Where have you been?
We have been below $0.08/round shipped since April -
https://www.thehighroad.org/index.p...t-shipped-pricing.902560/page-3#post-12277076
And currently we are looking to break below $0.06/round shipped -
https://www.thehighroad.org/index.p...t-shipped-pricing.902560/page-9#post-12405553
I am actually anticipating a drop below $30/500 shipped before I consider restocking big for my retirement (Technically we are already there with $29.49/500 and free shipping but that's for tracer rounds and I want to stock up on CCI Blazer/Aguila 40 gr CPRN ... Ammo that produced 0.5" groups at 50 yards and 1.25" groups at 100 yards out of my 10/22 with factory barrel).
How low will we go? Time will tell.
You are absolutely correct.
Having gone through several component shortages the past 30 years, I have learned to stock up when ammo/components were plentiful at rebound bottom prices and wait out patiently during the height of the shortage.
Our last "Great Shortage" was in 2013 and prices didn't bottom until 2019, six years later. Current shortage started in late 2019/early 2020 and we are approaching 3 years ... I anticipate inventory to continue coming back "in stock" at lower and lower prices.
I mean back in 2013, who thought we would be able to stock up on S&B primers for $20/1000 and Winchester primers for $27/1000 in 2019?
Let's be patient as buyng now will simply delay the price drop, like the previous shortage.