Do I really need a center fire rifle?
Actually, I already have one- a nice old bolt action sporterized surplus military. But I am getting really close to picking up a “black” semi-auto .308 and a dozen or so mags. Problem is, I can’t imagine what I’d ever actually need it for.
I arrived at this notion by examining my general outlook on life in the US in the near future.
I am pretty sure it is going to continue pretty much the way it is now for the foreseeable future. I think we are probably going to slip into a bad recession, like Carter-era or worse. I think crime may go up as a result, but not in a significant way, especially in my safe, affluent, soccer-mom suburb ½ hour outside a small (albeit rough) rust belt city. I’m guessing this is about a 75% probability.
But I also think there’s maybe a 15% chance things could get a lot worse- somewhere on the scale of FerFAL’s Argentina scenario, although probably not as bad for a variety of reasons. Let’s say it gets pretty bad in my neighborhood. I still have a tough time imagining it getting to FerFAL’s level of danger. There might be the possibility of inner-city thugs making expeditions into the suburbs in the hopes of easy pickings. Maybe your chances of getting mugged or carjacked at the mall increase a lot. Maybe break-ins become a lot more frequent, with a rare home invasion happening from time to time. Maybe small gangs travel out to the ‘burbs to raise some hell.
These are all good reasons to have a handgun. But even in FerFAL’s world of the Argentinean chaos, I couldn’t really figure out what a big rifle would be needed for, although he advocated for one in a sensible sounding way.
I can only imagine needing a big rifle for a couple of reasons. One- if I owned a big piece of property out in the boonies and was in a situation where a group was trying to raid it, and I had enough warning to figure this out in advance. Two- if a large group was trying to raid my current suburban home. But my entire house lot is basically within pistol range, and the thought of a big rifle round sailing through my residential neighborhood is very sobering.
And FerFAL makes a lot of sense when he describes a potential attacker as appearing suddenly, basically right at your elbow, without any warning. Some large hostile group attacking from a long distance seems very unlikely.
Let’s say there’s a 5% chance things get to the point of actually being worse than the Argentina scenario (which I guess I consider to be an extended, mild SHTF), and getting closer to a TEOTWAWKI, ala Baghdad, or Mad Max. I know many feel this is a very real possibility, but I picture it being extremely unlikely. But say it happens. Maybe I can team up with neighbors in my sleepy little sub-division to secure the whole neighborhood, setting up roadblocks on the entrance streets, etc. Maybe I decide to bug out for the hills as a last resort. A black rifle would be pretty useful in these situations. Is it worth spending a couple grand on that slim possibility?
That leaves the remaining 5% chance, which is that the economy doesn’t plunge, we all live happily ever after, but that I still want one of these rifles just for kicks. Hard to justify the cost unless I win a small lottery or something.
Ideas welcome!
David
Actually, I already have one- a nice old bolt action sporterized surplus military. But I am getting really close to picking up a “black” semi-auto .308 and a dozen or so mags. Problem is, I can’t imagine what I’d ever actually need it for.
I arrived at this notion by examining my general outlook on life in the US in the near future.
I am pretty sure it is going to continue pretty much the way it is now for the foreseeable future. I think we are probably going to slip into a bad recession, like Carter-era or worse. I think crime may go up as a result, but not in a significant way, especially in my safe, affluent, soccer-mom suburb ½ hour outside a small (albeit rough) rust belt city. I’m guessing this is about a 75% probability.
But I also think there’s maybe a 15% chance things could get a lot worse- somewhere on the scale of FerFAL’s Argentina scenario, although probably not as bad for a variety of reasons. Let’s say it gets pretty bad in my neighborhood. I still have a tough time imagining it getting to FerFAL’s level of danger. There might be the possibility of inner-city thugs making expeditions into the suburbs in the hopes of easy pickings. Maybe your chances of getting mugged or carjacked at the mall increase a lot. Maybe break-ins become a lot more frequent, with a rare home invasion happening from time to time. Maybe small gangs travel out to the ‘burbs to raise some hell.
These are all good reasons to have a handgun. But even in FerFAL’s world of the Argentinean chaos, I couldn’t really figure out what a big rifle would be needed for, although he advocated for one in a sensible sounding way.
I can only imagine needing a big rifle for a couple of reasons. One- if I owned a big piece of property out in the boonies and was in a situation where a group was trying to raid it, and I had enough warning to figure this out in advance. Two- if a large group was trying to raid my current suburban home. But my entire house lot is basically within pistol range, and the thought of a big rifle round sailing through my residential neighborhood is very sobering.
And FerFAL makes a lot of sense when he describes a potential attacker as appearing suddenly, basically right at your elbow, without any warning. Some large hostile group attacking from a long distance seems very unlikely.
Let’s say there’s a 5% chance things get to the point of actually being worse than the Argentina scenario (which I guess I consider to be an extended, mild SHTF), and getting closer to a TEOTWAWKI, ala Baghdad, or Mad Max. I know many feel this is a very real possibility, but I picture it being extremely unlikely. But say it happens. Maybe I can team up with neighbors in my sleepy little sub-division to secure the whole neighborhood, setting up roadblocks on the entrance streets, etc. Maybe I decide to bug out for the hills as a last resort. A black rifle would be pretty useful in these situations. Is it worth spending a couple grand on that slim possibility?
That leaves the remaining 5% chance, which is that the economy doesn’t plunge, we all live happily ever after, but that I still want one of these rifles just for kicks. Hard to justify the cost unless I win a small lottery or something.
Ideas welcome!
David