If you want to play those games...why do you choose to intentionally increase the risk of you or your family being targeted for violent personal attack?
I wouldn't, and I don't. I take any number of steps to insure that my home is not targeted for criminal activity. One of those steps is minimizing the number of people who know I own firearms.
Again, I would rather choose the option that reduces the chances of myself or my family being attacked, even if it *might* come at the cost of an increase in the chances of my unoccupied home being targeted.
The point is that you don't have to increase the chance of your home (occupied or otherwise) being targeted AT ALL.
One other very important issue that needs to be raised.
You seem to equate the idea of letting lots of people know you have firearms with a certainty that no one will ever target your occupied home. There are a number of problems with that kind of reasoning.
1. We know that some criminals are motivated enough by desirable materials to run the risk of armed defenders. We see the occasional gun store robbery, once in awhile an open carrier is attacked for his gun, and police officers firearms are stolen from time to time. The criminals simply prepare a bit more carefully than they would otherwise--if they're rational. Or, if they're not, they just go for it. So knowing that they might encounter armed defenders is not a sure deterrent, although it does serve as a deterrent for some criminals.
2. Unless you have a sign on your door letting people know when the house is occupied and when it's not, there's the chance that the criminals may make a mistake about when someone is home and when they're not. So you could think you're only making your unoccupied home a target and run into a criminal who isn't careful enough to insure that the house is unoccupied before he and his accomplices break in.
3. Even if they manage to insure that there's no one home, a family member could arrive home while the home intrusion is in progress and surprise an intruder who was very careful to insure that the home was empty before entering.
So criminals might ignore the deterrence factor, or they might try to circumvent it by trying to enter your unoccupied home and make a mistake.
In other words, the deterrence factor you're counting on isn't a sure thing by any stretch of the imagination. It's only a sure thing if the criminals are rational, and/or aren't that determined, and/or are infallible when it comes to determining if the house is empty, and/or are infallible when it comes to knowing when someone will return home.
The point is that you don't want anyone targeting your home AT ALL. You don't want any criminal to think that your home has contents that might be more attractive than other houses in your area, AND, at the same time, you want to take steps to make your house look like a harder target than those in the area. Not MASSIVELY harder, or they're wonder what you're defending--just enough harder that there are obviously easier options available.