straightShot
Member
I was thinking about this today, and had two comments:
1.) That's an 80% chance of getting picked. That's pretty good.
2.) I'm not sure that article is correct, or at least current (it's almost a year old.) The website says they'll take applications between Sep 4 and Oct 4, feed those names into a random number generator and that's your place in line. If your number 8001, you don't get a gun this year. That said, for them to limit it to 10k they would have to discard a lot of names, and, the only system they have for doing that is first come - first serve. First 8k to be received or first 10k whatever.
So I think it may be more like 40-50k names, of which, only 8k (or less) will get a gun. SO I think my odds are lot lower than you think they are.
From the CMP webpage:
"Customer names from complete CMP 1911 order form packets will be fed into a computerized Random Number Generator on 5 October 2018. The Random Number Generator will provide a list of names in sequential order through the random picking process. Customers will be contacted in the sequence provided by the Random Number Generator. The CMP 1911 customers will select their grade of pistol (Service, Field or Rack) from available inventory at the time of order notification. Customers with higher numbers may have fewer grades from which to choose. When this year’s allotment of 1911s is exhausted, the remaining orders will be held in the existing sequence for all future allotments of 1911s. The CMP does not know what future allotments might be."