Along comes Joe Citizen who is visibly carrying a gun. What percentage of the Joe Citizen population visibly carries a gun? 1/2 of 1%? 1/10 of 1%? So, given your goal of committing an easy robbery with little chance of getting caught or getting shot, why would you attack Joe Citizen walking by who has the visible means to start a gunfight, increasing GREATLY your chance of both getting caught and/or getting shot? Why would you not just let Joe Citizen with the gun walk on by, wait around around two minutes for Jane Citizen to come along who is not visibly carrying a gun? Why pick out the 1/10th of 1% of targets that have the known capability to kill you when the remaining 99.9% of targets available aren't showing that ability?
In your scenario, youre making an assumption the bad guy gives a rats ass.
Maybe hes drunk and/or drugged up, and just being an ass, or is he thinks your the ass for wearing your gun like that and wants you to know about it?
Maybe hes annoyed that your showing off your gun, and hes not at all impressed with you and your fancy shooter, and hes going to see just how bad you really are.
We can go on forever with silly little scenarios, but the truth is, it is what it is, and you can never know for sure whats coming until its there. Reality is often surrealistic, and nothing near what you think reality is.
How does concealing your gun place you more ahead of the curve than the criminal? The only time you can use your gun is when you have already fallen behind the curve and the criminal has already gained the upper hand over you and you must use your gun to conteract that and attempt to regain control over a situation that you have already lost control over.
How do you figure that youre behind the curve and lost control because your gun is out of sight? Just because my gun is out of sight doesnt mean Im not paying attention. By having it out of sight, I choose when its presence is to be known, and not telegraph it to the world.
But carrying concealed, you must wait to use your gun in defense of an attack that has already been launched by the criminal. I can use my gun as a visible sign that says, "Just move on, pal....it's not worth your effort to stop here." That may not stop all criminals. But if it stops just one, then I have stopped one more criminal from attacking me than carrying concealed would.
Again, how are you coming up with this? I can keep the gun covered until the last second, or I can draw it and have it ready, if I feel the need. Id prefer to have the choice.
Youre making the assumption that people are afraid of your gun, which I see very much as wishful thinking. Youre not a tough guy just because you have a gun on your belt, and if you think its going to scare bad guys away, I think you might want to rethink that. If you think it gives you an edge, thats great. I truly hope that works as well for you, as I find keeping it covered does for me.