Tony Williams said;
I would think that statistics complied from post combat interviews of hundreds of Soldiers and marines would be more scientifically valid then those derived from one or a few individual accounts. The purpose of those studies was to indentify trends, both good and bad so taht immediate fixes could be made. You're right though, the only scientific studies are the controlled tests that for some unknown reason almost always fail to find all the flaws in a system. It's only after a weapon has been in the hands of the trrops for a while that we can really start judging how well it's designed and built. Soldiers will devise ways of breaking things that a scientist could never dream of.
Who says they do? We have always tested new designs. The Springfield was adopted in 1903, by the end of WWI we were looking to replace it. The Garand was adopted in 1937 IIRC and by 1945 we were looking to replace it. The M14 was adopted in 1957 or 58 and was abandoned before it could ever replace the M1 throughout the force. The M16 was adopted as an interim weapon in 1964, it was only supposed to be in service until the OICW's father, the SPIW was ready. Work continued on the SPIW while the M16 was being fielded. By the mid 1970s we were looking at other rifles to replace the M16. We settled on modifying the M16A1 into the M16A2, adopted by the USMC in 1982 and the US Army in 1985. By 1988 or 89, we were deep into the Advanced Combat Rifle. Sometime in the mid 90s we started back down the SPIW road with a similar project called the OICW. It was concluded that none of the ACR candidates offered a sufficient increase in capabilities to justify the cost of replacing our current weapon. I'll bet you dinner that when all of this shakes out, the bean counters will decide that the cost of re-equipping the US Armed Forces with whatever new weapon they come up with, isn't worth the cost, because the improvements are almost immeasurable. All of these new wonder rifles are nothing more then a gas operated 5.56mm rifle. We already have a 5.56mm gas operated rifle that works fine. I predict that the M16 will soldier on until technology comes up with a significant improvement over what we have.
BTW many people on this forum owe me from the XM8 bet..I was right on that one .
MadMike,
The Army had the M16A4 first. My son had them in Infantry OSUT a year before the USMC adopted it as their standard weapon.
Jeff
If you're interviewing soldiers about something on the basis of their experience, all of the evidence they give is anecdotal! The only evidence pertaining to this which is not anecdotal are scientifically devised and controlled tests in appropriate conditions, such as the British carried out on the L85A2 and other weapons (see the article on the SA80 on my website).
I would think that statistics complied from post combat interviews of hundreds of Soldiers and marines would be more scientifically valid then those derived from one or a few individual accounts. The purpose of those studies was to indentify trends, both good and bad so taht immediate fixes could be made. You're right though, the only scientific studies are the controlled tests that for some unknown reason almost always fail to find all the flaws in a system. It's only after a weapon has been in the hands of the trrops for a while that we can really start judging how well it's designed and built. Soldiers will devise ways of breaking things that a scientist could never dream of.
If the AR family is so good, why does the US Army want to replace it with weapons which offer no advantages in size, weight or adaptability?
Who says they do? We have always tested new designs. The Springfield was adopted in 1903, by the end of WWI we were looking to replace it. The Garand was adopted in 1937 IIRC and by 1945 we were looking to replace it. The M14 was adopted in 1957 or 58 and was abandoned before it could ever replace the M1 throughout the force. The M16 was adopted as an interim weapon in 1964, it was only supposed to be in service until the OICW's father, the SPIW was ready. Work continued on the SPIW while the M16 was being fielded. By the mid 1970s we were looking at other rifles to replace the M16. We settled on modifying the M16A1 into the M16A2, adopted by the USMC in 1982 and the US Army in 1985. By 1988 or 89, we were deep into the Advanced Combat Rifle. Sometime in the mid 90s we started back down the SPIW road with a similar project called the OICW. It was concluded that none of the ACR candidates offered a sufficient increase in capabilities to justify the cost of replacing our current weapon. I'll bet you dinner that when all of this shakes out, the bean counters will decide that the cost of re-equipping the US Armed Forces with whatever new weapon they come up with, isn't worth the cost, because the improvements are almost immeasurable. All of these new wonder rifles are nothing more then a gas operated 5.56mm rifle. We already have a 5.56mm gas operated rifle that works fine. I predict that the M16 will soldier on until technology comes up with a significant improvement over what we have.
BTW many people on this forum owe me from the XM8 bet..I was right on that one .
MadMike,
The Army had the M16A4 first. My son had them in Infantry OSUT a year before the USMC adopted it as their standard weapon.
Jeff