At some point we're going to have Democrats controlling all three branches. When that happens I think we can all say goodbye to import ammo in general.
Honestly I'm surprised Obama didn't go for it his first term.
For a year the D's blew their political capital on health insurance, gov't takeovers of GM, and economic stimulation. By Summer 2010, they were burnt out, Tea party protests were raging, and they were focused on re-election. They ran out of time to do anything on guns and we were 3+ years removed from Virginia Tech, which was done with pistols, not "assault weapons."
I think after Sandy Hook everyone was expecting executive action since Obama got re-elected, but those last 4 years it was discovered the President had no legal authority to do anything. It ended up being on a state level that most regulations happened, mostly CT, NY, and Colorado.
I don't see any reasons to panic until 2020. The Dems can gain seats in Congress, but I don't think much will happen even if they win. Even with Republican turncoats Trump can veto and there won't be enough votes to overturn his veto for anti gun legislation. Also, since '94, every time the Dems go anti gun, they lose.
Trump will win again in 2020, the guy is a Teflon Don.
They'll try to get rid of gun culture the same way they got rid of tobacco culture. By raising the prices to ridiculous amounts.
Obviously this won't work with guns the way it worked with tobacco, but being able to purchase domestic only ammunition that's taxed considerably more than it is now is going to certainly take the fun out of shooting for a lot of people.
I do think that one of the tactics that will be used within the next 10 years is some sort of federal tax on firearms and ammo. Republicans love taxes too and they'll back it because they'll run on "common sense" reforms that don't infringe on rights. They're not gonna care if it adds a 10% tax on guns and ammo on top of state sales taxes. All that money is going to go to funding school security programs. Good news for reloaders is it's going to be even more of a cost savings to make your own ammo.
I expect background checks for ammo too on a state level. Massachusetts has had that in the form of the License to xxx with guns/ammo.
Magazine capacities will be capped to 10 and all magazines over that will have to be destroyed. No gov't buyback option, would cost too much. NRA better put up a fight on magazine capacities or else they will lose more members.
Russian ammo may go, but something else will take its place, possibly a better, cheaper alternative. PPU makes good quality, low cost brass ammo and I could see them using aluminum cased ammo with a zinc coating for pistol ammo, something for rifle ammo.
Necessity will create something.
