation, gun show sales, internet sales. Also wait for exorbitant taxation, microstamping, etc. It's coming.
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+1000

That and the Jimmy Carter style hyper inflation that the brain trust led by morons like Barney the F... in Washington will cause. Maybe I am too hard on Barney, after all, all those sheeple up in Taxachuttes keep voting him in. Problem is, the rest of the country don't deserve what the idiots in MA and CA shove down our throats.

BTW - just head of a prediction for the fall of the US from the same guy that predicted the fall of the old Soviet Union a few years before that occurred. Looking for a linky...
 
+1 to what JohnKSa said...

We always talk about the "sheep," and this is where we act like them. For example, why would Golden Tiger 7.62x39 that I bought for 189/K last year, now cost 289/k? I'll tell you. It's because we're tripping over ourselves to grab it up like it's TEOTWAWKI time. Stop stockpiling for a few months and watch it come down.
 
just head of a prediction for the fall of the US from the same guy that predicted the fall of the old Soviet Union a few years before that occurred. Looking for a linky...

Wouldn't surprise me at all if in 10 years the United States doesn't exist as it does today. Would still like to see that link, though. Hopefully it'll be posted before this thread get locked, like so many others lately.
 
Prices will drop for sure. People are running out of money real fast if you haven't noticed.
 
I've been buying a box to shoot and a box to stash away every few weeks. If prices go up, then that's how much it costs. There's nothing you can do about the price. However, you can still build up a nice stockpile of ammunition over time as long as you get a little bit at a time.

Just out of curiosity, how much ammunition do you think you need for the "SHTF scenario"?
 
Just out of curiosity, how much ammunition do you think you need for the "SHTF scenario"?
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I figure for a large scale zombie outbreak, 50K rounds, and multiple same caliber guns for your survival group. It will also depend on where you live. I think that would keep you safe until the military takes out the threat...assuming they are on our side then.
 
Supply & demand = greed! There is no sense of fair play in this country when it comes to green backs. With "Boy Wonder" now on Capitol Hill, you can look forward to exaserbated taxation on anything firearm related. Don't forget, the Democrats are setting this country up for socialism and rule us with an iron fist! Stay after your Congressman and Senators and let them know where the votes are. They want Job security like the rest of us, so make the threat to vote them out.
 
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