mgkdrgn
Member
I'm sure you'll take comfort in those numbers when it's your door being kicked in at 3am, your dogs dead on the floor, and your family in handcuffs lying next to them (if you are lucky)
Once in a blue? Would an error rate of approximately 0.1% qualify as "once in a blue moon?"
The first time the CATO/Radley Balko "raid map" and editorial were presented here, I did a little quick math:
http://www.cato.org/index.html
"Cato is also releasing an interactive raid map that plots nearly 300 examples of mistaken raids since the mid-1980s, including 40 cases in which in innocent people have been killed, 20 cases in which offenders with no history of violence were killed, and 22 cases resulting in the needless death or injury of a police officer."
http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=6476
"These increasingly frequent raids, 40,000 per year by one estimate . . . "
Let's look at what these numbers really tell us. (assuming Balko hasn't "fudged" the numbers which is quite possible considering his penchant for distorting the truth to fit his agenda.)
Assuming the 40,000 per year number is only for recent years, let's assume it averages to 15,000 raids a year since the mid 80s. That's 300,000 raids in the last 20 years.
300 mistaken raids means a 0.1% error rate. No person, or group of people is perfect, but that error rate is pretty damn close.
Further, how many of these raids were actually knock and announce where the occupants refused service of the warrant, and the officers were required to use force to enter the premises? How many were NOT served by a tactical team, but by everyday officers/agents doing their jobs?
Unfortunately many folks, including people participating in this thread, equate any forced entry with a "no knock" warrant, and a SWAT team. However, that is far from the truth. Look how many people were screaming about SWAT over the warrant in Alanta last week, but it was NOT a SWAT team that served that warrant. I've also seen many people on this forum get wound up about a no-knock warrant in other threads, when in reality it was a knock and announce where the occupants refused to admit the officers to serve the warrant, so the officers had to force entry.
I'm not asking anyone to ignore the ALLEGED 300 errors, I'm merely pointing out how very low the error rate really is.
Also, if you want a zero error rate then you must want the police to NEVER serve a warrant, because that is the only way to get the error rate to zero. If that is what you want then you are asking for anarchy.